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Tarleton vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-63
28-27 44-36
Position#183
Record9-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#227
Record9-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tarleton v Abilene Christian
16 Feb 2026
TARL65
ABIL62
08 Jan 2026
TARL80
ABIL84
27 Feb 2025
TARL67
ABIL52
18 Jan 2024
TARL79
ABIL71
14 Jan 2023
TARL72
ABIL63
12 Feb 2022
TARL63
ABIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-23
49-32
30-39
27-41
27-30
22-45
38-37
29-44
52-24
62-32
31-16
39-47
28-29
35-40
36-35
32-30
24-44
44-31
37-24
36-39
140.9Avg total
72.7Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.567.5141.0+6.153%
Season at home (8)82.160.9143.0+21.288%
Season away (9)65.973.3139.2-7.422%
Last 10 (10)72.768.2140.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)68.467.0135.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.174.0137.1-10.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.173.6138.7-8.429%
vs Weaker (13)74.859.8134.6+15.192%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North American Stallions
#571
W
93-46
93
46
+47
H01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
88-42
88
42
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A18/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#665
W
113-52
113
52
+61
H22/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H08/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-19
52-27
42-19
46-23
34-35
30-46
39-26
44-38
15-31
50-28
61-29
52-23
27-39
41-36
29-28
40-35
30-25
42-49
37-51
49-52
146.0Avg total
80.1Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.267.6144.9+9.653%
Season at home (10)81.359.6140.9+21.770%
Season away (7)71.479.1150.6-7.729%
Last 10 (10)80.165.9146.0+14.260%
Last 5 (5)81.673.4155.0+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.975.9146.9-5.036%
vs Weaker (13)79.459.8139.2+19.585%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +8.9+8.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +8.9+8.9
TarletonAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Huston Tillotson
#570
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H12/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
35.2Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.464.1+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.728.764.5+7.060%-
Last 30 away (15)31.632.163.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.230.165.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.229.660.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.836.163.9-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.334.366.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker (13)37.324.962.2+12.492%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North American Stallions
#571
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
15-31
15
31
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#665
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H08/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A12/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.667.6+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.527.967.4+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.367.7-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)35.530.265.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.434.165.5-2.636%-
vs Weaker (13)38.228.866.9+9.462%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
4
Abilene Christian wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HChicago State73-63
07/01/23ASam Houston St.68-75
06/01/23HSouthern Utah68-65
31/12/22AAbilene Christian63-69
30/12/22HUT Arlington70-63
22/12/22HHuston Tillotson114-56
18/12/22AAir Force67-81
11/12/22AUCF Knights49-75
07/12/22ABaylor57-80
03/12/22HWiley98-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23AUTRGV86-103
08/01/23HSouthern Utah72-74
31/12/22HTarleton69-63
30/12/22AStephen F. Austin68-75
22/12/22HHoward Payne113-52
18/12/22ACSU Bakersfield65-59
10/12/22HTX A&M Commerce83-64
07/12/22AKansas State64-81
03/12/22HArlington Baptist Patriots88-42
01/12/22HNorth American Stallions93-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%88%22%
Points / game73.582.165.9
Allowed / game67.560.973.3
Point differential+6.1+21.2-7.4
Avg total141.0143.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%70%29%
Points / game77.281.371.4
Allowed / game67.659.679.1
Point differential+9.6+21.7-7.7
Avg total144.9140.9150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1814478%76.466.7+9.7
2 Southern Utah1812667%84.274.1+10.1
3 California Baptist1810856%67.164.0+3.1
4 Abilene Christian179853%77.267.6+9.6
5 Tarleton179853%73.567.5+6.1
6 Utah Tech179853%75.670.9+4.8
7 UT Arlington1851328%65.166.0-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton284472
Abilene Christian273663
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