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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 70-88
26-28 15-17 5-21 24-22
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game86.0
Valencia
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.0
SpainACBRound 2
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A29/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A06/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H13/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H19/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H28/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
12-24
16-18
26-18
10-10
22-16
24-20
20-15
21-17
28-19
22-23
22-10
21-14
15-20
16-13
18-24
20-16
12-27
21-22
16-22
22-11
13-25
15-7
21-13
21-22
12-24
24-26
13-25
14-20
23-18
23-17
21-26
17-19
17-26
16-23
23-18
12-17
24-18
28-21
20-6
152.8Avg total
77.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.075.8152.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.485.2164.6-5.840%
vs Similar (10)79.382.3161.6-3.050%
vs Weaker (14)82.374.3156.6+8.064%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#5
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H03/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H05/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A07/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H13/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H15/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A19/06
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H30/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
28-10
20-17
26-21
19-21
33-29
18-20
22-13
25-27
25-23
29-21
20-21
17-19
22-20
19-28
32-27
28-33
24-19
31-13
15-26
20-24
20-18
25-21
18-15
18-21
24-17
23-19
31-28
20-12
20-22
28-8
13-19
20-21
22-23
19-18
19-11
23-14
17-21
25-20
23-18
169.5Avg total
89.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.580.0169.5+9.590%
Last 5 (5)85.674.0159.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)92.185.7177.9+6.486%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.278.3164.5+7.991%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A06/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H28/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/06
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
73.7Avg total
35.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.876.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.236.375.5+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.839.678.4-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)35.738.073.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.438.279.6+3.280%-
vs Similar (10)38.840.679.4-1.830%-
vs Weaker (14)38.535.974.4+2.657%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H03/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A07/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H15/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/06
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/09
ACB
85.5Avg total
43.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.282.6+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.484.4+5.775%-
Last 30 away (14)41.539.180.6+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.685.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)44.343.087.3+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.338.381.5+5.077%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.8
51.7%
52.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
74.6%11.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.1
51.4%
52.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.2
39.6%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.5
75.2%
74.6%15.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLWLLWWL
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+2.4
Net rating
+11.5
109.9
Offensive rating
121.1
107.5
Defensive rating
109.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
39.6%
59.3%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 121.1Defence107.5 · 109.5Shooting53.7% · 54.7%3-point %37.7% · 39.6%Ball care16.3% · 13.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 35.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
25/03/18Real Madrid v Valencia83-71
20/03/18Valencia v Real Madrid96-88
19/12/17Real Madrid v Valencia91-72
15/10/17Valencia v Real Madrid82-86
16/06/17Valencia v Real Madrid87-76
14/06/17Valencia v Real Madrid81-64
11/06/17Real Madrid v Valencia79-86
09/06/17Real Madrid v Valencia87-81
19/02/17Real Madrid v Valencia97-95
22/01/17Real Madrid v Valencia85-71
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/18HLyon-Villeurbanne84-62
28/09/18AUnicaja73-86
01/06/18HGran Canaria89-92 OT
30/05/18AGran Canaria70-97
28/05/18HGran Canaria71-56
24/05/18AMoraBanc Andorra69-87
19/05/18HBarcelona70-71
13/05/18HEstudiantes93-69
06/05/18AFuenlabrada76-61
29/04/18AJoventut Badalona75-77
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/18HTenerife88-73
22/09/18HBaskonia80-73
21/09/18AObradoiro CAB81-61
19/06/18ABaskonia96-85
17/06/18ABaskonia83-78
15/06/18HBaskonia98-91
13/06/18HBaskonia90-94
07/06/18AGran Canaria99-92
05/06/18HGran Canaria92-83
03/06/18HGran Canaria88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona220100%93.078.0+15.0
2 Real Madrid110100%88.073.0+15.0
3 Unicaja220100%89.576.0+13.5
4 Obradoiro CAB220100%92.086.5+5.5
5 MoraBanc Andorra110100%78.076.0+2.0
6 Baskonia21150%89.079.0+10.0
7 Fuenlabrada21150%77.576.5+1.0
8 Tenerife21150%81.583.0-1.5
9 San Pablo Burgos21150%81.585.0-3.5
10 Manresa21150%78.582.5-4.0
11 Tecnyconta Zaragoza21150%76.086.0-10.0
12 Estudiantes1010%77.079.0-2.0
13 Murcia1010%76.078.0-2.0
14 Gipuzkoa2020%66.576.0-9.5
15 Gran Canaria2020%85.095.5-10.5
16 Breogan1010%78.090.0-12.0
17 Valencia1010%73.086.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia261552470
Real Madrid2817212288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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