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Aarhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-91
13-23 25-19 16-30 22-19
Position#9
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#3
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game78.2
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 19
Other2012-13
Meetings · Aarhus v Horsens
19 Jan 2013
AARH76
HORS91
18 Dec 2012
AARH72
HORS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A16/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
15-14
14-13
11-23
17-14
10-22
9-22
12-22
16-26
27-18
23-16
17-17
18-21
14-16
22-20
20-20
23-24
15-16
21-24
23-18
16-21
18-19
15-23
13-17
22-23
16-25
16-24
18-17
22-32
16-21
16-23
15-19
18-22
16-22
16-18
11-21
18-19
14-15
16-16
17-24
150.8Avg total
68.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.381.8152.1-11.526%
Season at home (9)74.281.3155.6-7.144%
Season away (10)66.782.2148.9-15.510%
Last 10 (10)68.582.3150.8-13.810%
Last 5 (5)65.884.2150.0-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.983.1150.0-16.314%
vs Similar (4)76.082.5158.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (2)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A09/11
Denmark Cup
Sisu
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H18/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A05/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A15/12
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A16/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
29-16
18-14
13-13
21-26
14-19
21-21
21-17
12-11
21-22
18-22
28-21
9-20
22-19
24-15
19-21
20-16
27-21
24-24
19-15
19-17
28-24
21-13
17-12
13-18
23-22
25-16
24-16
17-18
26-23
15-25
18-14
20-16
21-21
28-14
25-27
21-13
156.3Avg total
81.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.978.2165.1+8.879%
Season at home (10)87.281.3168.5+5.970%
Season away (9)86.774.7161.3+12.089%
Last 10 (10)81.275.1156.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)86.273.8160.0+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.186.4160.5-12.225%
vs Similar (12)88.083.9171.9+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.971.6160.4+17.3100%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
AarhusHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/01
Basketligaen
74.9Avg total
34.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)34.740.575.3-5.826%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.840.876.6-5.022%-
Last 30 away (10)33.840.374.1-6.530%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.474.9-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.879.0-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.743.077.7-8.315%-
vs Similar (4)34.236.871.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A11/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A05/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H13/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/12
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A16/01
Basketligaen
84.0Avg total
45.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)44.240.084.3+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.842.487.1+2.443%-
Last 30 away (14)43.737.781.4+6.071%-
Last 10 (9)45.039.084.0+6.067%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.688.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.941.680.4-2.743%-
vs Similar (12)45.841.687.3+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.436.883.2+9.778%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aarhus wins
2
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
18/12/12Aarhus v Horsens72-89
11/10/12Horsens v Aarhus79-65
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/13ABakken Bears65-74
09/01/13ASvendborg61-83
06/01/13AVaerlose69-95
18/12/12HHorsens72-89
12/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved62-80
05/12/12AVaerlose97-104 OT
29/11/12HSisu74-77
21/11/12HRanders83-77
13/11/12HBakken Bears48-80
08/11/12AAalborg54-64
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/13AVaerlose95-75
10/01/13HBakken Bears79-78
18/12/12AAarhus89-72
15/12/12ATeam FOG Naestved79-67
13/12/12HVaerlose89-77
05/12/12AAalborg85-71
18/11/12HSvendborg76-85
15/11/12HHorsholm81-74 OT
11/11/12ASisu81-69
09/11/12ABakken Bears58-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%44%10%
Points / game70.374.266.7
Allowed / game81.881.382.2
Point differential-11.5-7.1-15.5
Avg total152.1155.6148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%70%89%
Points / game86.987.286.7
Allowed / game78.281.374.7
Point differential+8.8+5.9+12.0
Avg total165.1168.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%50%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2018290%90.480.7+9.8
2 Bakken Bears1915479%87.575.2+12.3
3 Horsens1915479%86.978.2+8.8
4 Sisu1911858%79.276.5+2.7
5 Team FOG Naestved1910953%79.975.9+4.1
6 Randers1981142%90.489.5+0.9
7 Horsholm1751229%77.385.1-7.8
8 Vaerlose1951426%78.985.7-6.8
9 Aarhus1951426%70.381.8-11.5
10 Aalborg161156%76.192.4-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aarhus1325162276
Horsens2319301991
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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