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Abilene Christian vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-91 (OT)
31-42 44-33 14-16
Position#227
Record14-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#102
Record18-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Abilene Christian v Stephen F. Austin
11 Nov 2026
ABIL v STEP
upcoming
31 Dec 2024
ABIL57
STEP62
02 Dec 2023
ABIL74
STEP79
22 Feb 2023
ABIL89
STEP91
06 Jan 2022
ABIL58
STEP64
27 Jan 2021
ABIL82
STEP62
03 Mar 2020
ABIL72
STEP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A19/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A02/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
36-44
22-36
32-48
36-27
48-41
38-36
35-39
38-40
43-36
44-49
39-19
38-39
49-32
32-37
30-40
–
–
42-48
–
137.6Avg total
69.1Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.268.0142.2+6.352%
Season at home (14)79.563.7143.2+15.864%
Season away (13)68.572.5141.1-4.038%
Last 10 (10)69.168.5137.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)67.262.0129.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.782.0143.7-20.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.777.9151.5-4.233%
vs Weaker (10)77.054.6131.6+22.490%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
41-41
29-31
29-36
41-36
30-40
32-22
51-44
38-32
41-33
38-40
29-33
37-41
46-45
37-31
45-41
32-32
33-28
39-34
31-41
145.5Avg total
74.3Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.567.5144.0+9.067%
Season at home (15)78.263.2141.4+15.080%
Season away (12)74.472.8147.2+1.650%
Last 10 (10)74.371.2145.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)73.473.2146.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.969.6141.4+2.356%
vs Weaker (19)79.166.3145.4+12.874%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
Abilene ChristianStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A19/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A18/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
35.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.834.070.8+2.845%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.429.869.2+9.673%-
Last 30 away (14)34.038.472.4-4.414%-
Last 10 (9)35.237.873.0-2.622%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.337.370.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.137.371.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker (9)39.828.468.2+11.367%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#259
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.867.4+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.027.865.8+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)35.134.269.3+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.069.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.672.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.835.470.2-0.744%-
vs Weaker (19)37.728.165.8+9.679%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AGrand Canyon84-94
16/02/23ANew Mexico State20-0
12/02/23HSam Houston St.62-77
05/02/23ACalifornia Baptist87-71
02/02/23ASeattle83-68
29/01/23HUtah Tech81-76
27/01/23HGrand Canyon73-75
22/01/23HUT Arlington84-68
19/01/23AUtah Valley State54-84
14/01/23ATarleton63-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HUT Arlington70-75
16/02/23HTarleton65-60
12/02/23AUTRGV82-72
05/02/23AGrand Canyon83-86
02/02/23ANew Mexico State67-73
28/01/23HSeattle79-65
26/01/23HUTRGV83-66
20/01/23ASam Houston St.71-76
14/01/23ASouthern Utah58-67
13/01/23AUtah Tech85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game74.279.568.5
Allowed / game68.063.772.5
Point differential+6.3+15.8-4.0
Avg total142.2143.2141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game76.578.274.4
Allowed / game67.563.272.8
Point differential+9.0+15.0+1.6
Avg total144.0141.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2721678%76.467.8+8.7
2 Southern Utah2617965%82.874.5+8.3
3 California Baptist28161257%68.962.2+6.6
4 Abilene Christian27141352%74.268.0+6.3
5 Tarleton28141450%70.167.6+2.5
6 Utah Tech27111641%75.173.7+1.5
7 UT Arlington27101737%66.166.5-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC2819968%80.171.9+8.2
2 Northwestern St.2819968%74.772.1+2.5
3 Stephen F. Austin2718967%76.567.5+9.0
4 SE Louisiana28151354%77.376.8+0.5
5 Nicholls State27141352%76.372.7+3.5
6 UTRGV29151452%76.574.4+2.1
7 TX A&M Commerce29121741%70.272.1-1.8
8 Incarnate Word28111739%70.973.7-2.8
9 Houston Christian2891932%78.683.6-5.0
10 Lamar2891932%68.074.3-6.2
11 New Orleans2681831%71.379.8-8.5
12 McNeese State2882029%67.875.0-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Abilene Christian31441489
Stephen F. Austin42331691
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