Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 76-67

17-10 17-17 19-20 23-20

Position#8

Record4-10

FormLWLLL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game81.2

Vaerlose 🏆

Aalborg

Position#9

Record5-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game81.0

Basketligaen

Other2011-12

Meetings · Vaerlose v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

82-91

-9

H13/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-83

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

65-75

-10

A22/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-95

-7

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

92-88

H02/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

72-74

-2

H09/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

74-62

+12

A12/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

52-83

-31

A20/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

73-80

-7

A27/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

65-98

-33

H30/11

Basketligaen

30-22

14-22

12-27

26-20

24-27

19-24

20-15

24-17

21-18

14-20

19-18

11-19

22-21

20-31

27-22

19-21

17-20

28-22

24-22

23-24

15-20

18-20

18-16

21-18

12-17

27-16

12-10

23-19

8-26

15-19

20-12

9-26

–

15-32

22-23

12-21

16-22

157.9Avg total

75.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.0	81.2	155.2	-7.2	29%
Season at home (7)	76.4	84.4	160.9	-8.0	29%
Season away (7)	71.6	78.0	149.6	-6.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	82.9	157.9	-7.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	79.4	146.6	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	69.7	83.1	152.8	-13.4	7%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	75.3	78.4	153.7	-3.1	38%
vs Weaker (2)	85.5	68.5	154.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

72-69

H08/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

90-109

109

-19

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

63-82

-19

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

76-93

-17

A22/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

84-85

-1

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

70-69

H03/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-70

+10

A08/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

83-91

-8

H12/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

78-72

H26/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

75-64

+11

H30/11

Basketligaen

17-21

20-24

13-12

22-12

24-27

23-23

13-31

30-28

14-25

15-19

14-27

20-11

21-29

16-20

15-16

24-28

24-27

18-25

27-17

15-16

17-22

19-16

22-17

12-14

23-19

27-24

16-14

14-13

17-18

15-21

20-24

31-28

21-12

18-22

25-12

14-26

24-16

19-18

5-15

27-15

157.5Avg total

77.1Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	76.5	81.0	157.5	-4.5	38%
Season at home (8)	74.9	76.2	151.1	-1.4	50%
Season away (5)	79.2	88.6	167.8	-9.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	80.4	157.5	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	73.2	150.4	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	73.9	83.9	157.8	-9.9	19%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.3	77.3	157.6	+3.0	60%
vs Weaker (3)	93.3	58.0	151.3	+35.3	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	23.0	36.4	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	21.1	38.3	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	15.0	48.0	+18.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	39%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.7	19.2	37.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	9.0	34.0	+16.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	4.0	14.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.8	23.8	41.5	-6.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	21.8	39.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	4.0	26.0	+18.0	100%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

44-44

H13/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

43-51

-8

H19/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-38

-3

A22/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

42-52

-10

A28/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

45-42

H02/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

33-40

-7

H09/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

39-33

A12/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

23-45

-22

A20/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-55

-18

H30/11

Basketligaen

82.3Avg total

37.9Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	36.7	39.6	76.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 away (8)	36.1	40.0	76.1	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.9	44.4	82.3	-6.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	43.0	78.4	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.4	43.1	77.6	-8.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	19.0	62.0	+24.0	100%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

37-45

-8

H08/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

47-50

-3

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

29-44

-15

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

37-49

-12

A22/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

42-52

-10

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

36-38

-2

H03/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

50-43

A08/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

32-39

-7

H12/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

39-34

H26/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

43-34

H30/11

Basketligaen

82.0Avg total

39.2Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.0	37.9	76.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	38.1	45.8	83.9	-7.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	42.8	82.0	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.6	77.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.0	44.2	83.2	-5.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.5	41.0	77.5	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	13.0	60.0	+34.0	100%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	72%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.9	14.0	31.9	+3.9	88%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	15.1	32.7	+2.5	90%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	11.0	37.0	+15.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.7	39%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.4	34.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.7	20.2	35.9	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	9.0	35.0	+17.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.1	20.5	36.6	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	24.0	39.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.6	19.5	41.2	+2.1	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	36.8	38.1	74.9	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.1	41.0	80.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (8)	34.0	34.5	68.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.3	38.8	76.1	-1.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.4	39.3	73.7	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	35.0	76.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.4	35.8	74.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (8)	39.2	41.2	80.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	37.6	75.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.6	72.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.4	39.7	77.1	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	28.0	79.0	+23.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
24/09/11	Aalborg v Vaerlose	70-73
22/01/11	Vaerlose v Aalborg	84-76
15/12/10	Aalborg v Vaerlose	84-80
03/11/10	Aalborg v Vaerlose	66-70

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/11	H	Svendborg	65-98
27/11/11	A	Horsens	73-80
20/11/11	A	Sisu	52-83
12/11/11	A	Herlev Wolfpack	74-62
09/11/11	H	Aabyhoj	72-74
02/11/11	H	Horsens	92-88
28/10/11	A	Team FOG Naestved	88-95
22/10/11	A	Svendborg	65-75
19/10/11	H	Sisu	87-83
13/10/11	H	Horsholm	82-91

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/11	H	Horsholm	75-64
26/11/11	H	Herlev Wolfpack	78-72
12/11/11	H	Svendborg	83-91
08/11/11	A	Sisu	80-70
03/11/11	H	Herlev Wolfpack	70-69
29/10/11	A	Aabyhoj	84-85
22/10/11	A	Horsholm	76-93
19/10/11	H	Bakken Bears	63-82
13/10/11	A	Horsens	90-109
08/10/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	29%
Home	LWWLL	29%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	29%	29%
Points / game	74.0	76.4	71.6
Allowed / game	81.2	84.4	78.0
Point differential	-7.2	-8.0	-6.4
Avg total	155.2	160.9	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	38%
Home	LWLWW	50%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	38%	50%	20%
Points / game	76.5	74.9	79.2
Allowed / game	81.0	76.2	88.6
Point differential	-4.5	-1.4	-9.4
Avg total	157.5	151.1	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	12%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	14	14	0	100%	84.4	69.9	+14.4
2	Bakken Bears	13	12	1	92%	76.5	61.9	+14.6
3	Team FOG Naestved	14	9	5	64%	81.8	74.9	+6.9
4	Aabyhoj	14	6	8	43%	74.7	81.6	-6.9
5	Sisu	15	6	9	40%	77.8	80.3	-2.5
6	Horsens	15	6	9	40%	81.2	84.3	-3.1
7	Aalborg	13	5	8	38%	76.5	81.0	-4.5
8	Horsholm	14	5	9	36%	74.6	78.0	-3.4
9	Vaerlose	14	4	10	29%	74.0	81.2	-7.2
10	Herlev Wolfpack	14	3	11	21%	75.2	82.4	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	17	17	19	23	76
Aalborg	10	17	20	20	67

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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