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Aalborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-104
14-31 11-19 25-32 21-22
Position#10
Record1-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game74.3
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 19
Other2014-15
Meetings · Aalborg v Horsens
28 Jan 2015
AALB71
HORS104
12 Jan 2014
AALB86
HORS103
09 Oct 2013
AALB71
HORS84
05 Dec 2012
AALB71
HORS85
28 Jan 2012
AALB90
HORS101
04 Jan 2012
AALB91
HORS86
09 Dec 2010
AALB68
HORS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
62-93
62
93
-31
H19/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
A27/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
52-111
52
111
-59
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
H03/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
A21/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
107-98
107
98
+9
H24/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
12-26
16-25
17-14
24-33
17-22
11-24
30-26
15-26
12-24
20-14
20-26
13-19
16-16
33-25
15-27
24-29
13-20
14-24
23-18
2-41
23-26
16-31
11-13
15-19
20-18
13-21
13-26
18-25
12-25
19-25
23-22
19-20
15-11
14-24
19-12
24-20
25-27
16-18
42-33
167.0Avg total
72.9Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.096.2171.2-21.26%
Season at home (9)76.494.7171.1-18.211%
Season away (9)73.697.7171.2-24.10%
Last 10 (10)72.994.1167.0-21.210%
Last 5 (5)73.495.0168.4-21.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.095.6172.6-18.78%
vs Similar (4)79.079.2158.2-0.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
105-82
105
82
+23
H27/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H08/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H11/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H15/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
100-62
100
62
+38
A18/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
22-17
24-11
26-30
15-24
17-22
21-11
23-11
–
–
–
–
23-22
21-19
14-30
23-15
25-18
22-15
14-15
19-22
13-15
18-24
20-20
30-13
32-8
25-19
25-16
12-21
20-13
21-19
18-20
29-16
15-18
26-24
22-15
17-21
–
–
–
–
157.7Avg total
86.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.474.3158.6+10.182%
Season at home (8)85.478.1163.5+7.275%
Season away (9)83.470.9154.3+12.689%
Last 10 (10)86.970.8157.7+16.190%
Last 5 (5)88.668.8157.4+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.581.3159.8-2.850%
vs Similar (5)74.475.8150.2-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.570.5157.0+16.094%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -8.9-8.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
AalborgHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A27/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
25-67
25
67
-42
A30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H24/01
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
33.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.047.483.4-11.410%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.146.482.5-10.37%-
Last 30 away (14)35.948.584.4-12.614%-
Last 10 (10)33.647.581.1-13.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.481.0-11.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.148.884.9-12.78%-
vs Similar (4)35.538.874.2-3.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H27/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H04/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/01
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
43.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)40.638.779.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.839.281.1+2.658%-
Last 30 away (14)39.538.277.7+1.343%-
Last 10 (8)43.537.681.1+5.962%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.678.0+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.247.583.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (5)35.635.671.2+0.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.036.280.2+7.860%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aalborg wins
9
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
27/11/14Horsens v Aalborg105-82
23/10/14Horsens v Aalborg111-79
09/10/14Horsens v Aalborg84-75
27/02/14Horsens v Aalborg89-97 OT
12/01/14Aalborg v Horsens86-103
09/10/13Aalborg v Horsens71-84
27/01/13Horsens v Aalborg74-73
05/12/12Aalborg v Horsens71-85
17/10/12Horsens v Aalborg107-75
28/01/12Aalborg v Horsens90-101
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/15HSisu107-98
21/01/15AVaerlose75-85 OT
10/01/15AHorsholm72-97
03/01/15HTeam FOG Naestved61-84
30/12/14ABakken Bears52-111
17/12/14ASvendborg74-91
12/12/14HRanders77-87
03/12/14HHerlev Wolfpack67-90
27/11/14AHorsens82-105
19/11/14HVaerlose62-93
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/15ARanders100-62
15/01/15HSvendborg80-78
12/01/15ASisu88-68
04/01/15HHorsholm94-64
30/12/14ARanders81-72
15/12/14HTeam FOG Naestved80-70
11/12/14HBakken Bears81-86
08/12/14HSisu84-58
04/12/14AVaerlose76-68
27/11/14HAalborg105-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW6%
HomeLLLLW11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game75.076.473.6
Allowed / game96.294.797.7
Point differential-21.2-18.2-24.1
Avg total171.2171.1171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%11%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%75%89%
Points / game84.485.483.4
Allowed / game74.378.170.9
Point differential+10.1+7.2+12.6
Avg total158.6163.5154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1715288%95.481.6+13.8
2 Horsens1714382%84.474.3+10.1
3 Herlev Wolfpack1611569%90.180.7+9.4
4 Svendborg1812667%85.280.7+4.4
5 Team FOG Naestved1810856%80.679.5+1.1
6 Randers1881044%87.989.6-1.7
7 Sisu1981142%87.388.1-0.8
8 Horsholm1851328%82.387.8-5.5
9 Vaerlose1951426%73.680.5-6.8
10 Aalborg181176%75.096.2-21.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg1411252171
Horsens31193222104
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