Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 79-83

20-16 17-20 23-23 19-24

Position#10

Record2-7

FormLLWLL

Points / game71.7

Allowed / game86.6

Vaerlose

Aalborg 🏆

Position#9

Record2-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game85.7

BasketligaenRound 10

Other2013-14

Meetings · Vaerlose v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

82-95

-13

A25/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

74-85

-11

H29/09

Basketligaen

Sisu

81-80

H09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

75-88

-13

A12/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

70-85

-15

A15/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

66-87

-21

H17/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

66-67

-1

A24/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

78-70

H31/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-102

102

-42

H07/11

Basketligaen

Randers

63-105

105

-42

A20/11

Basketligaen

25-31

13-25

16-20

28-19

15-22

21-24

24-19

14-20

23-22

22-14

21-22

15-22

14-16

15-25

18-18

28-29

17-25

18-17

11-29

24-14

19-23

20-23

8-25

19-16

17-25

7-12

26-15

16-15

21-16

17-15

23-18

17-21

22-27

12-29

10-24

16-22

14-29

14-26

18-18

17-32

157.9Avg total

71.5Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	71.7	86.6	158.2	-14.9	22%
Season at home (5)	71.8	84.8	156.6	-13.0	40%
Season away (4)	71.5	88.8	160.2	-17.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	86.4	157.9	-14.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.6	86.2	152.8	-19.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	76.7	88.3	165.0	-11.6	30%
vs Similar (4)	85.2	83.5	168.8	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (2)	80.5	65.5	146.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

70-94

-24

H28/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

71-84

-13

H09/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-84

-14

A13/10

Basketligaen

BMI

#12

87-58

+29

A21/10

Denmark Cup

Vaerlose

#10

67-66

H24/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-84

-7

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

63-94

-31

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-76

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

81-70

+11

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

87-90

-3

H20/11

Basketligaen

25-30

14-14

19-21

12-29

24-16

21-21

12-18

14-29

18-18

19-16

14-34

19-16

–

25-17

12-7

15-26

15-16

13-19

26-15

21-21

17-29

20-22

15-28

14-30

14-14

21-16

16-23

23-17

22-20

25-18

16-15

18-21

22-16

20-33

25-9

16-27

26-21

155.5Avg total

75.5Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.6	85.7	160.2	-11.1	22%
Season at home (5)	74.4	83.6	158.0	-9.2	20%
Season away (4)	74.8	88.2	163.0	-13.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	80.0	155.5	-4.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	82.8	160.8	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	72.9	86.8	159.7	-13.9	17%
vs Similar (5)	79.4	80.8	160.2	-1.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	67.0	66.0	133.0	+1.0	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.7	45.2	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.9	44.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	24.4	45.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.6	42.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.8	23.7	44.4	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.5	25.5	50.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	19.5	45.5	+6.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.8	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.4	38.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	21.3	37.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	21.0	36.9	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	21.0	35.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.3	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	20.1	38.6	-1.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.4	39.8	-2.9	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	16.4	34.7	+1.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	15.6	36.0	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	12.0	7.0	19.0	+5.0	100%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

38-56

-18

A25/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-46

-10

H29/09

Basketligaen

Sisu

45-36

H09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

29-41

-12

A12/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

35-42

-7

A15/10

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

39-46

-7

H17/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

24-37

-13

A24/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

38-31

H31/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

34-56

-22

H07/11

Basketligaen

Randers

28-55

-27

A20/11

Basketligaen

79.2Avg total

34.6Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	44.1	83.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.5	83.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	45.7	83.3	-8.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	44.6	79.2	-10.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	45.0	77.6	-12.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	38.6	44.8	83.4	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	42.8	84.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	39.5	87.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

39-44

-5

H28/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

45-37

H09/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

37-34

A13/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

37-24

+13

H24/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

39-34

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-50

-15

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

37-39

-2

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-33

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

45-42

H20/11

Basketligaen

76.9Avg total

39.4Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.7	41.8	79.4	-4.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	40.5	79.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.6	43.3	79.9	-6.7	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.4	37.4	76.9	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	37.2	43.7	80.9	-6.5	26%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	37.0	24.0	61.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.4	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.9	40.1	+0.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.3	38.7	-3.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	16.5	34.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	13.5	30.5	+3.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	21.9	39.8	-3.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.6	40.1	-3.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	22.2	39.5	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.9	23.9	40.8	-7.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	15.0	26.0	41.0	-11.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.9	39.6	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	20.5	36.6	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.7	22.0	40.6	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	12.5	28.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.6	21.1	37.7	-4.5	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.5	26%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.4	79.1	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.4	40.3	76.7	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	42.5	81.4	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.8	78.7	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	41.2	75.2	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	38.1	43.5	81.6	-5.3	26%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.5	42.9	78.4	-7.4	21%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	42.6	79.4	-5.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.0	43.2	77.2	-9.2	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.8	45.0	79.8	-10.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	34.9	42.6	77.5	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.6	44.4	84.0	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	30.0	42.0	72.0	-12.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/13	Aalborg v Vaerlose	67-66
07/02/13	Aalborg v Vaerlose	73-88
20/01/13	Vaerlose v Aalborg	73-58
13/10/12	Aalborg v Vaerlose	77-83 OT
26/02/12	Vaerlose v Aalborg	79-73
07/12/11	Vaerlose v Aalborg	76-67
24/09/11	Aalborg v Vaerlose	70-73
22/01/11	Vaerlose v Aalborg	84-76
15/12/10	Aalborg v Vaerlose	84-80
03/11/10	Aalborg v Vaerlose	66-70

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/13	A	Randers	63-105
07/11/13	H	Svendborg	60-102
31/10/13	H	Horsens	78-70
24/10/13	A	Aalborg	66-67
17/10/13	H	Horsholm	66-87
15/10/13	A	Sisu	70-85
12/10/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	75-88
09/10/13	H	Sisu	81-80
29/09/13	H	Bakken Bears	74-85
25/09/13	A	Team FOG Naestved	82-95

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/13	H	Horsholm	87-90
11/11/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	81-70
07/11/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-76
31/10/13	A	Bakken Bears	63-94
26/10/13	H	Sisu	77-84
24/10/13	H	Vaerlose	67-66
21/10/13	A	BMI	87-58
13/10/13	A	Team FOG Naestved	70-84
09/10/13	H	Horsens	71-84
28/09/13	H	Svendborg	70-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	22%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	22%	40%	0%
Points / game	71.7	71.8	71.5
Allowed / game	86.6	84.8	88.8
Point differential	-14.9	-13.0	-17.2
Avg total	158.2	156.6	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	22%
Home	LLWLL	20%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	22%	20%	25%
Points / game	74.6	74.4	74.8
Allowed / game	85.7	83.6	88.2
Point differential	-11.1	-9.2	-13.5
Avg total	160.2	158.0	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	9	9	0	100%	91.8	70.3	+21.4
2	Svendborg	9	8	1	89%	85.7	73.2	+12.4
3	Randers	10	8	2	80%	87.7	79.2	+8.5
4	Horsholm	10	5	5	50%	78.8	79.9	-1.1
5	Team FOG Naestved	9	4	5	44%	78.0	85.6	-7.6
6	Sisu	10	4	6	40%	82.0	83.0	-1.0
7	Horsens	10	3	7	30%	73.9	75.2	-1.3
8	Herlev Wolfpack	9	2	7	22%	75.4	81.4	-6.0
9	Aalborg	9	2	7	22%	74.6	85.7	-11.1
10	Vaerlose	9	2	7	22%	71.7	86.6	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	20	17	23	19	79
Aalborg	16	20	23	24	83

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature