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Yambol vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-105
25-39 23-17 16-26 22-23
Position#9
Record11-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Shumen 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#6
Record10-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.8
BulgariaNBLRound 5· Diana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Yambol v Shumen
10 Feb 2027
YAMB v SHUM
upcoming
27 Mar 2024
YAMB86
SHUM105
11 Dec 2023
YAMB74
SHUM82
05 Apr 2023
YAMB80
SHUM83
21 Jan 2023
YAMB91
SHUM76
06 Apr 2022
YAMB93
SHUM88
10 Nov 2021
YAMB98
SHUM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yambol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

YambolBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYambol
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 72
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 72
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 72
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 72
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
106avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 72
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
82avg 72
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 72
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Levski
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
78avg 72
H23/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
19-25
21-22
9-18
24-16
20-15
13-29
15-15
16-30
20-11
13-18
18-17
26-26
14-19
19-26
16-16
19-27
20-23
14-19
27-10
27-28
23-17
24-16
27-23
24-17
21-14
18-20
18-17
27-17
20-22
16-16
22-22
8-27
23-17
19-15
15-15
17-11
17-24
18-26
27-19
155.2Avg total
77.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.483.8163.2-4.342%
Season at home (15)81.782.2163.9-0.553%
Season away (11)76.385.9162.2-9.627%
Last 10 (10)77.278.0155.2-0.840%
Last 5 (5)82.276.6158.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.384.1158.3-9.827%
vs Similar (11)84.479.2163.5+5.273%
vs Weaker (3)88.095.3183.3-7.333%
This opponent (Shumen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 72
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
90-97
90
97
-7
78avg 72
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 72
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 72
H03/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 72
A10/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 72
H16/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
67-61
67
61
+6
61avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
77avg 72
A06/03
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
77avg 72
A09/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
122-74
122
74
+48
124avg 72
H21/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-6
14-29
25-15
17-11
26-19
30-29
18-26
16-23
20-19
22-22
24-25
20-23
24-24
19-15
26-15
17-28
21-19
18-18
17-28
27-20
27-19
23-20
19-14
10-27
14-14
14-15
21-20
18-12
21-25
24-13
12-28
28-23
24-16
23-21
12-20
20-11
31-18
25-25
28-20
38-11
163.9Avg total
85.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.582.8166.2+0.738%
Season at home (13)83.582.3165.8+1.238%
Season away (13)83.483.2166.6+0.238%
Last 10 (10)85.378.6163.9+6.750%
Last 5 (5)86.474.4160.8+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.893.1174.9-11.310%
vs Similar (10)81.080.5161.5+0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.581.0165.5+3.550%
This opponent (Yambol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
YambolShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
YambolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H23/03
NBL
80.4Avg total
40.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.183.9-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.683.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.045.784.7-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.180.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.880.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.844.783.5-5.927%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.581.8+2.755%-
vs Weaker (3)48.348.096.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A06/03
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H21/03
NBL
82.6Avg total
44.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.882.6+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.781.6+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.983.9+2.071%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.682.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.344.486.7-2.160%-
vs Similar (10)41.439.280.6+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Yambol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Yamboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Yambol: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.8
29.1%
31.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.412.0
77.9%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.2
55.2%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.4
28.1%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
71.1%12.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Yambol
LLWWWWLLLL
Shumen
WWLWLLWLLW
#9
League position
#6
-0.3
Net rating
+8.2
97.5
Offensive rating
105.9
97.7
Defensive rating
97.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.1%
3-point %
28.1%
55.0%
Assist %
50.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 105.9Defence97.7 · 97.7Shooting50.4% · 49.8%3-point %29.1% · 28.1%Ball care19.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds21.8% · 32.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Yambol   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Yambol wins
2
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Shumen v Yambol79-80
11/12/23Yambol v Shumen74-82
05/04/23Yambol v Shumen80-83
21/01/23Yambol v Shumen91-76
19/11/22Shumen v Yambol68-84
06/04/22Yambol v Shumen93-88
03/03/22Shumen v Yambol73-82
10/11/21Yambol v Shumen98-77
Yambollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HLevski79-80
15/03/24ASpartak Pleven65-74
09/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv85-77
06/03/24HMinyor81-68
02/03/24HBeroe101-84
16/02/24AShumen80-79
10/02/24HRilski Sportist75-87
07/02/24AMinyor67-76
27/01/24HBalkan72-75
24/01/24ASpartak Pleven67-80
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HBeroe122-74
09/03/24ALevski79-68
06/03/24AAcademic Plovdiv85-89
02/03/24HMinyor67-61
16/02/24HYambol79-80
10/02/24AChernomorets83-85
03/02/24HCSKA Sofia86-82
27/01/24ASpartak Pleven86-89
20/01/24ACherno More90-97
17/01/24HLevski76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Yambol
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %42%53%27%
Points / game79.481.776.3
Allowed / game83.882.285.9
Point differential-4.3-0.5-9.6
Avg total163.2163.9162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeWWLWW38%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game83.583.583.4
Allowed / game82.882.383.2
Point differential+0.7+1.2+0.2
Avg total166.2165.8166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2621581%84.774.7+9.9
2 Chernomorets2621581%84.975.1+9.8
3 Spartak Pleven2619773%87.879.1+8.7
4 Balkan25151060%82.079.1+2.9
5 CSKA Sofia25131252%84.680.0+4.5
6 Yambol26111542%79.483.8-4.3
7 Cherno More26111542%81.788.1-6.3
8 Shumen26101638%83.582.8+0.7
9 Levski2691735%74.277.5-3.3
10 Academic Plovdiv2691735%79.884.8-5.1
11 Minyor2681831%74.782.7-7.9
12 Beroe2681831%80.589.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Yambol2523162286
Shumen39172623105
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