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Independiente de Oliva vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-75
18-17 25-17 21-16 19-25
Position#18
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game88.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Penarol
14 Jan 2027
INDE v PENA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
INDE102
PENA107
18 Dec 2024
INDE93
PENA107
01 Dec 2023
INDE83
PENA75
01 Nov 2022
INDE83
PENA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
43avg 63
A07/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
69avg 63
A10/10
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
67-59
67
59
+8
57avg 63
H21/10
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
50-79
50
79
-29
39avg 63
A08/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 63
A11/11
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 63
A16/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
55avg 63
A17/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
no box
H21/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
88-85
88
85
+3
85avg 63
H30/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
12-29
20-19
14-19
18-18
16-26
28-17
16-25
23-18
31-9
23-25
13-20
26-12
8-14
13-12
20-21
6-16
15-22
15-23
14-18
18-20
19-17
18-22
11-25
18-25
20-18
20-25
25-18
13-29
21-22
14-13
20-28
24-34
10-14
20-13
19-12
26-18
21-17
21-26
20-24
154.3Avg total
73.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.680.7154.3-7.130%
Season at home (4)81.875.2157.0+6.575%
Season away (6)68.284.3152.5-16.20%
Last 10 (10)73.680.7154.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)77.486.4163.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.184.6159.7-9.515%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.380.4158.8-2.142%
vs Weaker (5)85.275.2160.4+10.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
no box
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 60
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 60
A12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 60
H15/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 60
H19/10
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 60
A12/11
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 60
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
65-88
65
88
-23
48avg 60
A15/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 60
H21/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
48avg 60
A30/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
19-19
14-26
20-20
15-22
13-31
19-20
24-32
17-29
26-17
26-18
18-16
22-19
14-22
16-34
20-17
18-26
21-29
17-25
33-26
15-17
21-28
14-18
16-18
13-23
13-23
22-14
25-20
10-25
20-20
17-21
18-22
30-20
13-18
8-21
16-20
15-18
20-24
15-21
16-26
168.0Avg total
76.6Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.988.9161.8-16.011%
Season at home (3)76.092.3168.3-16.30%
Season away (6)71.387.2158.5-15.817%
Last 10 (10)76.691.4168.0-14.810%
Last 5 (5)67.483.4150.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.585.6161.2-10.118%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.986.6166.5-6.635%
vs Weaker (2)86.592.5179.0-6.050%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
Independiente de OlivaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A10/10
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H14/10
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/10
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A08/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/11
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A17/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H21/11
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H30/11
Liga A
75.3Avg total
36.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.7-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.038.879.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.941.276.1-6.218%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.075.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.241.978.2-5.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
vs Weaker (5)39.639.479.0+0.260%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H19/10
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/11
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A15/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H21/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
36.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.678.4-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.938.076.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.979.6-6.112%-
Last 10 (10)36.344.680.9-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.277.2-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.440.378.6-1.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.940.977.8-4.029%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Independiente de Oliva wins
0
Penarol wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HComunicaciones Mercedes88-85
21/11/23HGimnasia82-85 OT
17/11/23ASan Lorenzo68-92
16/11/23AZarate83-86
11/11/23AInstituto de Cordoba66-84
08/11/23ARiachuelo50-79
21/10/23HSan Martin67-59
14/10/23HLa Union90-72
10/10/23AQuimsa78-86
07/10/23AOlimpico64-79
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AOlimpico66-89
21/11/23HInstituto de Cordoba67-79
15/11/23ASan Lorenzo65-88
14/11/23AFerro73-80
12/11/23AArgentino66-81
19/10/23HObras Sanitarias89-106
15/10/23HBoca Juniors72-92
12/10/23ARegatas87-80
09/10/23AObera TC71-105
29/04/23HBoca Juniors110-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%75%0%
Points / game73.681.868.2
Allowed / game80.775.284.3
Point differential-7.1+6.5-16.2
Avg total154.3157.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %11%0%17%
Points / game72.976.071.3
Allowed / game88.992.387.2
Point differential-16.0-16.3-15.8
Avg total161.8168.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpico109190%87.773.3+14.4
2 Quimsa109190%84.477.4+7.0
3 Obras Sanitarias98189%92.384.9+7.4
4 San Lorenzo108280%76.966.0+10.9
5 Boca Juniors118373%82.574.0+8.5
6 Platense107370%78.773.8+4.9
7 Instituto de Cordoba96367%83.678.8+4.8
8 Regatas106460%75.775.5+0.2
9 San Martin105550%75.572.1+3.4
10 Zarate105550%71.078.4-7.4
11 Gimnasia115645%82.184.5-2.4
12 Riachuelo104640%84.885.1-0.3
13 Obera TC104640%82.983.5-0.6
14 Comunicaciones Mercedes114736%77.380.9-3.6
15 Ferro93633%73.778.4-4.8
16 Independiente de Oliva103730%73.680.7-7.1
17 La Union102820%76.481.7-5.3
18 Union De Santa Fe91811%78.485.9-7.4
19 Penarol91811%72.988.9-16.0
20 Argentino101910%75.884.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Independiente de Oliva1825211983
Penarol1717162575
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