Zarate vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 77-84

23-23 11-22 15-21 28-18

Position#15

Record8-7

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game77.2

Zarate

Penarol 🏆

Position#11

Record4-10

FormLLWWW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game86.9

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Zarate v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zarate winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zarate

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZarate

Date

Competition

Ferro

#13

67-64

53avg 66

H31/10

Liga A

Platense

67-79

-12

55avg 66

A11/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

86-83

82avg 66

H16/11

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

77-74 OT

no box

H18/11

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

71-67

68avg 66

A29/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

73-66

66avg 66

H03/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

71-88

-17

58avg 66

A08/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

82-78

75avg 66

A21/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

86-67

+19

91avg 66

A11/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

70-75

-5

69avg 66

A13/01

Liga A

13-13

21-16

14-14

19-21

19-18

22-23

8-18

18-20

25-18

18-20

25-20

18-25

15-22

18-12

22-22

13-12

17-15

16-18

18-19

20-15

16-22

16-15

16-11

25-18

19-21

16-23

23-26

13-18

24-21

19-29

17-13

22-15

33-19

19-17

20-19

14-12

20-22

17-23

22-14

11-16

149.1Avg total

75.0Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	72.8	77.2	150.0	-4.4	53%
Season at home (7)	74.0	73.6	147.6	+0.4	71%
Season away (8)	71.8	80.4	152.1	-8.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	74.1	149.1	+0.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	74.8	151.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.4	83.0	153.4	-12.6	25%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	75.6	70.6	146.1	+5.0	86%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Argentino

#17

66-81

-15

55avg 65

A12/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

73-80

-7

61avg 65

A14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

65-88

-23

48avg 65

A15/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

67-79

-12

59avg 65

H21/11

Liga A

Olimpico

66-89

-23

48avg 65

A30/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

75-83

-8

67avg 65

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

75-98

-23

61avg 65

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

87-74

+13

81avg 65

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-85

74avg 65

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

92-76

+16

88avg 65

H20/12

Liga A

15-17

21-28

14-18

16-18

13-23

22-14

25-20

10-25

20-20

17-21

18-22

30-20

13-18

8-21

16-20

15-18

20-24

15-21

16-26

17-18

17-25

16-21

25-19

19-22

14-23

30-23

12-30

20-14

23-23

25-23

19-14

29-12

16-29

18-25

24-19

18-19

25-19

30-19

19-19

158.6Avg total

75.3Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	76.6	86.9	163.4	-10.3	29%
Season at home (7)	81.3	87.1	168.4	-5.9	43%
Season away (7)	71.9	86.6	158.4	-14.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	83.3	158.6	-8.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	83.2	166.4	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.0	89.2	166.2	-12.2	18%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	79.9	86.9	166.9	-7.0	29%
vs Weaker (2)	93.5	81.0	174.5	+12.5	100%

This opponent (Zarate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZaratePenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	20.6	38.8	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.5	40.3	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.2	19.8	37.9	-1.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.8	23.8	41.5	-6.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	23.6	41.1	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.7	18.1	35.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.3	23.7	41.0	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.6	20.7	39.4	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	50%	-

ZarateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#13

34-29

H31/10

Liga A

Platense

41-41

A11/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

43-38

H16/11

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

33-34

-1

H18/11

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

33-33

A29/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

32-37

-5

H03/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

35-44

-9

A08/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

43-50

-7

A21/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

52-36

+16

A11/01

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

37-45

-8

A13/01

Liga A

77.0Avg total

38.3Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.9	36.1	73.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (8)	37.8	44.2	82.0	-6.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.7	77.0	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.4	82.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.6	44.2	79.9	-8.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#17

36-45

-9

A12/11

Liga A

Ferro

#13

26-46

-20

A14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

30-45

-15

A15/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

43-38

H21/11

Liga A

Olimpico

35-42

-7

A30/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

34-43

-9

A02/12

Liga A

Quimsa

33-45

-12

H06/12

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

43-37

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

45-41

H17/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

43-38

H20/12

Liga A

78.8Avg total

36.8Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	39.0	78.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	43.4	80.1	-6.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	42.0	78.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.8	80.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	42.7	81.2	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.8	40.5	77.3	-3.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	39.0	84.5	+6.5	100%	-

