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Villanova vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 66-65
34-29 32-36
Position#174
Record9-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#245
Record7-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Villanova v Xavier
19 Jan 2027
VILL v XAVI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VILL91
XAVI78
09 Feb 2025
VILL80
XAVI68
03 Jan 2024
VILL66
XAVI65
07 Jan 2023
VILL80
XAVI88
21 Dec 2021
VILL71
XAVI58
30 Dec 2019
VILL68
XAVI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
A06/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
W
68-66 OT
68
66
+2
A21/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
84-48
84
48
+36
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-15
18-25
41-33
44-36
32-34
36-34
44-16
35-47
35-43
30-35
25-26
30-31
25-33
38-30
25-29
40-27
24-34
34-24
46-28
38-20
134.2Avg total
71.2Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.663.5137.2+10.169%
Season at home (8)72.460.4132.8+12.075%
Season away (5)75.668.6144.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)71.263.0134.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)68.659.8128.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.972.9141.8-4.040%
vs Similar (10)68.661.1129.7+7.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.862.0137.8+13.878%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A18/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H05/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H17/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
34-44
28-18
38-31
49-25
51-50
42-43
34-35
31-36
29-30
41-38
39-49
35-27
49-52
38-32
37-27
36-44
30-37
32-25
42-29
145.4Avg total
75.2Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.470.0142.4+2.447%
Season at home (9)78.368.6146.9+9.867%
Season away (6)63.572.2135.7-8.717%
Last 10 (10)75.270.2145.4+5.050%
Last 5 (5)75.872.0147.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.667.6139.1+4.057%
vs Similar (16)75.872.2148.0+3.556%
vs Weaker (7)76.770.3147.0+6.457%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
VillanovaXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A06/12
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A21/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A23/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
33.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.463.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.927.662.5+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)30.033.663.6-3.614%-
Last 10 (10)33.629.162.7+4.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.030.059.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.532.562.0-3.030%-
vs Similar (10)34.628.563.1+6.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.730.164.8+4.667%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A18/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
28-18
28
18
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Delaware
#148
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H23/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.868.8+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.932.672.4+7.378%-
Last 30 away (12)30.233.263.3-3.042%-
Last 10 (10)36.931.868.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.269.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.431.464.9+2.057%-
vs Similar (16)36.633.470.0+3.169%-
vs Weaker (7)37.332.770.0+4.657%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Villanova wins
1
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
21/02/23Xavier v Villanova63-64
07/01/23Villanova v Xavier80-88
12/01/22Xavier v Villanova60-64
22/12/21Villanova v Xavier71-58
22/02/20Xavier v Villanova55-64
30/12/19Villanova v Xavier68-62
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ADePaul84-48
21/12/23ACreighton68-66 OT
10/12/23HUCLA65-56
06/12/23AKansas State71-72 OT
02/12/23HDrexel55-57
29/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks65-78
24/11/23HMemphis79-63
23/11/23ANorth Carolina83-81 OT
22/11/23HTexas Tech85-69
18/11/23HMaryland57-40
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HSeton Hall74-54
21/12/23ASt. John's (N.Y.)66-81
17/12/23HWinthrop75-59
09/12/23HCincinnati84-79
05/12/23HDelaware80-87
01/12/23HHouston60-66
27/11/23HOakland76-78
24/11/23HBryant University100-75
20/11/23ASt. Marys (CA)66-49
18/11/23AWashington71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%75%60%
Points / game73.672.475.6
Allowed / game63.560.468.6
Point differential+10.1+12.0+7.0
Avg total137.2132.8144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %23%0%60%
Xavier
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%67%17%
Points / game72.478.363.5
Allowed / game70.068.672.2
Point differential+2.4+9.8-8.7
Avg total142.4146.9135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1412286%83.163.6+19.5
2 Marquette1411379%78.066.4+11.6
3 Providence1411379%73.963.7+10.2
4 Creighton1410471%81.466.6+14.9
5 Butler1410471%82.271.9+10.4
6 St. John's (N.Y.)1410471%79.769.9+9.9
7 Villanova139469%73.663.5+10.1
8 Seton Hall149564%73.068.1+4.9
9 Georgetown147750%72.772.6+0.1
10 Xavier157847%72.470.0+2.4
11 DePaul1331023%66.176.2-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova343266
Xavier293665
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