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Yambol vs Levski Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-80
17-11 17-24 18-26 27-19
Position#9
Record11-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.9
Yambol
Bulgaria
vs
Levski 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#7
Record8-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.5
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Diana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Yambol v Levski
17 Mar 2027
YAMB v LEV
upcoming
23 Mar 2024
YAMB79
LEV80
20 Jan 2024
YAMB81
LEV73
12 Feb 2023
YAMB86
LEV69
10 Apr 2022
YAMB78
LEV81
17 Feb 2022
YAMB78
LEV97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yambol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Levski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

YambolBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYambol
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 72
H20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 72
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 72
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 72
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 72
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
106avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 72
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
82avg 72
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 72
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
17-25
20-15
20-19
18-15
19-25
21-22
9-18
24-16
20-15
13-29
15-15
16-30
20-11
13-18
18-17
26-26
14-19
19-26
16-16
19-27
20-23
14-19
27-10
27-28
23-17
24-16
27-23
24-17
21-14
18-20
18-17
27-17
20-22
16-16
22-22
8-27
23-17
19-15
15-15
154.7Avg total
77.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.483.9163.4-4.544%
Season at home (14)81.982.4164.3-0.457%
Season away (11)76.385.9162.2-9.627%
Last 10 (10)77.477.3154.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.476.4158.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.984.7158.6-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.979.1164.0+5.880%
vs Weaker (3)88.095.3183.3-7.333%
This opponent (Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
72-62
72
62
+10
67avg 67
H13/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
49avg 67
A17/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 67
A20/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 67
A27/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 67
H04/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
60-59
60
59
+1
51avg 67
A11/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 67
H16/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 67
A02/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
90-59
90
59
+31
92avg 67
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 67
H09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
12-15
23-13
17-17
6-20
29-14
15-25
11-17
14-24
25-17
15-20
19-20
18-25
18-22
14-27
20-14
22-24
16-27
14-15
13-20
11-12
15-10
17-18
17-19
21-19
25-30
11-21
22-20
21-22
25-25
24-20
21-15
23-16
23-4
25-19
19-20
16-24
21-23
20-12
11-20
149.1Avg total
72.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.077.5151.5-3.532%
Season at home (13)73.577.4150.8-3.923%
Season away (12)74.677.6152.2-3.042%
Last 10 (10)72.976.2149.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.673.8151.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.881.5153.2-9.812%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.979.9152.7-7.029%
vs Weaker (7)82.971.3154.1+11.657%
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
YambolLevski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
YambolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
81.5Avg total
41.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.884.8-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.942.084.9+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.045.784.7-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.845.484.2-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.140.083.1+3.160%-
vs Weaker (3)48.348.096.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H04/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A11/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A02/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/03
NBL
77.1Avg total
38.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.076.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.479.1-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.674.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.077.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.642.681.2-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.539.775.2-4.221%-
vs Weaker (7)43.635.479.0+8.186%-
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Yamboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Yambol: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.1
29.8%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.812.1
76.6%
71.1%12.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.9
48.8%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.46.9
25.2%
31.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.3
65.8%
71.1%13.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Yambol
LWWWWLLLLW
Levski
LWWLWLLLLW
#9
League position
#7
+1.3
Net rating
-4.8
98.1
Offensive rating
95.9
96.8
Defensive rating
100.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
44.3%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.8%
3-point %
25.2%
55.6%
Assist %
74.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 95.9Defence96.8 · 100.7Shooting50.0% · 44.3%3-point %29.8% · 25.2%Ball care18.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds22.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Yambol   ■ Levski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Yambol wins
5
Levski wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Yambol v Levski81-73
17/11/23Levski v Yambol82-93
22/04/23Levski v Yambol82-89
12/02/23Yambol v Levski86-69
11/12/22Levski v Yambol89-67
10/04/22Yambol v Levski78-81
17/02/22Yambol v Levski78-97
04/12/21Levski v Yambol85-81
13/03/21Levski v Yambol100-84
Yambollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ASpartak Pleven65-74
09/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv85-77
06/03/24HMinyor81-68
02/03/24HBeroe101-84
16/02/24AShumen80-79
10/02/24HRilski Sportist75-87
07/02/24AMinyor67-76
27/01/24HBalkan72-75
24/01/24ASpartak Pleven67-80
20/01/24HLevski81-73
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HShumen68-79
06/03/24HBeroe90-59
02/03/24AAcademic Plovdiv91-82
16/02/24HChernomorets79-90
11/02/24AMinyor60-59
04/02/24HSpartak Pleven65-86
27/01/24ARilski Sportist70-88
20/01/24AYambol73-81
17/01/24AShumen61-76
13/01/24HAcademic Plovdiv72-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Yambol
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %44%57%27%
Points / game79.481.976.3
Allowed / game83.982.485.9
Point differential-4.5-0.4-9.6
Avg total163.4164.3162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL32%
HomeWLLWL23%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%23%42%
Points / game74.073.574.6
Allowed / game77.577.477.6
Point differential-3.5-3.9-3.0
Avg total151.5150.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2520580%84.575.2+9.3
2 Rilski Sportist2520580%83.875.3+8.4
3 Spartak Pleven2518772%88.079.2+8.8
4 Balkan2415962%82.478.4+4.0
5 CSKA Sofia24131154%84.880.0+4.9
6 Yambol25111444%79.483.9-4.5
7 Cherno More25111444%82.687.3-4.7
8 Shumen26101638%83.582.8+0.7
9 Levski2581732%74.077.5-3.5
10 Academic Plovdiv2581732%79.484.9-5.4
11 Minyor2581732%74.482.4-8.1
12 Beroe2681831%80.589.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Yambol1717182779
Levski1124261980
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