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Telsiai vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-70
31-16 27-20 21-18 25-16
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game70.3
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game91.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 7· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas
22 Oct 2026
TELS104
UKME70
06 Nov 2025
TELS85
UKME81
19 Dec 2024
TELS68
UKME62
11 Nov 2023
TELS75
UKME58
20 Oct 2022
TELS78
UKME74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
54avg 74
H14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 74
H20/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
53-78
53
78
-25
38avg 74
A23/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
66-93
66
93
-27
55avg 74
H25/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
91-77
91
77
+14
91avg 74
A01/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
79avg 74
H03/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 74
H08/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 74
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 74
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
94-70
94
70
+24
88avg 74
H17/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-26
17-26
27-11
18-21
12-16
19-16
17-9
19-20
8-16
19-25
10-16
16-21
20-22
18-22
18-24
10-25
24-24
25-12
21-21
21-20
25-18
14-29
24-10
27-13
24-16
21-17
19-14
19-25
19-24
17-14
22-13
15-10
18-10
23-21
20-22
24-19
21-21
15-21
35-12
23-16
150.8Avg total
77.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.070.3156.3+15.7100%
Season at home (3)89.070.7159.7+18.3100%
Season away (3)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.073.8150.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.788.8164.5-13.118%
vs Similar (11)83.981.1165.0+2.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.074.9160.9+11.175%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 73
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
93avg 73
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 73
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
89avg 73
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
81avg 73
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 73
A03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
108-87
108
87
+21
104avg 73
H08/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
97avg 73
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#10
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 73
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 73
H17/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
19-24
19-24
16-14
13-24
26-18
24-31
20-10
31-25
16-29
26-23
19-24
19-17
21-28
21-21
29-24
25-22
21-17
17-23
17-18
21-17
17-21
19-17
15-25
25-23
31-20
30-28
22-16
19-25
22-20
27-20
31-30
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
182.7Avg total
89.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.291.0177.2-4.833%
Season at home (4)86.592.8179.2-6.225%
Season away (2)85.587.5173.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)89.293.5182.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)85.691.2176.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.989.9170.8-9.022%
vs Similar (3)84.393.0177.3-8.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
TelsiaiUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H20/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H25/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A01/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H03/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H17/10
NKL
76.1Avg total
36.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.679.7-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.081.8-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.676.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.044.782.7-6.718%-
vs Similar (11)40.341.081.3-0.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.437.077.4+3.450%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H08/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
90.2Avg total
43.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.682.9-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.044.882.8-6.825%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.383.0-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.490.2-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.044.282.3-6.222%-
vs Similar (3)41.047.788.7-6.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.7
29.2%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
67.1%13.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.823.2
50.7%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.415.8
67.5%
67.1%15.8
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWWWWWLLWL
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#14
+4.0
Net rating
-4.5
91.5
Offensive rating
93.7
87.4
Defensive rating
98.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.2%
3-point %
32.5%
61.0%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 93.7Defence87.4 · 98.3Shooting48.8% · 49.9%3-point %29.2% · 32.5%Ball care13.6% · 13.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Telsiai   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Telsiai wins
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HVilkaviskis94-70
15/10/26ANeptunas 285-72
10/10/26AKedainiai BC73-61
08/10/26HMazeikiai83-72
03/10/26HPlunges Olimpas90-70
01/10/26ARytas 291-77
25/03/26HNeptunas 266-93
23/03/26ANeptunas 253-78
20/03/26HNeptunas 267-61
14/03/26HSuduva-Mantinga68-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87
10/10/26AKretinga99-95
08/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2108-87
03/10/26ASilute72-80
01/10/26HVytis VDU89-90 OT
14/03/26HKretinga103-107 OT
12/03/26AAlytaus Alytus92-101
07/03/26ABC Olimpas Palanga97-94 OT
05/03/26HOmega-Tauras83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.089.083.0
Allowed / game70.370.770.0
Point differential+15.7+18.3+13.0
Avg total156.3159.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game86.286.585.5
Allowed / game91.092.887.5
Point differential-4.8-6.2-2.0
Avg total177.2179.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas660100%90.371.7+18.7
2 Telsiai660100%86.070.3+15.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga65183%95.077.7+17.3
4 Omega-Tauras65183%93.083.3+9.7
5 Suduva-Mantinga43175%90.886.0+4.8
6 Vytis VDU43175%96.893.8+3.0
7 Silute64267%81.876.8+5.0
8 Neptunas 263350%80.378.7+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 263350%99.298.0+1.2
10 Plunges Olimpas63350%85.285.8-0.7
11 Vilkaviskis52340%84.687.8-3.2
12 Ukmerges Stekas62433%86.291.0-4.8
13 Kedainiai BC62433%77.086.7-9.7
14 Alytaus Patriotai62433%84.093.8-9.8
15 Kretinga61517%81.388.7-7.3
16 Mazeikiai61517%73.585.7-12.2
17 Rytas 26060%76.290.2-14.0
18 Kauno Atletas5050%76.892.6-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai31272125104
Ukmerges Stekas1620181670
← all games of the day
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