Zamora will host Palencia on 14 November 2026 in the Primera FEB, with the Pythia model naming Palencia the favourite and predicting a 74% chance of victory for the visitors while the home side has a 26% win probability; the projected score is 77-84 and the total is 160.3 points. Zamora's seven-game season record is 3-4, averaging 78.1 points scored and 80.9 allowed, and they sit 11th in the league; at home they are 2-1, 84.0 points per game and 83.3 allowed, and their last five games were 3-2. Palencia, meanwhile, is 6-1, 82.0 points per game and 72.4 allowed, occupying third place, and on the road they are 2-1, 85.7 points per game and 76.0 allowed, with a 4-1 record in the last five. Their recent victories include 72-56 over Granada, 85-73 over Estela and 84-80 over Ourense. In head-to-head history Palencia leads 3-1, most recently defeating Zamora 77-66 on 6 March 2026. The model's spread line is 9.0 in favour of the home side with a 56% chance of covering, the total line is 161.0 with a 48% over probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime; the game will be decided by Palencia's superior defence, which has allowed only 72.4 points per contest this season.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 78.1 | 80.9 | 159.0 | -2.7 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.0 | 83.3 | 167.3 | +0.7 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 73.8 | 79.0 | 152.8 | -5.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.6 | 82.1 | 161.7 | -2.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 82.8 | 166.2 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 75.9 | 87.1 | 162.9 | -11.2 | 14% |
| vs Similar (10) | 82.4 | 81.3 | 163.7 | +1.1 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 89.2 | 84.3 | 173.5 | +4.8 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.0 | 72.4 | 154.4 | +9.6 | 86% |
| Season at home (4) | 79.2 | 69.8 | 149.0 | +9.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 85.7 | 76.0 | 161.7 | +9.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 72.8 | 153.1 | +7.5 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.8 | 74.2 | 156.0 | +7.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 53.0 | 81.0 | 134.0 | -28.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 85.5 | 84.5 | 170.0 | +1.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (25) | 83.6 | 69.6 | 153.2 | +14.0 | 92% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 42.4 | 81.9 | -2.8 | 33% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.7 | 42.4 | 82.1 | -2.7 | 43% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.4 | 42.3 | 81.7 | -2.9 | 25% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.1 | 40.4 | 82.5 | +1.7 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | +2.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 36.4 | 43.7 | 80.1 | -7.4 | 14% | 57% |
| vs Similar (10) | 41.5 | 39.9 | 81.4 | +1.6 | 50% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 43.7 | 43.3 | 87.0 | +0.3 | 50% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 34.5 | 75.2 | +6.3 | 83% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.9 | 34.4 | 76.3 | +7.5 | 80% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.6 | 34.5 | 74.1 | +5.1 | 87% | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.8 | 33.1 | 72.9 | +6.7 | 90% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 34.6 | 73.4 | +4.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 23.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | -14.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (4) | 43.2 | 35.0 | 78.2 | +8.2 | 100% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (25) | 41.1 | 34.3 | 75.4 | +6.8 | 84% | 36% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora +13 | 70.1% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Zamora +16.5 | 79.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Zamora +15.5 | 76.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Zamora +14.5 | 74.0% | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Zamora +13.5 | 71.0% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.36 | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Zamora +19.5 | 85.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Zamora over 69.5 | 74.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Zamora +24.5 | 93.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Zamora over 67.5 | 80.8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Palencia under 89.5 | 71.4% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Palencia over 66.5 | 95.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Palencia under 90.5 | 74.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Palencia over 63.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Palencia over 65.5 | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Palencia over 64.5 | 97.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Palencia +15.5 | 96.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Palencia over 68.5 | 93.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Zamora over 66.5 | 83.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Palencia over 72.5 | 86.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Palencia over 70.5 | 90.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Palencia under 92.5 | 80.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Palencia over 67.5 | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 84.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Zamora under 95.5 | 96.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 76.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Palencia +10.5 | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 90.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Zamora over 70.5 | 71.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Palencia over 76.5 | 76.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Palencia over 69.5 | 92.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Zamora under 94.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Palencia over 78.5 | 70.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 93.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Zamora under 93.5 | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 82.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Palencia over 71.5 | 88.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Palencia over 74.5 | 82.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Palencia over 73.5 | 84.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 88.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 91.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Zamora under 91.5 | 92.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 73.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 88.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Zamora under 85.5 | 80.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 81.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Palencia +6.5 | 87.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Zamora under 89.5 | 89.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 86.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 72.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Zamora under 87.5 | 85.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Palencia (regulation) | 71.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Zamora under 84.5 | 78.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 79.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Zamora under 83.5 | 75.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| Palencia win | 74.1% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -4.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.2 | 20.0 | 53.0% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 7.0 | 32.9% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 16.8 | 74.2% | 16.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.6 | 15.6 | 53.0% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.8 | 10.2 | 32.9% | 30.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.3 | 19.2 | 74.2% | 19.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 | Palencia v Zamora | 77-66 |
| 08/11/25 | Zamora v Palencia | 77-102 |
| 30/03/25 | Zamora v Palencia | 84-77 |
| 10/01/25 | Palencia v Zamora | 79-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Fibwi Palma | 92-79 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Albacete | 90-89 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Oviedo | 77-81 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Granada | 89-81 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Palmer Basket | 69-84 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Estudiantes | 73-80 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Cordoba | 57-72 |
| 08/05/26 | H | Alicante | 83-76 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Oviedo | 80-90 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Estela | 86-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Granada | 72-56 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Estela | 85-73 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Ourense | 84-80 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Estudiantes | 77-86 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Hestia Menorca | 91-76 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Cordoba | 70-67 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Albacete | 95-69 |
| 06/06/26 | A | Leyma Coruna | 81-92 |
| 29/05/26 | H | Fuenlabrada | 76-51 |
| 24/05/26 | A | Fuenlabrada | 72-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 43% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Points / game | 78.1 | 84.0 | 73.8 |
| Allowed / game | 80.9 | 83.3 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | +0.7 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 159.0 | 167.3 | 152.8 |
| Over 161.25 | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 86% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.0 | 79.2 | 85.7 |
| Allowed / game | 72.4 | 69.8 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +9.6 | +9.5 | +9.7 |
| Avg total | 154.4 | 149.0 | 161.7 |
| Over 161.25 | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alicante | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 75.4 | +16.6 |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 89.8 | 77.4 | +12.4 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 82.0 | 72.4 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.0 | 76.5 | +14.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 82.6 | 76.8 | +5.9 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 85.2 | 82.0 | +3.2 | |
| 7 | Palmer Basket | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.4 | 86.4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.9 | 84.4 | -3.6 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.1 | 80.8 | -1.6 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.1 | 80.9 | -2.7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.4 | 84.0 | -4.6 | |
| 12 | Caja 87 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.6 | 77.8 | -2.1 |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.9 | 80.4 | -2.5 | |
| 14 | Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 71.0 | 76.6 | -5.6 |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 85.4 | 93.4 | -8.0 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.0 | 90.5 | -14.5 | |
| 17 | Hestia Menorca | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 68.9 | 76.0 | -7.1 |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 78.0 | 89.8 | -11.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 19 | 14 | 24 | 77 | |
| 27 | 16 | 26 | 17 | 86 |
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