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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Telsiai Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 85-94
Projected total 179.6
Scheduled
Position#12
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game96.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Lithuania
Vs
21%
79%
■ ZALG 21%■ TELS 79%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Telsiai
Lithuania
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game73.6
LithuaniaNKLRound 14· Kaunas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Telsiai
24 Nov 2026
ZALG v TELS
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
ZALG105
TELS91
05 Oct 2024
ZALG63
TELS76
29 Feb 2024
ZALG65
TELS79
07 Nov 2023
ZALG76
TELS63
02 Mar 2023
ZALG94
TELS75
12 Nov 2022
ZALG81
TELS76
03 Feb 2022
ZALG70
TELS79
13 Nov 2021
ZALG84
TELS80
25 Mar 2021
ZALG56
TELS80
16 Mar 2021
ZALG88
TELS86
10 Dec 2020
ZALG81
TELS70
29 Feb 2020
ZALG92
TELS87
05 Jan 2020
ZALG92
TELS93
12 Jan 2019
ZALG77
TELS63
02 Feb 2018
ZALG79
TELS84
21 Oct 2017
ZALG70
TELS77
05 Jan 2017
ZALG73
TELS80
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 host Telsiai in the NKL. Pythia makes Telsiai the favourite at 79% and projects 85-94, about 180 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Zalgiris Kaunas 2 are 5-7 this season (94.2 scored, 96.8 allowed a game), form WLLWL; Telsiai are 12-1 this season (90.5 scored, 73.6 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 win
21.5%fair 4.66
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai win
78.5%fair 1.27
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
87-108
87
108
-21
74avg 81
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
94-106
94
106
-12
86avg 81
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
107-83
107
83
+24
109avg 81
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
92-104
92
104
-12
84avg 81
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
72avg 81
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
94avg 81
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 81
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
100-112
100
112
-12
96avg 81
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
78-101
78
101
-23
no box
A07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-31
28-30
16-22
20-21
29-25
25-34
20-26
21-20
25-21
30-28
31-14
19-30
28-33
23-25
22-16
22-26
23-19
19-26
15-22
25-16
24-22
23-23
29-24
18-25
15-27
19-22
30-19
31-33
16-28
29-25
24-26
30-17
18-29
23-22
24-22
20-20
19-29
22-23
17-29
189.0Avg total
91.5Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.296.8191.0-2.742%
Season at home (6)94.094.8188.8-0.850%
Season away (6)94.398.8193.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)91.597.5189.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)91.296.2187.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.098.0184.0-12.012%
vs Similar (13)87.583.4170.9+4.254%
vs Weaker (9)95.686.0181.6+9.678%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 76
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 76
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
94-70
94
70
+24
88avg 76
H17/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
104-70
104
70
+34
103avg 76
H22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 76
A24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
100-76
100
76
+24
103avg 76
H29/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 76
A31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H05/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
no box
A07/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-14
22-13
15-10
18-10
23-21
20-22
24-19
21-21
15-21
35-12
23-16
31-16
27-20
21-18
25-16
21-13
22-14
14-22
14-20
29-16
17-13
21-17
33-30
20-12
27-23
25-23
19-30
28-18
28-15
22-15
25-15
25-27
23-32
26-21
27-22
21-18
25-14
27-20
18-15
165.1Avg total
91.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.573.6164.2+16.992%
Season at home (7)95.069.7164.7+25.3100%
Season away (6)85.378.2163.5+7.283%
Last 10 (10)91.373.8165.1+17.590%
Last 5 (5)97.279.2176.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.187.5161.6-13.412%
vs Similar (9)79.981.3161.2-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.175.5167.6+16.585%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
83.1%
Under 164
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
74.0%
Under 169
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
62.9%
Under 174
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 81.5
Over 81.5
63.9%
Under 81.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 85.5
Over 85.5
48.5%
Under 85.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 total 89.5
Over 89.5
33.6%
Under 89.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telsiai total 79
Over 79
93.9%
Under 79
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telsiai total 83
Over 83
87.5%
Under 83
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telsiai total 87
Over 87
77.3%
Under 87
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 -3
ZALG -3
15.3%
TELS +3
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
TELS
No market prices yet.
Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 0
ZALG 0
21.5%
TELS 0
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
TELS
No market prices yet.
Spread Zalgiris Kaunas 2 +3
ZALG +3
28.0%
TELS -3
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
ZALG
No market prices yet.
TELS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Telsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A08/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A24/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H29/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A31/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/11
NKL
94.3Avg total
44.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.389.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.888.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.846.091.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.794.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.249.292.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.449.892.1-7.412%-
vs Similar (13)44.344.288.5+0.246%-
vs Weaker (9)46.443.189.6+3.367%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H17/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H29/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H05/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A07/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H12/11
NKL
81.9Avg total
45.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.780.9+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.781.1+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.880.7+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.281.9+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.686.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.044.881.8-7.812%-
vs Similar (9)38.839.378.1-0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.336.982.2+8.469%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
31.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
67.1%17.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.4
60.5%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.4
70.2%
67.1%14.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWLLWLLWLL
Telsiai
WLWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-2.9
Net rating
+18.5
98.6
Offensive rating
102.9
101.5
Defensive rating
84.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
32.8%
63.1%
Assist %
59.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 102.9Defence101.5 · 84.3Shooting53.3% · 55.8%3-point %33.8% · 32.8%Ball care15.1% · 13.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
4
Telsiai wins
DateGameScore
24/02/26Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 283-93
29/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Telsiai105-91
02/10/25Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 288-90
22/02/25Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 274-66
04/01/25Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 269-76
05/10/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Telsiai63-76
29/02/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Telsiai65-79
25/01/24Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 265-67
23/12/23Telsiai v Zalgiris Kaunas 273-66
07/11/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Telsiai76-63
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26APlunges Olimpas78-101
05/11/26HRytas 295-90
31/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga100-112
29/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-93
24/10/26AKretinga101-85
22/10/26HJurbarkas79-93
17/10/26AVytis VDU92-104
15/10/26HKauno Atletas107-83
10/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga94-106
08/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-108
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai91-67
07/11/26AJurbarkas101-102
05/11/26HSilute103-63
31/10/26AVytis VDU91-88
29/10/26HKauno Atletas100-76
24/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga71-69
22/10/26HUkmerges Stekas104-70
17/10/26HVilkaviskis94-70
15/10/26ANeptunas 285-72
10/10/26AKedainiai BC73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game94.294.094.3
Allowed / game96.894.898.8
Point differential-2.7-0.8-4.5
Avg total191.0188.8193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telsiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game90.595.085.3
Allowed / game73.669.778.2
Point differential+16.9+25.3+7.2
Avg total164.2164.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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