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Toledo vs Kent State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 59-67
24-28 35-39
Position#107
Record20-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#199
Record15-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toledo v Kent State
05 Dec 2026
TOLE v KENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
TOLE72
KENT75
21 Jan 2025
TOLE64
KENT83
14 Mar 2024
TOLE59
KENT67
08 Mar 2024
TOLE86
KENT71
11 Mar 2023
TOLE78
KENT93
15 Feb 2022
TOLE59
KENT72
23 Jan 2021
TOLE76
KENT74
28 Jan 2020
TOLE70
KENT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-47
34-30
42-37
49-50
47-46
43-44
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
54-24
43-39
36-26
50-45
161.4Avg total
83.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.776.4157.1+4.365%
Season at home (17)80.175.0155.1+5.171%
Season away (14)81.478.1159.6+3.357%
Last 10 (10)83.078.4161.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)81.672.8154.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.688.0166.6-9.40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.173.9154.0+6.181%
vs Weaker (9)81.476.2157.7+5.267%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
83-52
83
52
+31
A02/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A23/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
51-22
32-30
27-25
36-36
29-37
39-41
44-26
41-21
33-27
24-36
27-32
43-51
39-27
37-37
25-28
39-36
32-37
37-39
26-36
45-50
140.4Avg total
72.1Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.672.4147.9+3.248%
Season at home (17)80.072.0152.0+8.059%
Season away (14)70.272.8143.0-2.636%
Last 10 (10)72.168.3140.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)73.076.4149.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.7159.7-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.176.2148.3-4.127%
vs Weaker (12)80.165.4145.5+14.783%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.4-0.4
ToledoKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/03
NCAA
74.4Avg total
39.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.273.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.935.871.6+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.136.874.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.674.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.070.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.135.572.6+1.644%-
vs Weaker (9)37.734.472.1+3.256%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A02/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A09/03
NCAA
63.0Avg total
33.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.868.0+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.332.268.6+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)33.933.567.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.329.763.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.061.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.739.768.3-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.334.466.7-2.133%-
vs Weaker (12)40.329.269.5+11.283%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toledo wins
6
Kent State wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Toledo v Kent State86-71
10/01/24Kent State v Toledo75-89
12/03/23Toledo v Kent State78-93
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
23/01/21Toledo v Kent State76-74
05/01/21Kent State v Toledo82-84
29/01/20Toledo v Kent State70-83
08/01/20Kent State v Toledo84-77
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HKent State86-71
06/03/24AMiami (Ohio)97-63
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
10/02/24AAppalachian State104-109 OT
07/02/24AEastern Michigan91-87
03/02/24AAkron70-77
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AToledo71-86
06/03/24ABall State69-76
02/03/24HCentral Michigan79-73 OT
28/02/24HBuffalo76-64
23/02/24AAkron70-83
21/02/24AOhio57-63
17/02/24HNorthern Illinois85-47
10/02/24HTroy68-78
07/02/24HWestern Michigan63-61
02/02/24ABuffalo83-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %65%71%57%
Points / game80.780.181.4
Allowed / game76.475.078.1
Point differential+4.3+5.1+3.3
Avg total157.1155.1159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)71% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Kent State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWLWWW59%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %48%59%36%
Points / game75.680.070.2
Allowed / game72.472.072.8
Point differential+3.2+8.0-2.6
Avg total147.9152.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron31211068%74.766.2+8.5
2 UMass30201067%78.170.7+7.4
3 Toledo31201165%80.776.4+4.3
4 Ohio31191261%77.670.6+7.0
5 Bowling Green31191261%74.271.2+3.0
6 Central Michigan31181358%66.870.2-3.4
7 Miami (Ohio)30151550%71.169.8+1.3
8 Kent State31151648%75.672.4+3.2
9 Ball State31151648%73.571.0+2.6
10 Eastern Michigan31131842%66.072.6-6.6
11 Western Michigan31121939%71.874.6-2.8
12 Northern Illinois31112035%73.277.4-4.2
13 Buffalo3142713%68.079.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo243559
Kent State283967
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