PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aalborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-87
16-21 20-17 24-19 23-30
Position#10
Record3-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#8
Record8-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.2
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Final
Other2014-15
Meetings · Aalborg v Vaerlose
28 Mar 2015
AALB83
VAER87
16 Mar 2015
AALB69
VAER81
19 Nov 2014
AALB62
VAER93
24 Oct 2013
AALB67
VAER66
07 Feb 2013
AALB73
VAER88
13 Oct 2012
AALB77
VAER83
24 Sep 2011
AALB70
VAER73
15 Dec 2010
AALB84
VAER80
03 Nov 2010
AALB66
VAER70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
H28/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
77-109
77
109
-32
A05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-104
74
104
-30
A14/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
53-90
53
90
-37
A26/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A05/03
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H16/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A22/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
11-19
25-32
21-22
17-24
16-33
23-30
21-22
23-24
15-23
22-16
30-18
22-33
18-26
16-20
18-25
7-20
13-17
20-16
23-19
14-21
15-25
13-18
11-26
14-20
20-22
16-19
13-22
23-19
26-21
29-19
24-37
21-25
16-19
14-24
18-13
14-27
20-15
20-22
12-19
163.1Avg total
72.8Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.294.1168.3-19.911%
Season at home (13)75.591.5167.0-16.115%
Season away (15)73.196.3169.4-23.17%
Last 10 (10)72.890.3163.1-17.520%
Last 5 (5)70.686.6157.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)74.394.2168.6-19.910%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
85-75 OT
85
75
+10
H21/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H29/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
A05/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H21/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A26/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H04/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
77-105
77
105
-28
H09/03
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A16/03
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
11-15
24-14
12-19
22-8
14-19
15-18
23-26
24-28
33-17
16-30
5-32
21-27
19-26
21-19
17-23
17-21
22-17
14-24
13-22
18-25
18-17
26-21
15-22
27-16
13-25
14-21
12-28
24-32
21-25
19-21
13-27
25-21
19-16
24-14
13-18
27-14
15-20
22-20
19-12
161.2Avg total
76.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.282.2156.4-7.929%
Season at home (14)71.680.6152.2-8.929%
Season away (14)76.983.8160.6-6.929%
Last 10 (10)76.584.7161.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)76.883.0159.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.786.9156.5-17.27%
vs Similar (10)77.681.9159.5-4.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.568.0153.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -8.7-8.7
AalborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H28/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A14/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H23/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/03
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A08/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H16/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/03
Basketligaen
80.3Avg total
33.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.048.383.2-13.310%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.546.880.4-13.38%-
Last 30 away (16)36.149.485.6-13.312%-
Last 10 (10)33.946.480.3-12.510%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.879.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.048.383.2-13.310%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H29/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A05/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H09/03
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A16/03
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/03
Basketligaen
81.8Avg total
41.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.041.280.2-2.232%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.740.677.4-3.929%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.883.1-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.881.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.743.181.9-4.427%-
vs Similar (9)37.941.479.3-3.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.833.576.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aalborg wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
22/03/15Vaerlose v Aalborg83-66
16/03/15Aalborg v Vaerlose69-81
21/01/15Vaerlose v Aalborg85-75 OT
19/11/14Aalborg v Vaerlose62-93
02/02/14Vaerlose v Aalborg87-96
24/11/13Vaerlose v Aalborg79-83
24/10/13Aalborg v Vaerlose67-66
07/02/13Aalborg v Vaerlose73-88
20/01/13Vaerlose v Aalborg73-58
13/10/12Aalborg v Vaerlose77-83 OT
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/15AVaerlose66-83
16/03/15HVaerlose69-81
08/03/15ASisu102-96
05/03/15ATeam FOG Naestved63-83
26/02/15ABakken Bears53-90
23/02/15HHorsholm63-72
14/02/15ASvendborg74-104
11/02/15HRanders90-81
05/02/15AHerlev Wolfpack77-109
28/01/15HHorsens71-104
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/15HAalborg83-66
16/03/15AAalborg81-69
09/03/15HHerlev Wolfpack77-105
04/03/15HBakken Bears66-90
26/02/15ASvendborg77-85
21/02/15HRanders66-84
16/02/15AHorsholm78-95
05/02/15AHorsens78-107
29/01/15HTeam FOG Naestved74-71
21/01/15HAalborg85-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeWLWLL15%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %11%15%7%
Points / game74.275.573.1
Allowed / game94.191.596.3
Point differential-19.9-16.1-23.1
Avg total168.3167.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %4%0%7%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game74.271.676.9
Allowed / game82.280.683.8
Point differential-7.9-8.9-6.9
Avg total156.4152.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2926390%92.877.9+14.9
2 Horsens2925486%89.175.1+14.0
3 Svendborg2920969%86.379.9+6.4
4 Herlev Wolfpack29161355%88.683.0+5.6
5 Team FOG Naestved29151452%79.978.3+1.6
6 Randers29121741%85.189.8-4.6
7 Sisu29101934%83.788.0-4.3
8 Horsholm2992031%79.586.1-6.7
9 Vaerlose2882029%74.282.2-7.9
10 Aalborg2832511%74.294.1-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg1620242383
Vaerlose2117193087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.