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Stephen F. Austin vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 65-60
32-32 33-28
Position#102
Record17-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game67.5
Stephen F. Austin 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#183
Record14-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Tarleton
29 Nov 2023
STEP66
TARL68
15 Feb 2023
STEP65
TARL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#333
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H07/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
38-36
38-34
35-34
44-31
41-41
29-31
29-36
41-36
30-40
32-22
51-44
38-32
41-33
38-40
29-33
37-41
46-45
37-31
45-41
145.5Avg total
75.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.267.5144.7+9.868%
Season at home (13)79.862.5142.4+17.385%
Season away (12)74.472.8147.2+1.650%
Last 10 (10)75.070.5145.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)78.872.4151.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.870.8143.6+2.060%
vs Weaker (18)79.665.8145.4+13.878%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
36-39
28-27
44-36
22-24
25-43
19-33
29-44
50-28
24-44
45-21
36-41
24-36
41-32
24-29
45-35
31-25
31-47
45-32
30-39
134.5Avg total
66.6Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.967.8138.7+3.154%
Season at home (12)79.162.7141.8+16.483%
Season away (14)63.972.2136.1-8.429%
Last 10 (10)66.667.9134.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)70.467.4137.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.569.0128.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.371.1136.5-5.840%
vs Weaker (10)76.560.6137.1+15.990%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -5.9-5.9
Stephen F. AustinTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#333
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H26/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A05/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.666.9+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.127.165.2+10.987%-
Last 30 away (15)34.534.168.6+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.268.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.269.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.234.869.0-0.650%-
vs Weaker (18)37.727.865.4+9.978%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H12/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A20/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H27/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
32.5Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.162.4+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.426.463.8+11.186%-
Last 30 away (16)29.731.461.1-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.527.960.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.828.662.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.033.557.5-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.731.163.7+1.647%-
vs Weaker (10)36.424.961.3+11.590%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
09/01/22Tarleton v Stephen F. Austin77-71 OT
Stephen F. Austinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AUTRGV82-72
05/02/23AGrand Canyon83-86
02/02/23ANew Mexico State67-73
28/01/23HSeattle79-65
26/01/23HUTRGV83-66
20/01/23ASam Houston St.71-76
14/01/23ASouthern Utah58-67
13/01/23AUtah Tech85-72
07/01/23HGrand Canyon73-68
05/01/23HNew Mexico State69-60
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AUtah Tech75-71
10/02/23ASouthern Utah62-72
06/02/23AUT Arlington69-64
04/02/23HUTRGV65-68
29/01/23HGrand Canyon81-62
27/01/23HUtah Tech74-72
22/01/23ACalifornia Baptist48-77
20/01/23ASeattle47-67
14/01/23HAbilene Christian72-63
12/01/23HChicago State73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%85%50%
Points / game77.279.874.4
Allowed / game67.562.572.8
Point differential+9.8+17.3+1.6
Avg total144.7142.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game70.979.163.9
Allowed / game67.862.772.2
Point differential+3.1+16.4-8.4
Avg total138.7141.8136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.2618869%74.872.2+2.7
2 Stephen F. Austin2517868%77.267.5+9.8
3 Texas A&M-CC2617965%80.372.5+7.8
4 Nicholls State24131154%76.272.5+3.8
5 SE Louisiana26141254%77.376.7+0.6
6 UTRGV26121446%77.277.5-0.3
7 TX A&M Commerce26111542%69.771.4-1.8
8 Incarnate Word26111542%70.673.1-2.5
9 Houston Christian2681831%78.283.7-5.5
10 Lamar2681831%66.973.5-6.6
11 McNeese State2671927%67.974.9-7.0
12 New Orleans2461825%70.980.5-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2620677%76.868.2+8.7
2 Southern Utah2516964%82.874.6+8.2
3 California Baptist27151256%68.362.2+6.1
4 Tarleton26141254%70.967.8+3.1
5 Abilene Christian25131252%76.069.6+6.4
6 Utah Tech26111542%75.373.4+1.9
7 UT Arlington2591636%66.266.4-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin323365
Tarleton322860
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