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Texas State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 92-83 (OT)
28-38 46-36 18-9
Position#214
Record14-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#353
Record7-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Old Dominion
31 Jan 2026
TEXA81
OLD 64
06 Mar 2025
TEXA61
OLD 64
05 Mar 2024
TEXA92
OLD 83
11 Feb 2023
TEXA68
OLD 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
28-37
48-47
31-30
37-29
41-25
32-30
30-39
41-32
135.7Avg total
69.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)68.970.0138.9-1.145%
Season at home (15)73.567.1140.6+6.360%
Season away (16)64.672.6137.2-8.031%
Last 10 (10)69.366.4135.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)74.671.0145.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.674.8133.4-16.220%
vs Similar (14)70.668.6139.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.765.0147.7+17.767%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H16/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
42-40
36-33
27-45
34-33
39-45
29-29
28-29
27-37
33-31
32-36
33-32
29-36
38-46
31-28
44-31
26-51
38-38
30-45
45-47
143.0Avg total
68.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.576.5147.0-6.023%
Season at home (17)69.271.5140.8-2.335%
Season away (14)72.082.6154.6-10.67%
Last 10 (10)68.274.8143.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)69.278.0147.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.478.2146.6-9.815%
vs Similar (10)74.675.1149.7-0.530%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
Texas StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H02/03
NCAA
61.5Avg total
31.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.263.1-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.930.663.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)28.933.962.8-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)31.130.461.5+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.866.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)26.035.061.0-9.010%-
vs Similar (14)31.831.463.1+0.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.029.766.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H16/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A02/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.369.3-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.534.964.4-5.419%-
Last 30 away (14)34.940.074.9-5.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.467.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.639.268.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.038.370.3-6.225%-
vs Similar (10)32.035.267.2-3.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Old Dominion wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Old Dominion v Texas State36-65
11/02/23Texas State v Old Dominion68-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HTroy82-79 OT
28/02/24HLouisiana Monroe73-55
24/02/24AGeorgia State68-59
23/02/24AGeorgia Southern76-84
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AGeorgia Southern75-92
28/02/24AAppalachian State64-89
25/02/24HCoastal Carolina75-59
23/02/24HAppalachian State67-82
18/02/24HGeorgia State65-68
16/02/24HLouisiana Lafayette60-68
10/02/24HCentral Michigan57-58
08/02/24ASouthern Miss73-78
03/02/24AJames Madison63-78
02/02/24AMarshall83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%60%31%
Points / game68.973.564.6
Allowed / game70.067.172.6
Point differential-1.1+6.3-8.0
Avg total138.9140.6137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %23%35%7%
Points / game70.569.272.0
Allowed / game76.571.582.6
Point differential-6.0-2.3-10.6
Avg total147.0140.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison3128390%84.669.3+15.3
2 Appalachian State3126584%78.766.1+12.6
3 Troy31201165%79.970.5+9.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette31181358%76.271.3+4.9
5 Arkansas State31161552%79.077.6+1.5
6 Southern Miss31161552%70.270.9-0.7
7 South Alabama31161552%74.175.6-1.6
8 Georgia State30141647%76.574.4+2.1
9 Texas State31141745%68.970.0-1.1
10 Marshall31121939%73.776.6-2.9
11 Louisiana Monroe30111937%69.974.4-4.6
12 Coastal Carolina3092130%73.878.5-4.7
13 Georgia Southern3182326%73.079.3-6.3
14 Old Dominion3172423%70.576.5-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Texas State28461892
Old Dominion3836983
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