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Kretinga vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-71
26-19 22-12 29-22 29-18
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus
07 Mar 2026
KRET101
ALYT97
09 Oct 2025
KRET106
ALYT71
20 Feb 2025
KRET105
ALYT72
31 Oct 2024
KRET71
ALYT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 75
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 75
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
105-72
105
72
+33
109avg 75
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 75
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 75
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 75
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
90avg 75
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 75
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 75
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 75
A04/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
16-17
24-11
21-23
32-8
21-14
23-26
17-24
20-18
27-13
24-18
34-23
21-17
27-32
20-17
30-22
26-14
27-18
21-19
18-23
17-19
31-21
22-29
9-21
25-19
22-26
26-23
20-26
23-20
21-27
19-26
25-29
16-23
20-22
17-23
25-21
19-18
13-17
17-29
22-34
172.2Avg total
87.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.593.5168.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Season away (1)71.098.0169.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)87.684.6172.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)81.894.6176.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.589.7167.2-12.215%
vs Similar (12)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.480.2171.6+11.280%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
75-103
75
103
-28
57avg 68
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
60-109
60
109
-49
39avg 68
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
78-111
78
111
-33
60avg 68
A13/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
72-105
72
105
-33
62avg 68
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-107
77
107
-30
72avg 68
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
96-105
96
105
-9
84avg 68
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 68
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 68
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 68
H04/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-18
18-25
19-19
13-27
15-22
19-27
28-27
15-34
17-24
17-22
11-29
19-34
20-30
23-22
16-25
18-20
13-27
18-24
23-34
18-24
20-36
18-21
21-26
23-27
27-32
22-30
24-16
23-27
17-22
17-23
15-19
23-21
17-17
20-32
25-20
20-17
15-22
26-21
7-20
175.0Avg total
76.5Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.585.0161.5-8.50%
Season at home (2)76.585.0161.5-8.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.598.5175.0-22.00%
Last 5 (5)79.694.6174.2-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.190.9167.0-14.819%
vs Similar (4)97.293.5190.8+3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.6-4.6
KretingaAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/10
NKL
82.1Avg total
44.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.684.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.540.483.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.982.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.344.685.9-3.346%-
vs Similar (12)43.438.281.6+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.241.887.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A13/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
NKL
88.1Avg total
37.8Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.583.6-5.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.442.081.4-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)38.747.386.0-8.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.850.388.1-12.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.089.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.744.482.1-6.735%-
vs Similar (4)48.245.093.2+3.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.3
55.6%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.011.1
74.0%
69.3%11.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.9
48.9%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.7
27.9%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
69.3%10.8
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLLLWWWWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#17
+3.9
Net rating
-27.7
112.7
Offensive rating
95.3
108.8
Defensive rating
123.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
46.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.8%
3-point %
27.9%
68.5%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 95.3Defence108.8 · 123.0Shooting54.9% · 46.2%3-point %35.8% · 27.9%Ball care15.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Kretinga   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus105-72
16/01/25Alytaus Alytus v Kretinga61-80
31/10/24Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus71-79
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ANeptunas 271-98
02/10/25HVytis VDU78-89
08/03/25HVytis VDU88-102
06/03/25AVytis VDU93-94
01/03/25HNeptunas 279-90
27/02/25ARytas 292-74
22/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis98-88
20/02/25HAlytaus Alytus105-72
13/02/25HPlunges Olimpas93-72
08/02/25ASilute79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HPlunges Olimpas68-80
02/10/25HSilute85-90
01/03/25HRytas 272-91
27/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis96-105
22/02/25HSilute77-107
20/02/25AKretinga72-105
13/02/25ANeptunas 278-111
08/02/25AUkmerges Stekas60-109
06/02/25HPlunges Olimpas75-103
01/02/25ASilute82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.578.071.0
Allowed / game93.589.098.0
Point differential-19.0-11.0-27.0
Avg total168.0167.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.576.5-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential-8.5-8.5-
Avg total161.5161.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis330100%87.374.3+13.0
2 Vytis VDU220100%85.072.0+13.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 2330100%87.779.7+8.0
4 Suduva-Mantinga110100%81.080.0+1.0
5 Telsiai32167%88.080.3+7.7
6 Omega-Tauras32167%92.788.7+4.0
7 Kedainiu SC32167%94.090.3+3.7
8 Jurbarkas21150%86.583.5+3.0
9 Silute21150%81.087.5-6.5
10 Neptunas 231233%86.781.3+5.3
11 Mazeikiai31233%82.082.3-0.3
12 Rytas 231233%86.087.7-1.7
13 Plunges Olimpas31233%82.087.3-5.3
14 Alytaus Alytus2020%76.585.0-8.5
15 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%66.582.0-15.5
16 Ukmerges Stekas2020%69.087.5-18.5
17 Kretinga2020%74.593.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga26222929106
Alytaus Alytus1912221871
← all games of the day
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