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Xinjiang vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game87.8
ChinaCBARound 41· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Liaoning
23 Mar 2027
XINJ v LIAO
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
XINJ78
LIAO59
18 Apr 2025
XINJ79
LIAO101
11 Dec 2024
XINJ125
LIAO105
22 May 2024
XINJ95
LIAO104
20 May 2024
XINJ91
LIAO98
10 Nov 2023
XINJ91
LIAO102
13 Mar 2023
XINJ0
LIAO20
25 Oct 2021
XINJ99
LIAO109
30 Mar 2021
XINJ89
LIAO83
04 Nov 2020
XINJ108
LIAO121
05 Aug 2020
XINJ88
LIAO116
15 Nov 2019
XINJ127
LIAO105
18 Apr 2019
XINJ99
LIAO62
16 Apr 2019
XINJ107
LIAO81
14 Apr 2019
XINJ100
LIAO109
13 Nov 2018
XINJ124
LIAO119
01 Nov 2017
XINJ108
LIAO110
12 Mar 2017
XINJ102
LIAO90
10 Mar 2017
XINJ118
LIAO93
27 Nov 2016
XINJ112
LIAO107
25 Nov 2015
XINJ115
LIAO104
12 Nov 2014
XINJ111
LIAO112
22 Feb 2014
XINJ106
LIAO98
20 Feb 2014
XINJ108
LIAO106
07 Feb 2014
XINJ95
LIAO88
08 Mar 2013
XINJ115
LIAO110
03 Mar 2013
XINJ112
LIAO89
01 Mar 2013
XINJ100
LIAO92
18 Jan 2013
XINJ119
LIAO109
21 Dec 2011
XINJ98
LIAO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 84
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 84
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 84
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 84
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
no box
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
24-24
21-10
19-17
27-20
24-21
35-24
18-26
23-22
184.6Avg total
94.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.087.8184.8+9.288%
Season at home (4)98.286.0184.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)94.490.2184.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)96.086.4182.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.986.2183.2+10.785%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
XinjiangLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H03/11
CBA
99.6Avg total
51.5Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.393.6+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.944.093.9+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.199.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.644.896.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.745.596.2+5.277%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
Liaoning
WWWLWWWWLL
#15
League position
#3
-3.7
Net rating
-0.1
102.0
Offensive rating
101.5
105.7
Defensive rating
101.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
33.8%
69.1%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 101.5Defence105.7 · 101.6Shooting55.3% · 53.6%3-point %34.7% · 33.8%Ball care11.2% · 13.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Xinjiang wins
7
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Liaoning v Xinjiang98-87
01/04/26Liaoning v Xinjiang87-75
25/01/26Xinjiang v Liaoning78-59
16/01/26Liaoning v Xinjiang82-75
18/04/25Xinjiang v Liaoning79-101
15/04/25Liaoning v Xinjiang105-96
13/04/25Liaoning v Xinjiang123-116 OT
28/12/24Liaoning v Xinjiang115-89
11/12/24Xinjiang v Liaoning125-105
17/11/24Liaoning v Xinjiang69-89
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HGuangzhou100-93
01/11/26HShenzhen91-71
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game97.098.295.8
Allowed / game87.886.089.5
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.2
Avg total184.8184.2185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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