This opponent (Zarate) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	24.2	43.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.3	41.1	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.2	23.1	42.4	-3.9	24%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	21.5	47.5	+4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.0	17.4	33.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.2	34.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	18.6	36.9	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.3	16.7	32.0	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	34.9	36.3	71.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	35.9	36.6	72.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (8)	34.0	36.1	70.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	34.8	70.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	32.4	69.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.8	38.8	73.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	35.0	33.6	68.6	+1.4	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	45.1	85.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	44.2	84.7	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	45.9	87.0	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	41.3	79.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.4	86.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	46.5	85.0	-7.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	41.4	44.5	85.9	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zarate wins

Penarol wins

No previous meetings.

Zaratelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/24	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	70-75
11/01/24	A	Obera TC	86-67
21/12/23	A	San Lorenzo	82-78
08/12/23	A	Gimnasia	71-88
03/12/23	H	Regatas	73-66
29/11/23	A	Union De Santa Fe	71-67
18/11/23	H	Riachuelo	77-74 OT
16/11/23	H	Independiente de Oliva	86-83
11/11/23	A	Platense	67-79
31/10/23	H	Ferro	67-64

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/23	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	92-76
17/12/23	H	Gimnasia	87-85
08/12/23	H	Riachuelo	87-74
06/12/23	H	Quimsa	75-98
02/12/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	75-83
30/11/23	A	Olimpico	66-89
21/11/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	67-79
15/11/23	A	San Lorenzo	65-88
14/11/23	A	Ferro	73-80
12/11/23	A	Argentino	66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zarate

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	53%
Home	LWWWW	71%
Away	WLWWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	53%	71%	38%
Points / game	72.8	74.0	71.8
Allowed / game	77.2	73.6	80.4
Point differential	-4.4	+0.4	-8.6
Avg total	150.0	147.6	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	29%
Home	LLWWW	43%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	43%	14%
Points / game	76.6	81.3	71.9
Allowed / game	86.9	87.1	86.6
Point differential	-10.3	-5.9	-14.7
Avg total	163.4	168.4	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	15	14	1	93%	84.9	76.9	+8.1
2	Olimpico	14	12	2	86%	88.4	76.4	+12.0
3	Instituto de Cordoba	15	11	4	73%	79.6	73.9	+5.7
4	Platense	16	11	5	69%	79.4	76.9	+2.6
5	Boca Juniors	17	11	6	65%	82.6	74.8	+7.8
6	Obras Sanitarias	15	9	6	60%	87.9	87.9	+0.0
7	San Lorenzo	17	10	7	59%	74.4	69.4	+5.1
8	Obera TC	15	8	7	53%	82.5	82.2	+0.3
9	Regatas	15	8	7	53%	76.1	76.5	-0.3
10	Zarate	15	8	7	53%	72.8	77.2	-4.4
11	Gimnasia	17	9	8	53%	84.4	80.6	+3.7
12	San Martin	17	9	8	53%	78.1	74.6	+3.4
13	Ferro	17	7	10	41%	76.2	79.6	-3.5
14	Riachuelo	15	6	9	40%	81.1	82.1	-1.0
15	Independiente de Oliva	16	6	10	38%	78.6	83.1	-4.5
16	Comunicaciones Mercedes	17	5	12	29%	78.4	82.8	-4.5
17	Penarol	14	4	10	29%	76.6	86.9	-10.3
18	La Union	15	4	11	27%	76.7	80.9	-4.1
19	Union De Santa Fe	16	3	13	19%	76.1	83.9	-7.8
20	Argentino	16	2	14	12%	74.5	83.1	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zarate	23	11	15	28	77
Penarol	23	22	21	18	84

← all games of the day

Zarate vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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