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Xavier vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 69-63
24-32 45-31
Position#82
Record11-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game69.1
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#138
Record11-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xavier v Villanova
06 Jan 2027
XAVI v VILL
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
XAVI89
VILL92
14 Jan 2025
XAVI69
VILL63
07 Feb 2024
XAVI56
VILL53
21 Feb 2023
XAVI63
VILL64
12 Jan 2022
XAVI60
VILL64
02 Jan 2021
XAVI v VILL
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
XAVI55
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#119
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
119-58
119
58
+61
H11/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H31/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A04/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H07/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
39-42
29-37
43-39
52-24
67-34
31-30
34-38
30-29
48-49
22-27
48-45
44-31
50-41
24-30
39-39
37-41
35-41
38-23
39-40
151.4Avg total
79.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.969.1147.0+8.961%
Season at home (11)82.666.3148.9+16.482%
Season away (7)70.673.4144.0-2.929%
Last 10 (10)79.272.2151.4+7.040%
Last 5 (5)75.271.6146.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.279.0146.2-11.817%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.876.0145.8-6.220%
vs Weaker (13)85.366.4151.7+18.992%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rider
#276
W
72-48
72
48
+24
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
94-65
94
65
+29
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H12/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A01/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H04/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-20
36-28
37-28
31-32
45-29
49-36
45-36
41-36
37-29
42-38
38-40
41-46
30-31
43-34
48-32
52-24
32-25
36-41
31-36
37-44
145.2Avg total
78.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.667.6146.3+11.065%
Season at home (11)79.363.2142.5+16.182%
Season away (6)77.575.8153.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)78.766.5145.2+12.280%
Last 5 (5)77.670.6148.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.075.8141.8-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.365.8136.1+4.560%
vs Weaker (15)77.360.9138.1+16.480%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +4.9+4.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +4.9+4.9
XavierVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#119
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H01/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H11/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A19/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A04/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A11/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
33.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.966.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.630.265.8+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)30.136.066.1-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)33.929.863.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.463.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.735.766.3-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)28.833.161.9-4.350%-
vs Weaker (13)37.330.567.8+6.869%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rider
#276
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H03/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A01/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
37.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.529.463.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.128.364.4+7.878%-
Last 30 away (12)32.130.963.0+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.930.668.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.868.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.233.864.0-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.029.963.9+4.170%-
vs Weaker (15)36.327.764.0+8.580%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Xavier wins
6
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24Xavier v Villanova56-53
04/01/24Villanova v Xavier66-65
21/02/23Xavier v Villanova63-64
07/01/23Villanova v Xavier80-88
12/01/22Xavier v Villanova60-64
22/12/21Villanova v Xavier71-58
22/02/20Xavier v Villanova55-64
30/12/19Villanova v Xavier68-62
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ADePaul77-63
07/01/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-82
04/01/25AGeorgetown63-69
31/12/24HSeton Hall94-72
21/12/24HMarquette70-72
19/12/24AUconn89-94 OT
14/12/24ACincinnati65-68
11/12/24HMorgan State119-58
06/12/24ATCU72-76
01/12/24HSouth Carolina St71-68
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)68-80
08/01/25HUconn68-66
04/01/25HDePaul100-56
01/01/25AButler73-65
21/12/24ACreighton79-86
18/12/24HSeton Hall79-67
12/12/24HFairleigh Dickinson86-72
07/12/24ATemple94-65
03/12/24HCincinnati68-60
28/11/24HRider72-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%82%29%
Points / game77.982.670.6
Allowed / game69.166.373.4
Point differential+8.9+16.4-2.9
Avg total147.0148.9144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Villanova
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%82%33%
Points / game78.679.377.5
Allowed / game67.663.275.8
Point differential+11.0+16.1+1.7
Avg total146.3142.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette1614288%80.066.4+13.6
2 St. John's (N.Y.)1714382%81.867.5+14.3
3 Uconn1713476%81.968.1+13.9
4 Georgetown1612475%74.164.0+10.1
5 Villanova1711665%78.667.6+11.0
6 Creighton1610662%75.470.9+4.4
7 Xavier1811761%77.969.1+8.9
8 Providence179853%72.168.4+3.7
9 DePaul179853%76.973.5+3.5
10 Butler1771041%71.671.1+0.5
11 Seton Hall1661038%64.666.6-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier244569
Villanova323163
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