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Absheron Lions vs Bakken Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#45
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game95.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#22
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 8
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Absheron Lions win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
88-105
88
105
-17
72avg 74
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#17
L
83-105
83
105
-22
75avg 74
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
84-108
84
108
-24
67avg 74
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#22
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
73avg 74
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Denizli Basket
#31
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
85avg 74
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#6
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Geneva Lions
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
20-28
27-15
22-25
26-18
27-30
21-19
23-35
17-21
16-25
20-24
23-30
24-26
20-25
14-23
25-34
25-26
19-17
18-15
22-30
22-19
14-18
19-24
27-12
20-26
18-25
21-30
17-24
20-18
22-20
16-23
16-19
23-23
179.6Avg total
86.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.795.3179.0-11.717%
Season at home (2)88.595.5184.0-7.050%
Season away (4)81.295.2176.5-14.00%
Last 10 (10)86.493.2179.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)83.893.4177.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.795.3179.0-11.717%
vs Similar (4)88.896.8185.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 90
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#11
W
123-82
123
82
+41
120avg 90
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#45
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
86avg 90
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BMS Herlev
#12
W
105-67
105
67
+38
103avg 90
H24/10
Basketligaen
BC Prievidza
#23
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 90
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
105-75
105
75
+30
105avg 90
A30/10
Basketligaen
Denizli Basket
#31
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vejen
#9
W
126-61
126
61
+65
no box
A13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
10-22
26-12
15-19
31-23
25-18
33-19
34-22
17-19
15-18
30-22
19-22
19-20
34-19
27-14
25-14
20-20
19-16
19-22
25-20
29-8
18-23
27-29
31-15
22-18
14-20
24-21
20-17
19-20
19-21
24-17
15-22
20-26
22-24
24-24
13-20
30-24
24-17
39-13
33-7
172.1Avg total
94.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.083.3165.3-1.367%
Season at home (2)86.089.5175.5-3.550%
Season away (4)80.080.2160.2-0.275%
Last 10 (10)94.777.4172.1+17.380%
Last 5 (5)93.477.2170.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.685.2163.8-6.640%
vs Similar (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)98.078.5176.5+19.582%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
Absheron LionsBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#22
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Denizli Basket
#31
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#6
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Geneva Lions
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.3Avg total
40.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)41.544.485.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (6)43.244.787.8-1.533%-
Last 30 away (9)40.444.284.7-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.345.085.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.080.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.244.881.0-8.717%-
vs Similar (4)44.547.291.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#45
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BMS Herlev
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H24/10
Basketligaen
BC Prievidza
#23
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A30/10
Basketligaen
Denizli Basket
#31
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/11
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vejen
#9
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/11
Basketligaen
83.0Avg total
43.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.2+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.938.686.6+9.379%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.284.0+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.683.0+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.283.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.843.081.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (2)37.039.576.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.238.486.6+9.882%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.0
54.7%
53.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.826.8
64.1%
53.4%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.5
31.8%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.913.8
66.0%
72.8%13.8
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Absheron Lions
LLWLLLLWLW
Bakken Bears
WLLWWWWWWW
#45
League position
#22
-7.1
Net rating
+19.5
100.9
Offensive rating
101.5
107.9
Defensive rating
82.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
31.8%
49.4%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 101.5Defence107.9 · 82.0Shooting52.3% · 56.9%3-point %31.9% · 31.8%Ball care14.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Absheron Lions   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Absheron Lions wins
1
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Bakken Bears v Absheron Lions91-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AGeneva Lions77-85
04/11/26ABenfica76-97
28/10/26HDenizli Basket94-86 OT
21/10/26ABakken Bears88-91 OT
13/10/26ABC Prievidza84-108
07/10/26HGeneva Lions83-105
14/09/26AVEF Riga88-105
19/11/25ANeftchi IK95-86
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVejen126-61
11/11/26ABenfica79-94
08/11/26ATeam FOG Naestved77-80
03/11/26ADenizli Basket80-76
30/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus105-75
27/10/26ABC Prievidza83-78
24/10/26HBMS Herlev105-67
21/10/26HAbsheron Lions91-88 OT
18/10/26AVaerlose123-82
14/10/26AGeneva Lions78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game83.788.581.2
Allowed / game95.395.595.2
Point differential-11.7-7.0-14.0
Avg total179.0184.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%25%
Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game82.086.080.0
Allowed / game83.389.580.2
Point differential-1.3-3.5-0.2
Avg total165.3175.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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