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Aalborg vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 102-93
30-31 23-22 24-17 25-23
Position#9
Record3-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game85.0
Aalborg 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#5
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game83.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 11
Other2013-14
Meetings · Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved
03 Jan 2015
AALB61
TEAM84
06 Nov 2014
AALB73
TEAM93
05 Dec 2013
AALB102
TEAM93
31 Oct 2012
AALB70
TEAM84
15 Feb 2012
AALB73
TEAM94
08 Oct 2011
AALB72
TEAM69
09 Oct 2010
AALB59
TEAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H09/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A13/10
Basketligaen
BMI
#12
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A21/10
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H24/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H26/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
A31/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A24/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-21
12-18
14-29
18-18
19-16
14-34
19-16
–
–
–
–
25-17
12-7
15-26
15-16
13-19
26-15
21-21
17-29
20-22
15-28
14-30
14-14
21-16
16-23
23-17
22-20
25-18
16-15
18-21
22-16
20-33
25-9
16-27
26-21
16-20
20-17
23-23
24-19
155.3Avg total
76.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.485.0160.4-9.630%
Season at home (5)74.483.6158.0-9.220%
Season away (5)76.486.4162.8-10.040%
Last 10 (10)76.878.5155.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)79.281.8161.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.386.3159.6-13.018%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.480.8160.2-1.440%
vs Weaker (2)75.072.5147.5+2.5100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A03/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A09/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H13/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A20/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#3
L
61-110
61
110
-49
A24/10
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H31/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H07/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-109
62
109
-47
A21/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H25/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-21
15-21
15-27
21-19
21-25
9-16
23-26
18-18
16-19
34-14
16-19
15-28
22-19
16-16
24-27
20-19
11-25
20-7
21-19
–
–
–
–
9-15
22-16
31-23
30-29
21-21
17-22
11-26
31-26
16-35
17-16
14-35
15-23
11-16
14-9
13-17
16-23
158.5Avg total
72.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.683.5159.1-7.940%
Season at home (5)81.079.0160.0+2.060%
Season away (5)70.288.0158.2-17.820%
Last 10 (10)72.286.3158.5-14.130%
Last 5 (5)69.892.4162.2-22.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.988.7164.6-12.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.382.4158.6-6.129%
vs Weaker (8)85.075.5160.5+9.562%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
AalborgTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H26/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A31/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/11
Basketligaen
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.841.279.0-3.438%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.540.579.0-2.050%-
Last 30 away (13)36.942.279.1-5.223%-
Last 10 (9)39.136.775.8+2.467%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.543.380.8-5.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.836.476.2+3.480%-
vs Weaker (2)36.530.567.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H31/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A21/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H25/11
Basketligaen
74.0Avg total
34.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.441.880.2-3.424%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.237.775.9+0.540%-
Last 30 away (14)38.646.284.9-7.67%-
Last 10 (9)34.139.974.0-5.80%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.870.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.345.081.3-8.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.142.580.6-4.47%-
vs Weaker (8)40.937.978.8+3.062%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aalborg wins
9
Team FOG Naestved wins
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/13AVaerlose83-79
20/11/13HHorsholm87-90
11/11/13HHerlev Wolfpack81-70
07/11/13AHerlev Wolfpack82-76
31/10/13ABakken Bears63-94
26/10/13HSisu77-84
24/10/13HVaerlose67-66
21/10/13ABMI87-58
13/10/13ATeam FOG Naestved70-84
09/10/13HHorsens71-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/13HHerlev Wolfpack54-65
21/11/13ABakken Bears62-109
07/11/13HRanders80-95
31/10/13HSisu92-83
24/10/13ABakken Bears61-110
20/10/13AHorsens72-70
16/10/13ASvendborg77-90
13/10/13HAalborg84-70
09/10/13AHorsholm74-86
03/10/13AHerlev Wolfpack66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game75.474.476.4
Allowed / game85.083.686.4
Point differential-9.6-9.2-10.0
Avg total160.4158.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game75.681.070.2
Allowed / game83.579.088.0
Point differential-7.9+2.0-17.8
Avg total159.1160.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears10100100%93.069.5+23.5
2 Svendborg109190%86.674.7+11.9
3 Randers108280%87.779.2+8.5
4 Horsholm116555%79.580.2-0.7
5 Team FOG Naestved104640%75.683.5-7.9
6 Sisu114736%80.284.9-4.7
7 Horsens103730%73.975.2-1.3
8 Aalborg103730%75.485.0-9.6
9 Herlev Wolfpack113827%75.279.4-4.2
10 Vaerlose112918%73.887.0-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg30232425102
Team FOG Naestved3122172393
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