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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 116-84
26-18 22-23 37-19 31-24
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game90.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Dec 2026
ZALG v UKME
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
ZALG116
UKME84
25 Jan 2025
ZALG82
UKME75
09 Jan 2024
ZALG74
UKME75
17 Dec 2022
ZALG74
UKME68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
75avg 72
H10/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 72
A13/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 72
H16/04
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
87avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 72
H09/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 72
A11/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
96-84
96
84
+12
88avg 72
A16/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 72
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
69avg 72
A28/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-17
27-17
22-21
24-22
21-26
21-17
15-13
27-21
15-24
21-18
20-19
25-23
15-17
23-26
27-22
21-28
27-14
21-16
18-23
14-16
27-15
18-16
27-23
20-19
17-15
18-25
9-17
29-23
24-19
26-25
17-17
24-22
30-16
8-13
25-24
22-18
28-32
18-24
13-25
165.2Avg total
84.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.481.9166.3+2.671%
Season at home (3)86.775.3162.0+11.3100%
Season away (4)82.886.8169.5-4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.281.0165.2+3.280%
Last 5 (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (26)81.780.1161.8+1.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.779.7167.3+8.0100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 72
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 72
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 72
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
72-94
72
94
-22
65avg 72
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
49avg 72
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 72
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 72
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 72
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 72
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 72
H25/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
23-24
18-22
25-22
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
22-23
21-27
16-21
13-23
17-28
15-17
11-19
23-17
19-21
22-19
7-28
22-23
22-23
17-30
19-28
36-24
30-16
21-31
19-25
18-10
23-17
22-20
31-25
22-28
14-19
29-25
21-17
25-26
173.4Avg total
83.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.490.0172.4-7.643%
Season at home (5)83.488.8172.2-5.460%
Season away (2)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)83.190.3173.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)87.891.0178.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.987.2167.1-7.438%
vs Similar (19)79.579.0158.5+0.553%
vs Weaker (3)102.370.3172.7+32.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A13/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H16/04
NKL
Telsiai
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H04/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A16/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/10
NKL
85.7Avg total
44.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.480.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.681.5+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.179.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.985.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.086.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (26)41.439.781.2+1.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.037.780.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
NKL
89.0Avg total
43.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.683.8-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.882.7+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.885.0-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.288.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.645.286.9-3.638%-
vs Similar (19)39.642.181.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker (3)50.038.788.7+11.3100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.4%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.116.5
68.5%
69.3%16.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
69.3%15.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWWLWWWWWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#16
+4.2
Net rating
-9.1
109.8
Offensive rating
109.9
105.6
Defensive rating
119.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
31.7%
59.5%
Assist %
60.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 109.9Defence105.6 · 119.0Shooting50.8% · 51.2%3-point %34.4% · 31.7%Ball care18.0% · 14.7%Off. rebounds36.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas82-75
03/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 281-71
09/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-75
18/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-79
17/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-68
22/10/22Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 267-80
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25AKedainiu SC81-99
18/10/25HNeptunas 287-75
16/10/25AVytis VDU96-84
11/10/25AVilkaviskis64-76
09/10/25HPlunges Olimpas86-70
04/10/25HOmega-Tauras87-81
02/10/25ATelsiai90-88
16/04/25HBC Olimpas Palanga83-82
13/04/25ABC Olimpas Palanga81-78
10/04/25HBC Olimpas Palanga87-77
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HPlunges Olimpas89-87
23/10/25HSilute98-90
18/10/25HMazeikiai88-82
16/10/25AKedainiu SC94-105
11/10/25HNeptunas 270-91
09/10/25AVytis VDU66-81
02/10/25HVilkaviskis72-94
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90
06/03/25AOmega-Tauras100-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game84.486.782.8
Allowed / game81.975.386.8
Point differential+2.6+11.3-4.0
Avg total166.3162.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game82.483.480.0
Allowed / game90.088.893.0
Point differential-7.6-5.4-13.0
Avg total172.4172.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC87188%97.887.9+9.9
2 Vilkaviskis76186%85.774.7+11.0
3 Vytis VDU75271%84.980.0+4.9
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 275271%84.481.9+2.6
5 Suduva-Mantinga64267%82.377.7+4.7
6 Omega-Tauras85362%91.987.2+4.6
7 Telsiai74357%84.183.3+0.9
8 Rytas 284450%84.480.1+4.2
9 Silute84450%85.487.1-1.8
10 Mazeikiai73443%81.981.9+0.0
11 Jurbarkas73443%74.380.7-6.4
12 Ukmerges Stekas73443%82.490.0-7.6
13 Neptunas 272529%78.482.0-3.6
14 Alytaus Alytus72529%77.681.4-3.9
15 Kretinga72529%82.988.3-5.4
16 Plunges Olimpas82625%87.087.9-0.9
17 BC Olimpas Palanga81712%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 226223731116
Ukmerges Stekas1823192484
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