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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 105-102
22-26 26-28 27-23 30-25
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#17
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus
15 Nov 2025
ZALG105
ALYT102
12 Oct 2024
ZALG78
ALYT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 73
A02/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
87avg 73
H04/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 73
H09/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 73
A11/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
96-84
96
84
+12
88avg 73
A16/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
69avg 73
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
116-84
116
84
+32
114avg 73
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
76avg 73
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 73
A13/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
15-17
23-26
27-22
21-28
27-14
21-16
18-23
14-16
27-15
18-16
27-23
20-19
17-15
18-25
9-17
29-23
24-19
26-25
17-17
24-22
30-16
8-13
25-24
22-18
28-32
18-24
13-25
26-18
22-23
37-19
31-24
19-12
18-12
13-22
20-24
22-26
16-9
17-19
12-27
168.8Avg total
85.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.982.9168.8+3.060%
Season at home (4)94.077.5171.5+16.5100%
Season away (6)80.586.5167.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)85.982.9168.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)87.286.0173.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (24)80.580.8161.3-0.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.882.8175.6+10.080%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 68
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
71-106
71
106
-35
62avg 68
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 68
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 68
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
92avg 68
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 68
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 68
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 68
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 68
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 68
H13/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-22
26-21
7-20
19-26
12-22
22-29
18-29
20-17
10-13
23-15
22-24
14-23
20-10
20-23
22-21
25-16
22-18
18-17
33-21
21-16
10-24
21-17
18-19
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
157.1Avg total
75.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.382.5158.7-6.218%
Season at home (8)78.679.8158.4-1.125%
Season away (3)70.089.7159.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)75.481.7157.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)73.282.6155.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.590.1163.5-16.68%
vs Similar (4)93.886.2180.0+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Alytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H04/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A16/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/11
NKL
82.3Avg total
44.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.180.1+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.540.282.8+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.237.877.0+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.637.782.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.683.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (24)41.040.081.0+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.835.678.4+7.280%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
73.1Avg total
35.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.980.2-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.139.676.7-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)37.747.885.5-10.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.573.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.274.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.943.279.1-7.331%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.887.2+5.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.9
53.4%
54.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.516.0
68.1%
69.3%16.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.211.1
61.0%
69.3%11.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLWWLWWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLWLWLL
#3
League position
#17
+2.8
Net rating
-7.8
107.2
Offensive rating
102.9
104.4
Defensive rating
110.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.7%
3-point %
33.2%
58.9%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 102.9Defence104.4 · 110.7Shooting51.1% · 50.0%3-point %31.7% · 33.2%Ball care19.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds36.8% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ARytas 267-81
08/11/25ABC Olimpas Palanga85-91 OT
30/10/25HUkmerges Stekas116-84
28/10/25AKedainiu SC81-99
18/10/25HNeptunas 287-75
16/10/25AVytis VDU96-84
11/10/25AVilkaviskis64-76
09/10/25HPlunges Olimpas86-70
04/10/25HOmega-Tauras87-81
02/10/25ATelsiai90-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88
25/10/25HJurbarkas70-76
23/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga98-72
16/10/25HRytas 276-77
11/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga75-69
09/10/25AKretinga71-106
04/10/25HPlunges Olimpas68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game85.994.080.5
Allowed / game82.977.586.5
Point differential+3.0+16.5-6.0
Avg total168.8171.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %18%25%0%
Points / game76.378.670.0
Allowed / game82.579.889.7
Point differential-6.2-1.1-19.7
Avg total158.7158.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC109190%95.286.1+9.1
2 Telsiai118373%85.781.7+4.0
3 Suduva-Mantinga107370%84.978.5+6.4
4 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
5 Omega-Tauras117464%92.086.6+5.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2106460%85.982.9+3.0
7 Mazeikiai116555%83.281.5+1.7
8 Neptunas 2116555%78.577.7+0.7
9 Jurbarkas116555%75.276.5-1.4
10 Vilkaviskis126650%85.382.1+3.2
11 Rytas 2125742%80.880.4+0.4
12 Silute125742%85.587.0-1.5
13 Kretinga114736%83.085.0-2.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga124833%78.386.2-7.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas113827%80.991.5-10.6
16 Plunges Olimpas123925%81.286.8-5.7
17 Alytaus Alytus112918%76.382.5-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 222262730105
Alytaus Alytus26282325102
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