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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alytaus Dzukija Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 86-80
25-20 22-29 17-16 22-15
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#9
Record8-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Alytaus Dzukija
19 Dec 2021
ZAL78
ADZ70
22 Apr 2021
ZAL92
ADZ68
23 Mar 2021
ZAL86
ADZ80
04 May 2020
ZAL v ADZ
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
ZAL102
ADZ50
14 May 2019
ZAL89
ADZ70
07 May 2019
ZAL100
ADZ68
22 Oct 2018
ZAL88
ADZ75
04 Mar 2018
ZAL72
ADZ63
23 Dec 2017
ZAL72
ADZ60
05 May 2017
ZAL96
ADZ40
29 Apr 2017
ZAL80
ADZ73
12 Feb 2017
ZAL96
ADZ68
17 Oct 2016
ZAL79
ADZ64
24 Jan 2016
ZAL101
ADZ62
07 Oct 2015
ZAL78
ADZ43
16 Apr 2015
ZAL85
ADZ57
02 Feb 2015
ZAL83
ADZ73
18 Apr 2014
ZAL74
ADZ67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
78avg 80
H23/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
50avg 80
A25/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 80
H28/02
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 80
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
88avg 80
A09/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
54avg 80
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
96-60
96
60
+36
99avg 80
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
18-18
20-14
15-4
13-21
18-15
11-15
16-19
22-26
27-11
16-17
20-18
17-20
23-22
27-15
18-18
13-19
19-15
13-16
19-19
27-18
24-16
27-24
24-20
19-9
25-14
24-34
20-17
12-26
16-23
20-27
14-13
18-16
19-20
31-14
28-10
18-28
8-17
20-21
15-18
150.9Avg total
77.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.868.0157.8+21.890%
Season at home (10)88.066.2154.2+21.890%
Season away (11)91.469.6161.0+21.791%
Last 10 (10)77.673.3150.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)81.877.0158.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.786.0151.7-20.30%
vs Similar (10)70.975.7146.6-4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.670.4162.0+21.294%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
65avg 74
H06/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
48avg 74
A09/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 74
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 74
A24/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 74
A28/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 74
A03/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
79avg 74
H06/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H14/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 74
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 74
H20/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-20
12-25
16-23
10-15
23-26
16-22
15-18
28-26
23-14
17-22
19-19
16-22
22-23
18-29
29-19
19-15
27-19
15-24
21-17
12-14
14-26
16-17
26-22
21-24
29-16
16-22
20-33
20-19
19-17
22-27
24-22
16-16
24-16
7-23
27-25
29-20
24-25
20-19
14-12
164.7Avg total
79.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.783.7164.4-3.035%
Season at home (13)80.584.5164.9-4.038%
Season away (10)81.082.8163.8-1.830%
Last 10 (10)79.984.8164.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.085.2166.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.590.7171.2-10.28%
vs Similar (11)78.079.8157.8-1.836%
vs Weaker (7)84.776.7161.4+8.086%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Zalgiris KaunasAlytaus Dzukija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H23/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A25/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/02
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A09/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A12/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A18/03
Euroleague
75.8Avg total
37.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.337.879.2+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.538.179.6+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.474.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.347.379.7-15.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.439.275.6-2.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.035.681.6+10.482%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A28/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A03/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H14/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/03
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H20/03
LKL
82.1Avg total
42.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.182.0+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.780.5-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.782.1+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.744.083.7-4.342%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.577.0+0.136%-
vs Weaker (7)44.339.683.9+4.771%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.3
50.7%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.2
39.0%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.613.6
81.9%
75.2%13.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.1
52.0%
54.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.9
34.8%
36.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.412.0
65.2%
75.2%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWLWWLW
Alytaus Dzukija
WLLLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#9
+6.2
Net rating
-3.3
109.9
Offensive rating
105.4
103.8
Defensive rating
108.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.0%
3-point %
34.8%
66.9%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 105.4Defence103.8 · 108.8Shooting53.5% · 52.1%3-point %39.0% · 34.8%Ball care17.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Alytaus Dzukija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/21AFenerbahce61-84
14/03/21HSiauliai96-60
12/03/21AAnadolu Efes62-89
09/03/21ASiauliai88-74
07/03/21AJuventus102-78
05/03/21HOlimpia Milano64-69
02/03/21HLyon-Villeurbanne85-75
28/02/21HNeptunas85-72
25/02/21AReal Madrid58-70
23/02/21HCrvena zvezda75-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21HNevezis-OPTIBET87-76
17/03/21ARytas74-80
14/03/21HLietkabelis90-96 OT
06/03/21HRytas86-95
03/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes68-79
28/02/21ASiauliai82-75
24/02/21ALietkabelis85-93
12/02/21HSiauliai87-81
09/02/21ANeptunas64-81
06/02/21HJuventus76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%90%91%
Points / game89.888.091.4
Allowed / game68.066.269.6
Point differential+21.8+21.8+21.7
Avg total157.8154.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%80%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %35%38%30%
Points / game80.780.581.0
Allowed / game83.784.582.8
Point differential-3.0-4.0-1.8
Avg total164.4164.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%89.868.0+21.8
2 Rytas2419579%88.278.8+9.5
3 Lietkabelis2517868%83.978.1+5.8
4 Juventus2517868%87.984.9+3.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes24101442%78.981.8-2.9
6 CBet2591636%84.689.2-4.7
7 Alytaus Dzukija2381535%80.783.7-3.0
8 Neptunas2581732%76.584.9-8.4
9 Siauliai2571828%82.590.4-8.0
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET2571828%75.284.8-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2522172286
Alytaus Dzukija2029161580
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