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Aarhus vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2013
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 78-75
18-17 22-11 13-21 25-26
Position#9
Record6-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game83.2
Aarhus 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#6
Record13-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.3
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 21
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Team FOG Naestved
28 Feb 2013
AARH78
TEAM75
08 Oct 2012
AARH61
TEAM83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A31/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A06/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A13/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A23/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
16-21
16-23
15-19
18-22
16-22
16-18
11-21
18-19
14-15
16-16
17-24
13-23
25-19
16-30
22-19
19-17
16-15
21-18
16-22
24-24
22-22
21-26
14-17
21-24
19-21
13-13
14-28
17-20
21-26
19-15
24-16
15-17
20-29
26-17
20-23
26-28
27-22
15-23
19-25
160.6Avg total
74.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.583.2155.7-10.623%
Season at home (12)75.282.5157.8-7.233%
Season away (14)70.283.7153.9-13.514%
Last 10 (10)74.686.0160.6-11.410%
Last 5 (5)79.487.2166.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.384.9154.2-15.611%
vs Similar (6)77.282.8160.0-5.733%
vs Weaker (3)77.377.0154.3+0.367%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A09/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H21/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
H24/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H06/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A17/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
22-19
28-22
25-24
19-21
17-28
21-30
19-17
14-32
25-12
26-20
11-15
18-15
18-22
18-9
13-17
14-19
14-33
15-33
23-14
15-18
22-23
17-24
29-19
19-17
23-29
12-14
26-17
15-21
17-19
23-20
20-16
28-28
10-18
18-20
26-19
21-15
10-13
17-17
22-13
158.0Avg total
77.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.576.3154.8+2.250%
Season at home (14)74.872.3147.1+2.557%
Season away (12)82.981.0163.9+1.942%
Last 10 (10)77.380.7158.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)78.076.0154.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.580.5157.0-4.033%
vs Similar (10)74.381.6155.9-7.320%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.970.2153.2+12.777%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +4.3+4.3
AarhusTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A31/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A06/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A13/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A23/02
Basketligaen
82.7Avg total
38.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.341.477.8-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.840.676.4-4.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.842.178.9-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.882.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.689.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.943.680.6-6.718%-
vs Similar (6)34.537.572.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A17/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H24/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H06/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/02
Basketligaen
79.1Avg total
36.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.940.379.2-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.037.975.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)40.043.183.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.779.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.542.277.7-6.717%-
vs Similar (10)36.744.681.3-7.910%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.535.878.2+6.883%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aarhus wins
2
Team FOG Naestved wins
DateGameScore
12/12/12Team FOG Naestved v Aarhus80-62
08/10/12Aarhus v Team FOG Naestved61-83
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/13ARanders87-98
16/02/13HHorsholm81-86
13/02/13AAalborg81-77
06/02/13ASvendborg67-86
31/01/13ASisu81-89
26/01/13HHorsholm78-81 OT
19/01/13HHorsens76-91
16/01/13ABakken Bears65-74
09/01/13ASvendborg61-83
06/01/13AVaerlose69-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/13HAalborg70-58
17/02/13AVaerlose82-85
13/02/13HHorsens75-76
06/02/13HRanders80-77
30/01/13AHorsholm83-84
24/01/13HSvendborg66-99
21/01/13HBakken Bears67-63
17/01/13ASisu76-79
09/01/13ARanders76-96
19/12/12HVaerlose98-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game72.575.270.2
Allowed / game83.282.583.7
Point differential-10.6-7.2-13.5
Avg total155.7157.8153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %15%25%7%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game78.574.882.9
Allowed / game76.372.381.0
Point differential+2.2+2.5+1.9
Avg total154.8147.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2622485%90.180.5+9.6
2 Bakken Bears2620677%89.576.0+13.5
3 Horsens2619773%85.779.6+6.0
4 Sisu26161062%80.277.9+2.3
5 Team FOG Naestved26131350%78.576.3+2.2
6 Randers26121446%90.089.0+1.0
7 Horsholm26101638%79.984.5-4.5
8 Vaerlose26101638%79.284.0-4.8
9 Aarhus2662023%72.583.2-10.6
10 Aalborg262248%74.989.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aarhus1822132578
Team FOG Naestved1711212675
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