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Chomutov vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-89
14-18 14-27 22-19 27-25
Position#22
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#6
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.2
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 10· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 67
H04/04
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 67
A21/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
73-82
73
82
-9
55avg 67
A28/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 67
H05/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
95avg 67
A10/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 67
H19/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 67
A26/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
62avg 67
H31/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 67
A09/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
95avg 67
H16/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
11-15
18-13
19-21
16-20
14-16
29-17
12-15
24-21
11-20
15-21
23-20
22-20
16-10
30-13
16-27
24-23
27-23
17-17
26-11
12-14
23-23
16-23
22-25
24-12
18-29
21-20
14-19
21-22
21-9
16-16
14-23
26-33
11-25
19-17
28-22
26-14
20-20
20-23
26-25
157.2Avg total
79.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.078.7158.7+1.356%
Season at home (4)80.276.8157.0+3.575%
Season away (5)79.880.2160.0-0.440%
Last 10 (10)79.178.1157.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.586.3159.8-12.821%
vs Similar (11)79.780.1159.8-0.455%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 67
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 67
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
58avg 67
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
70avg 67
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
62avg 67
H19/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
55avg 67
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
100-67
100
67
+33
86avg 67
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
77avg 67
A13/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
70avg 67
H16/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
15-14
22-23
15-26
15-7
22-15
8-21
22-18
28-12
15-18
17-16
31-15
16-12
13-25
25-18
18-22
18-21
31-13
15-10
22-18
32-26
22-24
17-26
27-9
23-10
21-15
14-15
22-16
26-22
148.9Avg total
79.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.769.2148.9+10.467%
Season at home (5)79.467.4146.8+12.060%
Season away (4)80.071.5151.5+8.575%
Last 10 (9)79.769.2148.9+10.467%
Last 5 (5)85.070.2155.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.5163.5+10.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.667.1144.7+10.471%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +6.7+6.7
ChomutovValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/04
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H05/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A10/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A26/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/11
1. Liga
78.3Avg total
39.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.078.8-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.139.676.6-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)36.644.280.8-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.378.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.942.678.5-6.716%-
vs Similar (11)38.441.079.4-2.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H19/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/11
1. Liga
72.3Avg total
36.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)36.735.772.3+1.033%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.230.868.0+6.460%-
Last 30 away (4)36.041.877.8-5.80%-
Last 10 (9)36.735.772.3+1.033%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.074.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.033.075.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.136.471.6-1.329%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.522.4
45.3%
51.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.6
27.8%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.313.7
58.8%
65.8%13.7
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.6
53.8%
51.4%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.98.1
25.4%
29.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.413.8
56.4%
65.8%13.8
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov
WLWLLWWLWL
Valecnici Decin
WWWLWWLWL
#22
League position
#6
+1.4
Net rating
+14.1
93.6
Offensive rating
105.0
92.2
Defensive rating
90.9
44.1%
Effective FG%
46.7%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
41.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.8%
3-point %
25.4%
62.1%
Assist %
48.8%
50%
Form (last 10/9)
67%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 105.0Defence92.2 · 90.9Shooting44.1% · 46.7%3-point %27.8% · 25.4%Ball care21.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds37.3% · 41.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/9)50% · 67%
■ Chomutov   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chomutov wins
0
Valecnici Decin wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Valecnici Decin v Chomutov68-71
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HLiberecko92-82
09/11/25ARadotin84-97
31/10/25HPlzen72-70
26/10/25AUSK Prague B77-80
19/10/25HLitomerice73-85
10/10/25ACZ.ACADEMY94-74
05/10/25HSokol Prazsky84-70
28/09/25APolabi73-82
21/09/25AValecnici Decin71-68
04/04/25HVysoka71-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HPolabi83-68
13/11/25ALiberecko89-69
02/11/25HRadotin100-67
24/10/25APlzen74-86
19/10/25HUSK Prague B79-61
10/10/25ALitomerice80-66
05/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY67-70
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game80.080.279.8
Allowed / game78.776.880.2
Point differential+1.3+3.5-0.4
Avg total158.7157.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game79.779.480.0
Allowed / game69.267.471.5
Point differential+10.4+12.0+8.5
Avg total148.9146.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin990100%94.473.0+21.4
2 Plzen108280%83.171.5+11.6
3 Pardubice 2107370%77.073.2+3.8
4 Valecnici Decin96367%79.769.2+10.4
5 Zlin74357%80.073.3+6.7
6 Svitavy95456%89.084.1+4.9
7 Opava 295456%85.683.1+2.4
8 Chomutov95456%80.078.7+1.3
9 Radotin105550%84.783.2+1.5
10 Brno U2384450%79.581.6-2.1
11 USK Prague B84450%72.476.1-3.8
12 CZ.ACADEMY94544%81.086.4-5.4
13 Vysoka94544%74.980.7-5.8
14 Sokol Prazsky104640%81.784.0-2.3
15 Liberecko104640%78.483.0-4.6
16 Litomerice83538%77.684.5-6.9
17 Polabi93633%74.878.6-3.8
18 MS Academy93633%79.994.6-14.7
19 Jindrichuv Hradec92722%78.983.3-4.4
20 Basketbal Olomouc91811%70.481.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov1414222777
Valecnici Decin1827192589
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