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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-81
13-20 18-22 21-20 16-19
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#4
Record0-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 3
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A06/05
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A20/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H24/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A28/09
ACB
Spirou Charleroi
#22
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A01/10
Champions League
Spirou Charleroi
#22
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H04/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
24-21
21-23
11-27
19-26
22-21
18-21
26-19
17-18
17-22
20-15
21-22
18-17
24-15
18-21
25-21
12-18
13-13
18-16
18-16
22-19
23-13
21-22
16-19
22-14
20-24
14-21
15-18
24-22
11-21
23-17
18-18
17-16
18-13
12-17
24-16
19-13
25-16
15-19
19-34
152.4Avg total
75.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)75.976.5152.4-0.630%
Last 5 (5)75.674.4150.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.473.6148.0+0.933%
vs Similar (10)72.876.3149.1-3.530%
vs Weaker (11)77.472.4149.7+5.073%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A06/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H13/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H19/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H28/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H05/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-10
22-16
24-20
20-15
21-17
28-19
22-23
22-10
21-14
15-20
16-13
18-24
20-16
12-27
21-22
16-22
22-11
13-25
15-7
21-13
21-22
12-24
24-26
13-25
14-20
23-18
23-17
21-26
17-19
17-26
16-23
23-18
12-17
24-18
28-21
20-6
26-28
15-17
5-21
24-22
153.4Avg total
76.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.587.0158.5-15.50%
Season at home (1)70.088.0158.0-18.00%
Season away (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.576.9153.4-0.440%
Last 5 (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.883.0155.8-10.220%
vs Similar (10)79.382.3161.6-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.374.3156.6+8.064%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/05
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A20/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/09
ACB
Spirou Charleroi
#22
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A01/10
Champions League
Spirou Charleroi
#22
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H04/10
Champions League
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.472.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.234.769.8+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.135.974.0+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.274.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.235.770.9-0.433%-
vs Similar (10)35.636.071.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)39.234.673.8+4.564%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A06/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H28/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/10
ACB
74.9Avg total
36.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.976.7+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.736.575.2+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.839.678.4-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.474.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
vs Similar (10)38.840.679.4-1.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.535.974.4+2.657%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.0
46.9%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.1
66.5%
74.6%14.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
52.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.1
37.9%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.110.4
73.8%
74.6%10.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLLWLWLLL
Valencia
LWLLLWLLWW
#14
League position
#4
+1.9
Net rating
-0.4
108.0
Offensive rating
108.9
106.1
Defensive rating
109.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.1%
3-point %
37.9%
54.3%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 108.9Defence106.1 · 109.4Shooting50.6% · 53.9%3-point %38.1% · 37.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
22/10/17Murcia v Valencia91-93
14/05/17Valencia v Murcia67-70
08/01/17Murcia v Valencia75-78
01/05/16Murcia v Valencia80-62
22/12/15Valencia v Murcia65-54
24/01/15Valencia v Murcia81-63
05/10/14Murcia v Valencia85-76
08/03/14Murcia v Valencia76-85
14/12/13Valencia v Murcia88-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/18HSpirou Charleroi78-82
01/10/18ASpirou Charleroi71-62
28/09/18AMoraBanc Andorra76-78
24/05/18HEstudiantes71-77
20/05/18ABilbao82-73
12/05/18HReal Madrid61-63
06/05/18ALudwigsburg85-74
04/05/18AAEK Athens75-77
29/04/18ABaskonia85-87
25/04/18HJoventut Badalona75-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/18HReal Madrid70-88
02/10/18HLyon-Villeurbanne84-62
28/09/18AUnicaja73-86
01/06/18HGran Canaria89-92 OT
30/05/18AGran Canaria70-97
28/05/18HGran Canaria71-56
24/05/18AMoraBanc Andorra69-87
19/05/18HBarcelona70-71
13/05/18HEstudiantes93-69
06/05/18AFuenlabrada76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.570.073.0
Allowed / game87.088.086.0
Point differential-15.5-18.0-13.0
Avg total158.5158.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid220100%88.071.5+16.5
2 Barcelona220100%93.078.0+15.0
3 Unicaja220100%89.576.0+13.5
4 MoraBanc Andorra220100%76.570.5+6.0
5 Baskonia32167%87.774.7+13.0
6 Tenerife32167%80.372.7+7.7
7 Tecnyconta Zaragoza32167%81.783.7-2.0
8 Obradoiro CAB32167%78.783.7-5.0
9 Estudiantes21150%77.077.0+0.0
10 Joventut Badalona21150%66.070.5-4.5
11 Gran Canaria31233%88.787.7+1.0
12 Fuenlabrada31233%76.776.7+0.0
13 Manresa31233%74.377.3-3.0
14 San Pablo Burgos31233%80.787.7-7.0
15 Murcia1010%76.078.0-2.0
16 Gipuzkoa3030%66.379.0-12.7
17 Valencia2020%71.587.0-15.5
18 Breogan2020%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1318211668
Valencia2022201981
← all games of the day
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