PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alytaus Dzukija Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 May 2020
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#10
Record6-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game80.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Alytaus Dzukija
19 Dec 2021
ZAL78
ADZ70
22 Apr 2021
ZAL92
ADZ68
23 Mar 2021
ZAL86
ADZ80
04 May 2020
ZAL v ADZ
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
ZAL102
ADZ50
14 May 2019
ZAL89
ADZ70
07 May 2019
ZAL100
ADZ68
22 Oct 2018
ZAL88
ADZ75
04 Mar 2018
ZAL72
ADZ63
23 Dec 2017
ZAL72
ADZ60
05 May 2017
ZAL96
ADZ40
29 Apr 2017
ZAL80
ADZ73
12 Feb 2017
ZAL96
ADZ68
17 Oct 2016
ZAL79
ADZ64
24 Jan 2016
ZAL101
ADZ62
07 Oct 2015
ZAL78
ADZ43
16 Apr 2015
ZAL85
ADZ57
02 Feb 2015
ZAL83
ADZ73
18 Apr 2014
ZAL74
ADZ67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Dzukija win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
105-64
105
64
+41
A22/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
A30/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H11/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H19/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
22-16
24-21
30-15
38-11
18-29
23-14
22-23
22-23
11-18
19-23
20-19
22-17
32-25
20-15
15-27
23-17
14-26
20-20
26-23
10-14
26-10
16-20
19-17
27-24
14-22
13-14
23-14
17-13
32-16
25-13
18-21
27-15
30-22
18-14
19-28
21-19
26-16
23-18
21-29
162.8Avg total
87.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.070.0159.0+19.092%
Season at home (11)87.269.6156.8+17.591%
Season away (13)90.570.3160.8+20.292%
Last 10 (10)87.575.3162.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)85.071.8156.8+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.970.4159.3+18.593%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A21/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A05/01
LKL
CBet
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H12/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H19/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A26/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A29/02
LKL
CBet
#6
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
20-26
22-15
21-28
22-22
15-12
24-19
19-24
14-4
20-24
16-23
23-20
10-23
22-15
15-7
14-23
24-17
26-19
22-25
14-26
11-23
19-18
15-20
26-23
18-19
16-19
10-23
21-12
15-20
15-23
21-16
22-19
25-26
16-24
15-21
18-25
17-20
24-23
8-24
21-27
156.4Avg total
73.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.280.8152.0-9.525%
Season at home (11)70.775.1145.8-4.436%
Season away (13)71.785.6157.3-13.915%
Last 10 (10)73.882.6156.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)70.685.0155.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.484.6154.1-15.211%
vs Similar (9)75.877.2153.0-1.444%
vs Weaker (2)94.091.0185.0+3.050%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Zalgiris KaunasAlytaus Dzukija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A22/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A30/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A08/03
LKL
82.6Avg total
46.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.636.081.6+9.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.436.782.1+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)45.835.381.1+10.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.136.582.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.280.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.636.081.6+9.670%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A21/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A05/01
LKL
CBet
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H19/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A26/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/02
LKL
CBet
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/03
LKL
77.7Avg total
37.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.377.9-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.436.374.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.980.8-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.677.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.078.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.341.276.5-5.821%-
vs Similar (9)41.136.677.7+4.656%-
vs Weaker (2)43.549.593.0-6.050%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
55.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.8
39.4%
35.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
73.8%15.1
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20AJuventus91-82
01/03/20ACBet94-79
09/02/20ANevezis92-63
01/02/20APieno Zvaigzdes77-74
26/01/20HRytas71-61
19/01/20HSiauliai83-86
11/01/20HNevezis89-84
05/01/20ALietkabelis72-83
30/12/19AJuventus101-77
22/12/19ACBet105-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ACBet70-94
29/02/20APieno Zvaigzdes74-96
26/02/20ANeptunas73-78
08/02/20HLietkabelis65-73
02/02/20AJuventus71-84
19/01/20HNevezis86-87
12/01/20HCBet61-68
05/01/20ASiauliai73-71
28/12/19HNeptunas80-77
21/12/19ARytas85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %92%91%92%
Points / game89.087.290.5
Allowed / game70.069.670.3
Point differential+19.0+17.5+20.2
Avg total159.0156.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%55%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %25%36%15%
Points / game71.270.771.7
Allowed / game80.875.185.6
Point differential-9.5-4.4-13.9
Avg total152.0145.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%89.070.0+19.0
2 Rytas2417771%84.775.5+9.2
3 Lietkabelis2416867%78.372.5+5.8
4 Neptunas24141058%83.780.5+3.2
5 Juventus24131154%80.281.7-1.5
6 CBet24111346%73.779.4-5.7
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes2481633%77.583.0-5.5
8 Siauliai2471729%78.885.2-6.4
9 Nevezis2461825%74.482.9-8.5
10 Alytaus Dzukija2461825%71.280.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.