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Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-55
41-25 32-30
Position#214
Record12-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#302
Record11-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Monroe
14 Feb 2026
TEXA95
LOUI84
19 Feb 2025
TEXA80
LOUI63
27 Feb 2024
TEXA73
LOUI55
29 Dec 2022
TEXA53
LOUI57
13 Jan 2022
TEXA80
LOUI56
27 Feb 2021
TEXA61
LOUI57
26 Feb 2021
TEXA58
LOUI49
30 Jan 2020
TEXA71
LOUI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Monroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
28-37
48-47
31-30
37-29
132.3Avg total
64.9Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.370.2138.5-1.941%
Season at home (13)72.867.2140.0+5.754%
Season away (16)64.672.6137.2-8.031%
Last 10 (10)64.967.4132.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)68.270.6138.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.173.1130.2-16.09%
vs Similar (14)70.668.6139.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.667.0151.6+17.660%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
39-37
26-41
48-33
34-46
38-34
37-57
43-38
33-26
46-49
43-33
39-43
33-21
35-38
23-39
34-46
32-30
34-29
33-49
45-35
150.8Avg total
74.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.474.3144.7-3.941%
Season at home (14)75.571.7147.2+3.857%
Season away (13)64.977.0141.9-12.123%
Last 10 (10)74.776.1150.8-1.460%
Last 5 (5)70.272.6142.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.977.7142.6-12.812%
vs Similar (12)70.569.8140.2+0.858%
vs Weaker (2)106.568.5175.0+38.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
Texas StateLouisiana Monroe
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A24/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.532.563.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.530.462.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)29.034.163.1-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)29.830.960.7-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.263.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)26.334.861.1-8.59%-
vs Similar (14)31.831.463.1+0.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.230.666.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A01/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A16/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H24/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.565.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.132.666.7+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)30.534.565.0-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.170.6-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.467.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.437.266.6-7.919%-
vs Similar (12)32.829.862.7+3.075%-
vs Weaker (2)54.525.079.5+29.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Texas State wins
2
Louisiana Monroe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AGeorgia State68-59
23/02/24AGeorgia Southern76-84
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HTroy78-84
23/02/24HLouisiana Lafayette66-59
17/02/24ATroy57-85
16/02/24ASouthern Miss68-59
10/02/24HEastern Michigan82-76
08/02/24HCoastal Carolina79-75
03/02/24AArkansas State80-95
01/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette72-80
28/01/24HArkansas State85-82 OT
26/01/24HSouth Alabama80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %41%54%31%
Points / game68.372.864.6
Allowed / game70.267.272.6
Point differential-1.9+5.7-8.0
Avg total138.5140.0137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL41%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayWLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%57%23%
Points / game70.475.564.9
Allowed / game74.371.777.0
Point differential-3.9+3.8-12.1
Avg total144.7147.2141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2926390%84.668.8+15.8
2 Appalachian State2924583%78.366.5+11.8
3 Troy29191066%79.770.1+9.7
4 Louisiana Lafayette29171259%76.371.1+5.2
5 Southern Miss29161355%70.670.6-0.1
6 Arkansas State29151452%80.178.1+2.0
7 South Alabama29141548%73.976.1-2.2
8 Georgia State28131546%76.373.9+2.4
9 Texas State29121741%68.370.2-1.9
10 Marshall29121741%73.676.1-2.6
11 Louisiana Monroe27111641%70.474.3-3.9
12 Coastal Carolina2781930%74.278.7-4.6
13 Old Dominion2972224%70.675.6-5.0
14 Georgia Southern2962321%71.979.7-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State413273
Louisiana Monroe253055
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