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Abilene Christian vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 72-60
32-25 40-35
Position#208
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#207
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game60.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A03/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
107-74
107
74
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
38-40
38-34
41-39
38-32
39-36
35-38
51-41
31-31
33-28
38-35
29-39
23-29
34-31
60-35
47-39
30-44
26-35
48-17
53-38
145.1Avg total
76.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.069.3157.3+18.767%
Season at home (3)88.069.3157.3+18.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.568.6145.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)77.668.4146.0+9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.674.1143.6-4.536%
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.275.1140.4-9.925%
vs Weaker (7)90.073.4163.4+16.686%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
37-29
41-25
32-30
30-39
41-32
28-38
46-36
34-23
41-36
33-30
41-38
29-37
39-36
35-22
29-22
51-23
51-39
37-35
34-41
142.7Avg total
76.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.060.7139.7+18.367%
Season at home (2)83.053.0136.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.965.8142.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)75.864.6140.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.173.3136.4-10.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.568.4138.9+2.255%
vs Weaker (10)82.565.5148.0+17.070%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
Abilene ChristianTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Howard Payne
#430
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H05/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H13/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
37.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.569.7+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.233.671.9+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)31.935.467.3-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.069.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.071.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.235.868.0-3.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.532.565.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (7)42.333.675.9+8.757%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.964.6+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.730.966.5+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)29.832.962.7-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.265.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.466.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.234.462.7-6.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.331.964.2+0.473%-
vs Weaker (10)37.329.666.9+7.770%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Abilene Christian wins
1
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
26/11/19Texas State v Abilene Christian61-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HMcMurry101-55
10/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.56-79
05/11/24HHoward Payne107-74
14/03/24AStephen F. Austin57-60
09/03/24HUtah Valley State67-74
08/03/24HSeattle64-59
03/03/24AUtah Tech86-79
01/03/24ASouthern Utah77-68
24/02/24HGrand Canyon79-73
23/02/24HCalifornia Baptist71-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ATCU71-76
09/11/24HMcMurry102-62
05/11/24HEastern Michigan64-44
11/03/24AJames Madison68-73
09/03/24ATroy74-68
07/03/24ASouthern Miss75-59
06/03/24HOld Dominion92-83 OT
02/03/24HTroy82-79 OT
28/02/24HLouisiana Monroe73-55
24/02/24AGeorgia State68-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game69.369.3-
Point differential+18.7+18.7-
Avg total157.3157.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.083.071.0
Allowed / game60.753.076.0
Point differential+18.3+30.0-5.0
Avg total139.7136.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah330100%94.365.7+28.7
2 California Baptist43175%82.577.2+5.2
3 Utah Valley State32167%84.064.7+19.3
4 Abilene Christian32167%88.069.3+18.7
5 UT Arlington42250%89.278.5+10.8
6 Utah Tech31233%70.071.3-1.3
7 Tarleton41325%66.079.0-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State43175%74.568.8+5.8
2 Georgia Southern43175%80.875.2+5.5
3 Texas State32167%79.060.7+18.3
4 James Madison32167%85.771.0+14.7
5 Marshall32167%82.370.0+12.3
6 Southern Miss32167%88.377.0+11.3
7 Troy32167%70.366.7+3.7
8 Louisiana Monroe52340%79.070.0+9.0
9 Appalachian State31233%75.772.7+3.0
10 South Alabama31233%64.767.3-2.7
11 Coastal Carolina31233%63.067.0-4.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette31233%64.375.3-11.0
13 Georgia State31233%68.079.7-11.7
14 Old Dominion41325%68.585.8-17.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian324072
Texas State253560
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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