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Aalborg vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-94
15-23 21-23 18-19 19-29
Position#9
Record8-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.3
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved
03 Jan 2015
AALB61
TEAM84
06 Nov 2014
AALB73
TEAM93
05 Dec 2013
AALB102
TEAM93
31 Oct 2012
AALB70
TEAM84
15 Feb 2012
AALB73
TEAM94
08 Oct 2011
AALB72
TEAM69
09 Oct 2010
AALB59
TEAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A07/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A14/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A14/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A19/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
H21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
H28/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A01/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
H09/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
17-17
20-19
20-23
23-19
12-12
23-17
20-21
17-21
28-24
24-21
22-20
18-25
19-20
22-27
13-18
33-18
17-17
12-28
18-17
19-18
13-19
16-18
19-12
17-25
13-14
20-35
22-26
20-25
23-21
27-29
20-26
16-14
12-27
16-20
26-11
21-21
27-22
19-16
16-24
165.6Avg total
79.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.983.1161.0-5.235%
Season at home (12)79.180.9160.0-1.850%
Season away (11)76.685.5162.2-8.918%
Last 10 (10)79.785.9165.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.289.4169.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.185.7163.8-7.624%
vs Similar (10)79.277.8157.0+1.460%
vs Weaker (2)91.066.5157.5+24.5100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H01/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H07/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A14/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A05/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H12/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H02/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A05/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
17-24
30-12
20-19
25-14
17-22
16-17
22-26
17-25
18-17
24-21
16-23
14-27
21-15
8-24
16-20
13-22
22-19
31-17
17-19
18-33
17-17
28-12
17-18
24-24
19-18
24-17
19-18
18-23
15-20
21-16
9-19
22-17
23-15
21-18
20-12
18-14
24-21
21-22
26-40
161.0Avg total
80.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.777.3158.1+3.461%
Season at home (11)84.978.4163.3+6.582%
Season away (12)76.976.4153.3+0.542%
Last 10 (10)80.180.9161.0-0.860%
Last 5 (5)83.080.4163.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.879.2140.0-18.30%
vs Similar (3)70.777.7148.3-7.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.176.4162.5+9.770%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
AalborgTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A14/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H28/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
Basketligaen
77.1Avg total
37.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.841.380.1-2.532%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.240.880.0-1.533%-
Last 30 away (10)38.341.980.2-3.630%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.677.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.642.481.9-2.829%-
vs Similar (8)37.539.476.9-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H07/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H12/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A05/02
Basketligaen
79.5Avg total
38.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)40.139.079.0+1.148%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.939.481.3+2.555%-
Last 30 away (12)38.438.677.0-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.179.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.039.369.3-9.30%-
vs Similar (3)34.043.377.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.938.181.1+4.865%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aalborg wins
4
Team FOG Naestved wins
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/12HAabyhoj96-93 OT
01/02/12AHorsholm70-72
28/01/12HHorsens90-101
23/01/12ABakken Bears72-100
21/01/12HBakken Bears73-81 OT
19/01/12ATeam FOG Naestved88-91 OT
14/01/12AHerlev Wolfpack72-90
04/01/12HHorsens91-86
14/12/11AAabyhoj78-69
07/12/11AVaerlose67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/12AVaerlose89-97
02/02/12HSisu86-62
26/01/12HBakken Bears63-78
21/01/12AHorsholm86-77
19/01/12HAalborg91-88 OT
12/01/12HSvendborg83-77
05/01/12ABakken Bears59-86
14/12/11AVaerlose75-86
07/12/11HAabyhoj80-79
01/12/11HSisu89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%50%18%
Points / game77.979.176.6
Allowed / game83.180.985.5
Point differential-5.2-1.8-8.9
Avg total161.0160.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %13%17%9%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%82%42%
Points / game80.784.976.9
Allowed / game77.378.476.4
Point differential+3.4+6.5+0.5
Avg total158.1163.3153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2322196%79.863.8+16.0
2 Svendborg2321291%84.472.5+11.9
3 Team FOG Naestved2314961%80.777.3+3.4
4 Sisu24111346%76.780.1-3.5
5 Horsholm2391439%75.678.2-2.7
6 Vaerlose2391439%74.880.3-5.5
7 Horsens2381535%82.585.6-3.1
8 Aalborg2381535%77.983.1-5.2
9 Aabyhoj2481633%75.281.3-6.1
10 Herlev Wolfpack2361726%77.081.8-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg1521181973
Team FOG Naestved2323192994
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