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Liaoning vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-86
23-22 23-21 25-28 26-15
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game95.4
vs
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game109.9
ChinaCBARound 10· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangzhou
03 Nov 2026
LIAO100
GUAN93
18 Mar 2026
LIAO97
GUAN86
21 Mar 2025
LIAO135
GUAN108
03 Nov 2024
LIAO97
GUAN86
09 Mar 2024
LIAO109
GUAN103
18 Oct 2022
LIAO107
GUAN90
18 Jan 2022
LIAO110
GUAN98
16 Dec 2020
LIAO95
GUAN93
09 Nov 2020
LIAO117
GUAN82
23 Jun 2020
LIAO102
GUAN106
01 Feb 2019
LIAO110
GUAN94
16 Nov 2018
LIAO120
GUAN108
20 Dec 2017
LIAO99
GUAN111
28 Dec 2016
LIAO119
GUAN98
04 Dec 2015
LIAO99
GUAN103
17 Dec 2014
LIAO117
GUAN107
05 Jan 2014
LIAO115
GUAN93
06 Feb 2013
LIAO128
GUAN122
11 Jan 2012
LIAO116
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
104-95
104
95
+9
108avg 99
A22/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
115avg 99
H12/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-76
116
76
+40
123avg 99
H16/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
120-88
120
88
+32
119avg 99
A18/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
102-99
102
99
+3
no box
A20/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
106-83
106
83
+23
97avg 99
H22/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 99
H24/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
116-102
116
102
+14
121avg 99
A26/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
79-96
79
96
-17
67avg 99
A28/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-100
116
100
+16
124avg 99
A31/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
28-26
31-25
20-23
31-33
21-28
42-21
29-30
41-21
35-20
22-21
18-14
26-21
27-29
30-23
37-15
29-28
26-21
25-32
22-18
22-26
28-15
29-28
27-14
31-27
18-27
23-21
28-28
33-35
27-25
30-20
26-22
19-34
29-18
12-13
19-31
34-33
24-23
29-14
29-30
203.6Avg total
108.2Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)108.795.4204.1+13.278%
Season at home (4)111.293.5204.8+17.875%
Season away (5)106.697.0203.6+9.680%
Last 10 (10)108.295.4203.6+12.880%
Last 5 (5)103.496.8200.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)101.796.9198.6+4.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)111.490.8202.2+20.6100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
105-83
105
83
+22
93avg 93
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 93
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
59avg 93
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 93
H18/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
90-105
90
105
-15
71avg 93
A20/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
105-107
105
107
-2
100avg 93
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
110-122
110
122
-12
104avg 93
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
112-101
112
101
+11
114avg 93
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 93
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
94-114
94
114
-20
81avg 93
A01/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
33-20
27-26
20-17
18-18
22-23
15-31
16-21
16-26
23-26
15-33
26-24
21-26
29-27
23-30
15-37
26-29
32-22
12-29
20-25
32-35
24-26
20-22
29-24
28-32
27-27
31-35
24-28
30-30
28-18
27-23
27-30
34-24
33-31
18-25
23-21
21-34
16-23
22-27
35-30
201.8Avg total
96.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.4109.9208.2-11.525%
Season at home (2)99.0121.0220.0-22.00%
Season away (6)98.2106.2204.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)96.3105.5201.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)105.8109.0214.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)95.4105.5200.9-10.125%
vs Similar (11)102.8101.9204.7+0.964%
vs Weaker (7)108.093.3201.3+14.786%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
LiaoningGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A22/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H12/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
76-41
76
41
+35
H16/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A18/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A20/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H22/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H24/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A26/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A28/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A31/10
CBA
106.5Avg total
55.4Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.748.3102.1+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.348.5103.7+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)52.248.2100.4+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)55.451.1106.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)53.052.6105.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)51.149.5100.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)56.847.0103.8+9.886%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A20/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A01/11
CBA
103.5Avg total
51.8Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.951.4103.3+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.449.2102.5+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)50.753.2103.9-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)51.851.7103.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.0110.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)52.852.2105.0+0.542%-
vs Similar (11)50.251.7101.9-1.527%-
vs Weaker (7)53.049.6102.6+3.471%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.628.8
55.8%
52.6%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.912.0
40.1%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
76.3%15.4
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.227.5
51.7%
52.6%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.5
28.5%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.5%
76.3%16.1
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WLWLWWWWWW
Guangzhou
LWWLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#16
+14.3
Net rating
-15.4
116.0
Offensive rating
100.6
101.8
Defensive rating
116.0
57.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.1%
3-point %
28.5%
65.4%
Assist %
48.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 100.6Defence101.8 · 116.0Shooting57.4% · 48.7%3-point %40.1% · 28.5%Ball care16.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 35.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Liaoning wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
16/12/20Liaoning v Guangzhou95-93
02/12/20Guangzhou v Liaoning96-102
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24AFujian116-100
28/10/24AQingdao79-96
26/10/24AShandong116-102
24/10/24HShanxi Zhongyu100-103
22/10/24HQingdao106-83
20/10/24ATianjin102-99
18/10/24AGuangzhou120-88
16/10/24HFujian116-76
12/10/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-112
22/05/24AXinjiang104-95
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24AJilin94-114
29/10/24AShenzhen108-101
27/10/24AFujian112-101
25/10/24HNanjing Tongxi110-122
23/10/24ABeijing Royal Fighters105-107
20/10/24ABeijing90-105
18/10/24HLiaoning88-120
14/10/24AQingdao80-109
26/04/24HXinjiang71-93
24/04/24HXinjiang105-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game108.7111.2106.6
Allowed / game95.493.597.0
Point differential+13.2+17.8+9.6
Avg total204.1204.8203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game98.499.098.2
Allowed / game109.9121.0106.2
Point differential-11.5-22.0-8.0
Avg total208.2220.0204.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha98189%106.093.4+12.6
2 Shanxi Zhongyu98189%112.0103.4+8.6
3 Beijing98189%100.292.1+8.1
4 Liaoning97278%108.795.4+13.2
5 Xinjiang97278%110.6102.1+8.4
6 Beijing Royal Fighters96367%105.6101.1+4.4
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou106460%110.2103.2+7.0
8 Qingdao106460%99.996.9+3.0
9 Guangdong95456%108.1104.1+4.0
10 Jilin95456%109.7106.1+3.6
11 Shandong95456%104.3104.1+0.2
12 Nanjing Tongxi105550%104.3109.0-4.7
13 Ningbo Rockets104640%105.3111.0-5.7
14 Tianjin83538%103.2110.0-6.8
15 Guangzhou82625%98.4109.9-11.5
16 Sichuan92722%102.7108.3-5.7
17 Shenzhen92722%107.1113.1-6.0
18 Shanghai91811%100.6111.6-11.0
19 Fujian91811%105.3116.4-11.1
20 Jiangsu Dragons9090%93.6106.2-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning2323252697
Guangzhou2221281586
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