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Academica vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 61-87
14-20 15-17 15-26 17-24
Position#14
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game92.2
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Academica v Sampaense
21 Feb 2027
ACAD v SAMP
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ACAD67
SAMP54
15 Nov 2025
ACAD58
SAMP75
16 Dec 2023
ACAD61
SAMP87
05 Feb 2023
ACAD82
SAMP53
21 Apr 2013
ACAD71
SAMP83
20 Apr 2013
ACAD79
SAMP41
15 Dec 2012
ACAD72
SAMP49
31 Mar 2012
ACAD69
SAMP78
08 Jan 2011
ACAD83
SAMP68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
53avg 55
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 55
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
45avg 55
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
48-59
48
59
-11
32avg 55
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 55
A18/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
55-86
55
86
-31
47avg 55
H25/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
44avg 55
A01/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
61avg 55
A07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-8
11-18
13-18
26-20
15-18
24-20
18-21
15-27
21-15
11-18
19-24
13-11
26-20
30-30
27-15
17-19
8-29
22-12
23-27
12-24
6-14
19-12
15-18
8-15
27-20
19-20
15-21
12-16
13-18
14-19
17-23
11-26
16-18
13-19
13-25
18-21
12-23
19-13
13-16
25-23
145.3Avg total
67.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.878.0144.8-11.212%
Season at home (3)55.771.0126.7-15.30%
Season away (5)73.482.2155.6-8.820%
Last 10 (10)67.977.4145.3-9.520%
Last 5 (5)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.380.2146.6-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.971.6145.4+2.343%
vs Weaker (14)80.273.8154.0+6.471%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Belenenses
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
69avg 65
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
84-100
84
100
-16
79avg 65
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 65
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 65
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
63-88
63
88
-25
53avg 65
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
68avg 65
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 65
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
H08/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
13-27
35-15
17-20
22-31
27-21
27-13
23-15
20-29
23-12
23-39
24-27
20-26
30-30
15-27
19-17
22-21
7-20
24-27
10-16
26-25
25-20
19-28
16-22
20-28
19-19
13-20
11-21
25-18
14-21
20-21
11-20
22-19
23-15
17-28
15-27
23-17
19-22
16-23
25-21
171.0Avg total
81.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.992.2170.1-14.40%
Season at home (5)75.491.2166.6-15.80%
Season away (3)82.094.0176.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)81.289.8171.0-8.620%
Last 5 (5)77.289.4166.6-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.087.4160.4-14.45%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.586.6174.1+0.855%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
AcademicaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H25/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/12
Proliga
71.3Avg total
34.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.234.469.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.180.3+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.471.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.266.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.637.375.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (14)40.936.677.6+4.371%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belenenses
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/12
Proliga
86.4Avg total
42.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.482.5-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.543.283.8-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.481.1-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.986.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.540.177.6-2.642%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.646.491.0-1.736%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.4
42.2%
50.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.0
32.9%
31.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.210.0
61.5%
69.3%10.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.6
54.8%
50.4%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.4
29.2%
31.2%22.3
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
74.8%
69.3%12.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLLLLWLLW
Sampaense
LLLLLLLLWW
#14
League position
#16
-15.7
Net rating
-19.7
87.9
Offensive rating
99.6
103.6
Defensive rating
119.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
29.2%
46.2%
Assist %
50.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 99.6Defence103.6 · 119.4Shooting44.7% · 50.3%3-point %32.9% · 29.2%Ball care20.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 23.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Academica   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Academica wins
2
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Sampaense v Academica84-100
05/02/23Academica v Sampaense82-53
03/12/22Sampaense v Academica82-92
09/11/13Sampaense v Academica70-57
28/04/13Sampaense v Academica83-90
27/04/13Sampaense v Academica65-86
21/04/13Academica v Sampaense71-83
20/04/13Academica v Sampaense79-41
29/03/13Sampaense v Academica60-68
15/12/12Academica v Sampaense72-49
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23AMaia69-75
01/12/23ASangalhos60-83
25/11/23HIlliabum55-86
18/11/23AVasco Da Gama73-77
04/11/23HGalitos Aveiro48-59
28/10/23ABraga65-92
21/10/23ASampaense100-84
14/10/23HMaia64-68
08/04/23ABenfica Lisboa B72-86
01/04/23HGinasio Olhanense73-64
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HVasco Da Gama90-95 OT
02/12/23HMaia77-89
25/11/23AGalitos Aveiro70-80
18/11/23HSangalhos63-88
04/11/23ABraga86-95
28/10/23HIlliabum63-84
21/10/23HAcademica84-100
14/10/23AVasco Da Gama90-107
08/04/23AGinasio Olhanense99-80
01/04/23HBelenenses90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game66.855.773.4
Allowed / game78.071.082.2
Point differential-11.2-15.3-8.8
Avg total144.8126.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.975.482.0
Allowed / game92.291.294.0
Point differential-14.4-15.8-12.0
Avg total170.1166.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz880100%87.874.4+13.4
2 Maia87188%78.673.8+4.9
3 Illiabum86275%78.669.2+9.4
4 Braga86275%81.474.6+6.8
5 Vasco Da Gama86275%85.880.6+5.1
6 Barreirense86275%79.476.1+3.2
7 Galitos Barreiro85362%78.978.2+0.6
8 CAB Madeira84450%82.578.4+4.1
9 Sangalhos83538%73.171.6+1.5
10 Santo Andre83538%85.086.9-1.9
11 Galitos Aveiro83538%75.577.5-2.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense82625%78.281.0-2.8
13 Imortal B82625%70.677.5-6.9
14 Benfica Lisboa B82625%70.180.0-9.9
15 Academica81712%66.878.0-11.2
16 Sampaense8080%77.992.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1415151761
Sampaense2017262487
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