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Zadar vs Mega Soccerbet Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-90
21-21 19-20 21-25 22-24
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Soccerbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A21/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A11/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#4
L
48-72
48
72
-24
A13/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
99-89 OT
99
89
+10
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#4
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H18/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A02/01
ABA League
Osijek
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H05/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H10/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A12/01
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H14/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
27-12
19-19
20-25
18-13
22-22
20-15
21-12
13-20
19-13
8-16
8-23
15-19
23-20
21-24
23-19
14-17
25-8
17-16
18-14
16-22
12-21
22-25
16-13
22-17
16-19
14-19
21-15
12-20
19-20
26-26
21-14
14-26
21-16
23-15
23-12
27-21
27-9
19-14
29-19
148.9Avg total
78.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.371.7138.0-5.420%
Season at home (4)70.076.8146.8-6.80%
Season away (6)63.868.3132.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)78.270.7148.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)80.072.6152.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.080.5148.5-12.50%
vs Similar (5)77.873.2151.0+4.660%
vs Weaker (18)82.465.3147.7+17.183%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H15/11
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A21/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H10/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
15-19
8-15
22-21
24-19
31-22
20-24
22-18
17-14
19-17
15-23
20-16
–
–
–
–
29-22
11-11
21-11
30-31
27-16
23-24
15-16
12-23
27-18
19-10
14-21
18-23
25-18
12-23
20-17
20-19
29-28
20-20
21-24
18-21
24-26
17-25
21-17
22-18
150.0Avg total
77.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.273.4151.6+4.964%
Season at home (7)82.179.9162.0+2.357%
Season away (7)74.366.9141.1+7.471%
Last 10 (10)77.172.9150.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.884.2168.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.987.4166.3-8.614%
vs Similar (5)83.078.0161.0+5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.074.4164.4+15.693%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
ZadarMega Soccerbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A21/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/12
ABA League
Gorica
#4
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H18/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A02/01
ABA League
Osijek
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H10/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A12/01
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H14/01
Premijer liga
72.1Avg total
37.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.835.974.7+2.852%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.333.572.7+5.860%-
Last 30 away (14)38.238.676.8-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.572.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.275.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.040.273.2-7.217%-
vs Similar (5)35.237.472.6-2.220%-
vs Weaker (17)42.133.675.7+8.476%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/01
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/01
ABA League
83.8Avg total
44.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)46.440.086.4+6.468%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.639.385.9+7.369%-
Last 30 away (12)46.140.886.8+5.367%-
Last 10 (9)44.139.783.8+4.467%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.686.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.742.383.0-1.657%-
vs Similar (5)47.442.489.8+5.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.037.886.8+11.277%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.8
49.7%
52.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
36.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
75.0%14.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.9
56.5%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
36.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
75.0%15.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLWLWWLWW
Mega Soccerbet
LLWWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#6
-12.0
Net rating
+3.5
96.4
Offensive rating
107.6
108.4
Defensive rating
104.1
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
32.5%
57.6%
Assist %
65.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 107.6Defence108.4 · 104.1Shooting48.6% · 53.5%3-point %31.2% · 32.5%Ball care20.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Soccerbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zadar wins
1
Mega Soccerbet wins
DateGameScore
11/10/20Mega Soccerbet v Zadar90-87
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/21HSonik Puntamika102-63
12/01/21ACedevita Junior81-69
10/01/21HCedevita Olimpija78-80
05/01/21HOsijek73-70
02/01/21ACrvena zvezda66-81
18/12/20HGorica74-55
15/12/20AFMP Beograd99-89 OT
13/12/20AIgokea48-72
11/12/20ACibona81-62
21/11/20AZabok80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HIgokea84-86
02/01/21HCedevita Olimpija88-93
25/12/20AFMP Beograd92-91 OT
20/12/20HBuducnost78-72
12/12/20APartizan77-79
06/12/20HSplit91-75
21/11/20APrimorska20-0
15/11/20HKK Krka Novo mesto71-70
06/11/20ABorac Mozzart97-83
31/10/20AMornar Bar73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game66.370.063.8
Allowed / game71.776.868.3
Point differential-5.4-6.8-4.5
Avg total138.0146.8132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%57%71%
Points / game78.282.174.3
Allowed / game73.479.966.9
Point differential+4.9+2.3+7.4
Avg total151.6162.0141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%14%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mornar Bar1412286%80.672.1+8.5
2 Crvena zvezda1210283%80.265.1+15.1
3 Buducnost1210283%75.267.8+7.3
4 Igokea1310377%75.271.5+3.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija118373%83.475.1+8.3
6 Mega Soccerbet149564%78.273.4+4.9
7 Partizan157847%76.674.7+1.9
8 KK Krka Novo mesto125742%66.868.7-1.9
9 FMP Beograd145936%74.378.3-4.0
10 Borac Mozzart124833%75.878.0-2.2
11 Split1551033%72.577.4-4.9
12 Cibona123925%70.879.9-9.1
13 Zadar102820%66.371.7-5.4
14 Primorska140140%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2119212283
Mega Soccerbet2120252490
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