Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 85-75 (OT)

20-19 11-15 24-14 12-19 18-8

Position#8

Record4-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game80.8

Vaerlose 🏆

Aalborg

Position#10

Record0-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game96.8

BasketligaenRound 18

Other2014-15

Meetings · Vaerlose v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

93-62

+31

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

69-73

-4

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

68-76

-8

H04/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

82-79

A11/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

90-92 OT

-2

A17/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-86

-26

H30/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

66-88

-22

A04/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-84

-7

H08/01

Basketligaen

Randers

91-76

+15

A12/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

66-101

101

-35

A16/01

Basketligaen

28-17

26-12

25-16

14-17

18-15

20-23

14-17

17-18

24-15

22-17

11-21

11-23

15-14

27-22

20-27

20-16

18-20

18-16

20-19

30-31

11-23

18-22

19-21

12-20

22-22

14-22

15-28

15-16

22-24

20-19

19-11

16-30

27-21

16-28

31-16

17-11

18-30

24-25

10-19

14-27

157.9Avg total

76.2Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	73.0	80.8	153.8	-7.8	22%
Season at home (8)	69.0	79.6	148.6	-10.6	12%
Season away (10)	76.2	81.7	157.9	-5.5	30%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	81.7	157.9	-5.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	87.0	159.0	-15.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	73.0	86.5	159.6	-13.5	5%
vs Similar (8)	79.0	80.0	159.0	-1.0	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	93.0	62.0	155.0	+31.0	100%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

73-93

-20

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-114

114

-27

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-93

-31

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-105

105

-23

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

67-90

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

77-87

-10

H12/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

74-91

-17

A17/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

52-111

111

-59

A30/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

61-84

-23

H03/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

72-97

-25

A10/01

Basketligaen

16-18

17-25

21-26

19-24

22-24

16-35

29-30

20-25

17-28

12-26

16-25

17-14

24-33

17-22

11-24

30-26

15-26

12-24

20-14

20-26

13-19

16-16

33-25

15-27

24-29

13-20

14-24

23-18

2-41

23-26

16-31

11-13

15-19

20-18

13-21

13-26

18-25

12-25

19-25

23-22

167.2Avg total

70.7Scored

96.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.0	96.8	169.8	-23.8	0%
Season at home (8)	72.6	94.2	166.9	-21.6	0%
Season away (8)	73.4	99.2	172.6	-25.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	96.5	167.2	-25.8	0%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	94.0	161.2	-26.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	75.7	95.7	171.4	-20.0	4%
vs Similar (4)	79.0	79.2	158.2	-0.2	25%
vs Weaker (1)	96.0	87.0	183.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	28.0	17.0	45.0	+11.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	14%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	25.5	44.6	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	26.2	42.8	-9.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	26.6	41.0	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.1	24.8	42.8	-6.7	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.8	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	26.0	12.0	38.0	+14.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	24.4	42.3	-6.4	14%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	23.6	40.7	-6.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	23.7	39.5	-7.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.4	24.7	42.1	-7.3	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	20.2	38.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

54-29

+25

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-38

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-32

+14

H04/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

42-36

A11/12

Basketligaen

Horsholm

36-36

A17/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

29-45

-16

H30/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-44

-8

A04/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

42-43

-1

H08/01

Basketligaen

Randers

43-49

-6

A12/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

42-55

-13

A16/01

Basketligaen

81.5Avg total

40.8Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.7	41.5	81.2	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.6	42.8	81.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	40.4	81.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	47.2	85.6	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.8	42.5	82.3	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.4	40.3	77.7	-2.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	54.0	29.0	83.0	+25.0	100%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

33-43

-10

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-59

-21

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

29-54

-25

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-55

-14

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

27-50

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

29-35

-6

H12/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-49

-12

A17/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

25-67

-42

A30/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

35-37

-2

H03/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

30-50

-20

A10/01

Basketligaen

82.3Avg total

32.4Scored

49.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.8	47.8	83.5	-12.0	3%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.2	46.4	81.6	-11.1	0%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	49.1	85.3	-12.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.4	49.9	82.3	-17.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	47.6	78.8	-16.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	35.5	49.5	85.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	38.8	74.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.5	20.9	36.4	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.8	23.0	38.8	-7.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.7	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.2	44.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	25.5	44.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	20.1	37.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	19.8	37.2	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.8	35.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	23.0	57.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.0	41.5	76.5	-6.6	18%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.9	40.7	73.6	-7.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	42.3	79.0	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	40.4	75.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	39.8	73.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	32.9	43.5	76.4	-10.6	5%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	37.0	77.3	+3.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.6	45.1	85.8	-4.5	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	44.7	86.4	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	45.5	85.1	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	46.6	84.9	-8.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	46.4	82.4	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.6	46.0	85.6	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.5	40.5	84.0	+3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	44.0	97.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/14	Aalborg v Vaerlose	62-93
02/02/14	Vaerlose v Aalborg	87-96
24/11/13	Vaerlose v Aalborg	79-83
24/10/13	Aalborg v Vaerlose	67-66
07/02/13	Aalborg v Vaerlose	73-88
20/01/13	Vaerlose v Aalborg	73-58
13/10/12	Aalborg v Vaerlose	77-83 OT
26/02/12	Vaerlose v Aalborg	79-73
07/12/11	Vaerlose v Aalborg	76-67
24/09/11	Aalborg v Vaerlose	70-73

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/15	A	Herlev Wolfpack	66-101
12/01/15	A	Randers	91-76
08/01/15	H	Sisu	77-84
04/01/15	A	Bakken Bears	66-88
30/12/14	H	Svendborg	60-86
17/12/14	A	Horsholm	90-92 OT
11/12/14	A	Sisu	82-79
04/12/14	H	Horsens	68-76
27/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	69-73
19/11/14	A	Aalborg	93-62

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/15	A	Horsholm	72-97
03/01/15	H	Team FOG Naestved	61-84
30/12/14	A	Bakken Bears	52-111
17/12/14	A	Svendborg	74-91
12/12/14	H	Randers	77-87
03/12/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	67-90
27/11/14	A	Horsens	82-105
19/11/14	H	Vaerlose	62-93
16/11/14	A	Sisu	87-114
06/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	22%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	WLLWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	22%	12%	30%
Points / game	73.0	69.0	76.2
Allowed / game	80.8	79.6	81.7
Point differential	-7.8	-10.6	-5.5
Avg total	153.8	148.6	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	73.0	72.6	73.4
Allowed / game	96.8	94.2	99.2
Point differential	-23.8	-21.6	-25.9
Avg total	169.8	166.9	172.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	16	14	2	88%	96.6	83.1	+13.4
2	Horsens	17	14	3	82%	84.4	74.3	+10.1
3	Herlev Wolfpack	16	11	5	69%	90.1	80.7	+9.4
4	Svendborg	17	11	6	65%	84.6	81.9	+2.6
5	Team FOG Naestved	17	10	7	59%	81.9	79.6	+2.3
6	Randers	17	8	9	47%	89.5	89.3	+0.2
7	Sisu	17	8	9	47%	87.9	87.8	+0.1
8	Horsholm	17	4	13	24%	82.7	89.0	-6.3
9	Vaerlose	18	4	14	22%	73.0	80.8	-7.8
10	Aalborg	16	0	16	0%	73.0	96.8	-23.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Vaerlose	20	11	24	12	18	85
Aalborg	19	15	14	19	8	75

← all games of the day

Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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