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Zenit Petersburg vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 104-93
19-25 30-14 25-26 30-28
Position#14
Record2-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game66.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Zenit Petersburg v Valencia
25 Feb 2021
ZPE62
VAL91
24 Oct 2018
ZPE104
VAL93
08 Dec 2009
ZPE59
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zenit Petersburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H24/05
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A27/05
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A29/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A08/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A10/06
VTB United League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H03/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A05/10
VTB United League
Partizan
#15
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A09/10
Eurocup
Trento
#21
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A17/10
Eurocup
Astana
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A21/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
23-19
16-23
26-22
24-18
17-22
19-16
19-17
24-16
17-21
29-23
20-18
10-14
20-30
11-19
26-21
26-15
26-26
18-20
23-18
28-18
23-19
22-15
18-28
17-29
19-23
14-26
14-18
22-21
24-18
19-26
17-24
21-14
23-19
24-14
25-13
20-24
28-13
22-29
21-27
165.3Avg total
84.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.776.3165.0+12.367%
Season at home (1)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)87.574.5162.0+13.050%
Last 10 (10)84.181.2165.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)84.283.6167.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.187.9168.0-7.729%
vs Similar (13)85.588.7174.2-3.246%
vs Weaker (10)88.780.7169.4+8.080%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H21/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
12-24
24-26
13-25
14-20
23-18
23-17
21-26
17-19
17-26
16-23
23-18
12-17
24-18
28-21
20-6
26-28
15-17
5-21
24-22
20-13
22-18
20-21
19-16
10-17
21-21
24-11
17-18
23-19
14-21
24-28
20-10
20-21
23-19
21-14
15-17
23-22
12-21
25-20
25-23
157.9Avg total
78.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.366.7145.0+11.7100%
Season at home (2)81.566.5148.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)72.067.0139.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.479.5157.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.674.0153.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.883.5158.3-8.717%
vs Similar (8)79.684.1163.8-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.172.6153.6+8.575%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zenit PetersburgValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A27/05
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A29/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/06
VTB United League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A05/10
VTB United League
Partizan
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/10
Eurocup
Trento
#21
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/10
Eurocup
Astana
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/10
VTB United League
83.3Avg total
43.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.388.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.643.888.3+0.833%-
Last 30 away (18)43.644.788.2-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.583.3+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.684.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.446.691.0-2.114%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.786.1-3.338%-
vs Weaker (10)47.042.289.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/10
ACB
77.0Avg total
36.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.076.6+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.037.376.3+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)38.338.777.0-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.177.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (8)39.041.580.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.435.674.0+2.856%-
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zenit Petersburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zenit Petersburg: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.4%
51.9%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.7
43.8%
36.6%32.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.2%
74.9%12.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.816.2
54.4%
51.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws12.19.1
75.2%
74.9%9.1
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zenit Petersburg
LWLLWWLWWW
Valencia
LWWWWLWLLL
#14
League position
#1
+15.6
Net rating
-0.5
116.4
Offensive rating
111.9
100.9
Defensive rating
112.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
43.8%
3-point %
38.2%
64.9%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 111.9Defence100.9 · 112.4Shooting57.4% · 55.7%3-point %43.8% · 38.2%Ball care15.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds34.1% · 25.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Zenit Petersburg   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zenit Petersburg wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
15/12/09Valencia v Zenit Petersburg85-60
08/12/09Zenit Petersburg v Valencia59-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18AAstana91-93
17/10/18ATrento93-60
09/10/18APartizan82-89
05/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban64-96
03/10/18HTurk Telekom91-80
10/06/18AUnics Kazan93-79
08/06/18ACSKA Moscow67-84
29/05/18ASaratov90-78
27/05/18ASaratov79-73
24/05/18HSaratov91-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18HBarcelona85-86
17/10/18HPartizan79-71
14/10/18AObradoiro CAB81-78
10/10/18ATurk Telekom72-67
07/10/18AMurcia81-68
05/10/18HReal Madrid70-88
02/10/18HLyon-Villeurbanne84-62
28/09/18AUnicaja73-86
01/06/18HGran Canaria89-92 OT
30/05/18AGran Canaria70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zenit Petersburg
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game88.791.087.5
Allowed / game76.380.074.5
Point differential+12.3+11.0+13.0
Avg total165.0171.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.381.572.0
Allowed / game66.766.567.0
Point differential+11.7+15.0+5.0
Avg total145.0148.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban330100%85.769.7+16.0
2 Valencia330100%78.366.7+11.7
3 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
4 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
8 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
9 Zenit Petersburg32167%88.776.3+12.3
10 Cedevita32167%73.772.0+1.7
11 Frankfurt32167%74.079.0-5.0
12 Galatasaray42250%86.284.5+1.8
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
16 Ulm31233%80.385.0-4.7
17 Mornar Bar31233%81.091.0-10.0
18 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
19 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
20 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
21 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
22 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
23 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zenit Petersburg19302530104
Valencia2514262893
← all games of the day
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