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Zlatibor vs Hercegovac Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.2
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 22· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zlatibor v Hercegovac
06 Mar 2027
ZLA v HERC
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
ZLA97
HERC92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hercegovac win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Borac Zemun
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 85
A17/04
First League
Hercegovac
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 85
H24/04
First League
Radnicki
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 85
A04/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
W
97-65
97
65
+32
90avg 85
H09/10
First League
Basket Zivinice
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 85
H13/10
ABA League 2
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
74avg 85
A17/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 85
H23/10
First League
Primorje
#6
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
91avg 85
H28/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A01/11
First League
Sloga
#14
W
103-88
103
88
+15
no box
H09/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
16-17
16-17
9-22
23-17
19-24
27-23
28-28
26-31
20-19
19-24
23-19
28-23
31-9
18-20
20-13
22-16
27-15
17-24
33-25
19-22
26-29
28-22
11-11
29-36
18-20
23-15
18-24
16-23
27-19
20-20
14-15
18-22
27-23
25-14
24-25
32-31
25-18
28-25
18-14
179.4Avg total
93.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.586.3179.8+7.250%
Season at home (3)96.082.7178.7+13.367%
Season away (3)91.090.0181.0+1.033%
Last 10 (10)93.086.4179.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)95.491.6187.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.382.3168.7+4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.484.3177.7+9.078%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHercegovac
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 83
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
91avg 83
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 83
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 83
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 83
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A08/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-14
19-19
21-26
17-23
24-19
23-27
28-28
18-8
16-26
25-9
16-22
20-12
15-23
18-20
17-22
25-29
20-19
21-20
14-12
18-21
19-16
14-15
25-12
23-19
18-27
15-18
15-21
27-26
15-14
17-12
23-21
32-17
26-20
23-25
26-20
28-27
22-17
23-24
22-21
164.8Avg total
84.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.780.2160.8+0.550%
Season at home (2)70.581.0151.5-10.50%
Season away (4)85.879.8165.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)84.480.4164.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)86.278.6164.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.791.7171.3-12.00%
vs Similar (7)81.179.7160.9+1.457%
vs Weaker (20)94.285.0179.2+9.380%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
ZlatiborHercegovac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Zemun
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A17/04
First League
Hercegovac
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/04
First League
Radnicki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/10
First League
KK Nis
#5
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H09/10
First League
Basket Zivinice
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/10
ABA League 2
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H23/10
First League
Primorje
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H28/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/11
First League
Sloga
#14
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H09/11
First League
91.4Avg total
48.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.287.0+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.540.889.3+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.784.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.043.491.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.696.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.140.786.8+5.363%-
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/11
First League
82.6Avg total
42.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.087.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.484.2+3.344%-
Last 30 away (14)45.245.991.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.882.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.741.379.0-3.70%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.485.1+0.343%-
vs Weaker (20)46.043.589.5+2.650%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
55.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.5
36.3%
31.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
70.0%18.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.9
60.0%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
70.0%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
WWWLLWWLWL
Hercegovac
WWWLWLLWLW
#8
League position
#10
+5.8
Net rating
+2.2
106.6
Offensive rating
99.8
100.8
Defensive rating
97.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
31.8%
59.9%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 99.8Defence100.8 · 97.6Shooting56.8% · 54.7%3-point %36.3% · 31.8%Ball care13.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Hercegovac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zlatibor wins
0
Hercegovac wins
DateGameScore
24/04/26Zlatibor v Hercegovac97-92
10/01/26Hercegovac v Zlatibor77-101
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HSloga103-88
01/11/26ABorac Zemun94-84
28/10/26HPrimorje101-98 OT
23/10/26HTamis88-95
17/10/26ASloboda Uzice91-93 OT
13/10/26HBasket Zivinice99-80
09/10/26HKK Nis97-65
04/10/26ARadnicki88-93
24/04/26HHercegovac97-92
17/04/26ABorac Zemun72-76
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ACacak 9495-89
04/11/26HTFT Skopje107-82
31/10/26ASloga82-73
25/10/26HBorac Zemun71-85
22/10/26HPodgorica76-64
18/10/26ATamis91-92 OT
10/10/26HSloboda Uzice70-77
03/10/26AKK Nis75-65
24/04/26AZlatibor92-97
18/04/26HVojvodina Novi Sad85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game93.596.091.0
Allowed / game86.382.790.0
Point differential+7.2+13.3+1.0
Avg total179.8178.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Hercegovac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%0%75%
Points / game80.770.585.8
Allowed / game80.281.079.8
Point differential+0.5-10.5+6.0
Avg total160.8151.5165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice770100%88.177.9+10.3
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad76186%80.771.1+9.6
3 Dynamic74357%80.175.1+5.0
4 Kolubara74357%81.480.4+1.0
5 KK Nis74357%76.977.1-0.3
6 Cacak 9474357%87.688.3-0.7
7 Radnicki74357%86.189.4-3.3
8 Zlatibor63350%93.586.3+7.2
9 Mladost Zemun63350%80.878.5+2.3
10 Hercegovac63350%80.780.2+0.5
11 Tamis63350%93.795.5-1.8
12 Borac Zemun73443%85.983.7+2.1
13 KK Metalac73443%78.379.6-1.3
14 Sloga73443%90.192.6-2.4
15 OKK Beograd7070%87.499.3-11.9
16 BKK Radnicki7070%69.184.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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