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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Rytas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 93-84
Projected total 177.8
Final 95-90
30-17 18-29 23-22 24-22
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.1
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Vs
79%
21%
■ ZALG 79%■ RYTA 21%
Pythia win probability
Rytas 2
Lithuania
Position#18
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game87.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 11· Kaunas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 2
05 Nov 2026
ZALG95
RYTA90
05 Mar 2026
ZALG79
RYTA58
06 Dec 2025
ZALG95
RYTA90
30 Nov 2024
ZALG72
RYTA68
05 Oct 2023
ZALG72
RYTA55
05 Nov 2022
ZALG84
RYTA67
22 Mar 2022
ZALG77
RYTA50
16 Mar 2022
ZALG73
RYTA68
02 Dec 2021
ZALG78
RYTA75
24 Oct 2020
ZALG86
RYTA81
13 Feb 2020
ZALG88
RYTA72
03 Oct 2019
ZALG100
RYTA71
05 Oct 2018
ZALG69
RYTA94
12 Jan 2018
ZALG88
RYTA84
04 Jan 2018
ZALG84
RYTA60
29 Oct 2016
ZALG78
RYTA90
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The NKL clash on 5 November 2026 pits Zalgiris Kaunas 2 against Rytas 2, with the model favouring Zalgiris Kaunas 2 at 79% to 21%. Zalgiris's 4-6 record, 95.7 points scored and 97.1 allowed per game, coupled with a 2-3 home record of 93.8 points for and 95.8 against, underpins the high probability, while Rytas's 0-10 season, 75.1 points scored and 87.3 allowed, and a 0-4 road record of 69.2 for and 80.2 against, explain the low chance. In the last five games Zalgiris won only one and lost four, including a 100-112 loss away to BC Olimpas Palanga, a 82-93 home loss to Omega-Tauras, and a 101-85 away win over Kretinga; Rytas has gone five straight losses, with defeats to Alytaus Patriotai 91-101, Vilkaviskis 72-74, and Neptunas 62-74. Historically, Zalgiris has won seven of ten meetings, most recently beating Rytas 79-58 on 5 March 2026. The model projects a 93-84 scoreline with 177.8 total points, a 4% chance of overtime, and no spread line is provided. The game will likely confirm Zalgiris's dominance in the current season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
79.0%fair 1.27
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas 2 winLost
21.0%fair 4.77
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
107-104
107
104
+3
102avg 80
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 80
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 80
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 80
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#6
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 80
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 80
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 80
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 80
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 80
A31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
22-22
28-19
26-26
29-23
28-33
28-21
22-27
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
192.8Avg total
95.7Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.797.1192.8-1.440%
Season at home (5)93.895.8189.6-2.040%
Season away (5)97.698.4196.0-0.840%
Last 10 (10)95.797.1192.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)90.897.4188.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.098.3186.3-10.317%
vs Similar (15)86.983.9170.7+3.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.988.3182.2+5.667%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 74
H01/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 74
A03/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
91-99
91
99
-8
86avg 74
H08/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-103
81
103
-22
70avg 74
H10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 74
H15/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
64-89
64
89
-25
56avg 74
A17/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
69-83
69
83
-14
64avg 74
A22/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
62-74
62
74
-12
56avg 74
H24/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 74
A29/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 74
H31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
12-25
21-21
20-21
18-18
13-16
16-23
25-18
17-26
26-26
20-26
28-21
27-24
14-28
17-19
23-32
19-20
11-24
18-18
24-22
22-29
14-15
11-24
17-21
20-20
16-14
12-23
21-26
18-23
16-15
16-18
12-18
19-17
21-16
13-23
19-18
23-25
19-25
19-28
30-23
162.4Avg total
75.1Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.187.3162.4-12.20%
Season at home (6)79.092.0171.0-13.00%
Season away (4)69.280.2149.5-11.00%
Last 10 (10)75.187.3162.4-12.20%
Last 5 (5)71.684.2155.8-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.190.0165.1-14.90%
vs Similar (16)78.581.3159.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (5)93.474.0167.4+19.4100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 162Actual: Over 162
Over 162
83.5%
Under 162
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
74.5%
Under 167
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172Actual: Over 172
Over 172
63.5%
Under 172
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 80Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 80
Over 80
91.5%
Under 80
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 84Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 84
Over 84
83.5%
Under 84
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 88Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 over 88
Over 88
71.4%
Under 88
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rytas 2 total 78.5Actual: Rytas 2 over 78.5
Over 78.5
71.0%
Under 78.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rytas 2 total 82.5Actual: Rytas 2 over 82.5
Over 82.5
56.3%
Under 82.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rytas 2 total 86.5Actual: Rytas 2 over 86.5
Over 86.5
40.9%
Under 86.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 -3Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 -3
ZALG -3
72.6%
RYTA +3
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
RYTA
No market prices yet.
Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 0Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 0
ZALG 0
79.0%
RYTA 0
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
RYTA
No market prices yet.
Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 +3Actual: Zalgiris Kaunas 2 +3
ZALG +3
85.1%
RYTA -3
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
RYTA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Rytas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A28/09
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#6
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
96.6Avg total
47.0Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.189.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.343.987.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)45.646.592.1-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)47.049.696.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.251.896.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.549.594.0-5.017%-
vs Similar (15)43.943.987.7+0.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.144.289.3+0.956%-
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H01/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H31/10
NKL
79.9Avg total
36.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.180.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.142.483.4-1.338%-
Last 30 away (14)36.639.676.2-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.079.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.045.782.7-8.711%-
vs Similar (16)38.239.978.1-1.644%-
vs Weaker (5)44.836.881.6+8.080%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.2
52.2%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.25.8
25.0%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
67.1%15.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLLWLLWW
Rytas 2
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#18
-2.9
Net rating
-13.5
98.6
Offensive rating
83.4
101.5
Defensive rating
96.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
25.0%
63.1%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 83.4Defence101.5 · 96.9Shooting53.3% · 46.9%3-point %33.8% · 25.0%Ball care15.1% · 18.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Rytas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
3
Rytas 2 wins
DateGameScore
05/03/26Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 279-58
06/12/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 295-90 OT
13/11/25Rytas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 281-67
30/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 272-68
07/11/24Rytas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 281-69
23/11/23Rytas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 269-96
05/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 272-55
07/01/23Rytas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-53
05/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 284-67
22/03/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Rytas 277-50
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
01/10/26HVilkaviskis107-104
28/09/26AAlytaus Patriotai108-83
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai91-101
29/10/26AVilkaviskis72-74
24/10/26HNeptunas 262-74
22/10/26AKedainiai BC69-83
17/10/26APlunges Olimpas64-89
15/10/26HJurbarkas72-84
10/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga81-103
08/10/26HOmega-Tauras91-99
03/10/26AMazeikiai72-75
01/10/26HTelsiai77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game95.793.897.6
Allowed / game97.195.898.4
Point differential-1.4-2.0-0.8
Avg total192.8189.6196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.179.069.2
Allowed / game87.392.080.2
Point differential-12.2-13.0-11.0
Avg total162.4171.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
2 Jurbarkas98189%88.174.1+14.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Silute97278%84.378.0+6.3
5 Neptunas 2107370%78.073.2+4.8
6 Suduva-Mantinga96367%92.879.9+12.9
7 Vytis VDU85362%95.691.1+4.5
8 Omega-Tauras106460%87.082.4+4.6
9 Plunges Olimpas106460%81.478.1+3.3
10 Alytaus Patriotai105550%86.188.2-2.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
12 Vilkaviskis104640%81.486.9-5.5
13 Kedainiai BC104640%76.883.8-7.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas103730%80.190.4-10.3
15 Kretinga102820%79.788.1-8.4
16 Mazeikiai102820%76.586.5-10.0
17 Rytas 2100100%75.187.3-12.2
18 Kauno Atletas9090%77.396.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 23018232495
Rytas 21729222290
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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