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Aarhus vs Horsholm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-81 (OT)
19-17 16-15 21-18 16-22 6-9
Position#9
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#7
Record6-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.6
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 2
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Horsholm
16 Feb 2013
AARH81
HORS86
26 Jan 2013
AARH78
HORS81
26 Oct 2011
AARH56
HORS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsholm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H19/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
16-21
18-19
15-23
13-17
22-23
16-25
16-24
18-17
22-32
16-21
16-23
15-19
18-22
16-22
16-18
11-21
18-19
14-15
16-16
17-24
13-23
25-19
16-30
22-19
155.7Avg total
70.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.582.2152.8-11.725%
Season at home (10)74.482.3156.7-7.940%
Season away (10)66.782.2148.9-15.510%
Last 10 (10)70.785.0155.7-14.310%
Last 5 (5)68.686.4155.0-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.583.7151.1-16.213%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.082.5158.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsholmDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lemvig
#8
W
90-57
90
57
+33
A24/11
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A02/12
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A06/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H08/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A15/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
H13/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A24/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20-23
11-17
20-18
20-18
–
–
–
–
20-20
25-21
13-17
22-27
20-19
22-19
29-20
9-21
–
–
–
–
30-24
22-18
14-22
11-21
19-12
20-24
13-23
21-20
30-11
15-25
23-18
22-28
157.4Avg total
77.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.784.6162.4-6.932%
Season at home (10)80.585.8166.3-5.340%
Season away (9)74.783.3158.0-8.722%
Last 10 (10)77.879.6157.4-1.840%
Last 5 (5)77.886.2164.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.583.9159.3-8.426%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.575.5157.0+6.075%
vs Weaker (2)91.071.0162.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
AarhusHorsholm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/01
Basketligaen
77.2Avg total
35.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)34.940.675.5-5.725%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.040.976.9-4.920%-
Last 30 away (10)33.840.374.1-6.530%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.877.2-6.40%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.280.2-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.942.977.9-8.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.236.871.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A15/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Basketligaen
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.241.081.2-0.854%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.542.885.3-0.464%-
Last 30 away (13)38.339.477.7-1.146%-
Last 10 (6)42.338.881.2+3.583%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.683.2+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.842.682.4-2.747%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.034.275.2+6.875%-
vs Weaker (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aarhus wins
1
Horsholm wins
DateGameScore
29/09/12Horsholm v Aarhus63-67
26/10/11Aarhus v Horsholm56-94
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/13HHorsens76-91
16/01/13ABakken Bears65-74
09/01/13ASvendborg61-83
06/01/13AVaerlose69-95
18/12/12HHorsens72-89
12/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved62-80
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
Horsholmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/13AHorsens90-82
19/01/13HSisu73-79
16/01/13HSvendborg77-85
13/01/13HBakken Bears69-106
05/01/13HSvendborg80-79
15/12/12ARanders80-85
08/12/12HSisu68-66
06/12/12ASisu71-76
02/12/12ASisu80-81
24/11/12ALemvig90-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game70.574.466.7
Allowed / game82.282.382.2
Point differential-11.7-7.9-15.5
Avg total152.8156.7148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Horsholm
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game77.780.574.7
Allowed / game84.685.883.3
Point differential-6.9-5.3-8.7
Avg total162.4166.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2119290%90.880.0+10.9
2 Horsens2116576%86.978.6+8.3
3 Bakken Bears2015575%86.274.8+11.4
4 Sisu2012860%79.276.3+2.9
5 Team FOG Naestved21111052%78.776.4+2.3
6 Randers2091145%90.888.9+1.9
7 Horsholm1961332%77.784.6-6.9
8 Vaerlose2061430%78.784.3-5.7
9 Aarhus2051525%70.582.2-11.7
10 Aalborg181176%75.291.7-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aarhus19162116678
Horsholm17151822981
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