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Achilleas K. vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 52-83
10-24 11-17 15-30 16-12
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game80.6
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game70.7
CyprusDivision ARound 12· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca
07 Jan 2027
ACHI v ALA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ACHI90
ALA92
23 Apr 2025
ACHI75
ALA95
19 Oct 2024
ACHI69
ALA93
22 Dec 2023
ACHI52
ALA83
27 Nov 2022
ACHI77
ALA74
11 Oct 2021
ACHI53
ALA75
02 Dec 2011
ACHI0
ALA20
06 Nov 2010
ACHI84
ALA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 57
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 57
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 57
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 57
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
84-68
84
68
+16
50avg 57
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
77avg 57
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
57avg 57
H18/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
67-63
67
63
+4
58avg 57
A25/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
62avg 57
H02/12
Division A
AEL
#5
L
41-82
41
82
-41
24avg 57
A08/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
22-23
15-14
17-25
20-26
13-29
17-18
21-20
16-21
18-22
12-19
17-18
12-33
15-22
34-11
15-25
16-21
23-12
17-20
28-15
21-24
16-24
20-24
25-20
25-25
12-14
16-19
17-20
19-16
13-9
17-21
18-17
11-19
22-22
18-21
19-10
4-18
17-20
12-24
8-20
150.6Avg total
70.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.080.6150.6-10.620%
Season at home (5)72.677.0149.6-4.420%
Season away (5)67.484.2151.6-16.820%
Last 10 (10)70.080.6150.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)66.077.4143.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.885.2154.0-16.418%
vs Similar (7)74.173.4147.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (1)70.072.0142.0-2.00%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 76
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 76
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 76
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 76
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 76
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 76
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 76
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 76
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-68
90
68
+22
94avg 76
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 76
H14/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
27-13
16-18
26-13
21-24
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
159.1Avg total
85.0Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.770.7156.4+15.090%
Season at home (5)87.667.6155.2+20.0100%
Season away (5)83.873.8157.6+10.080%
Last 10 (10)85.074.1159.1+10.980%
Last 5 (5)90.072.8162.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (7)78.371.7150.0+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.569.3155.8+17.384%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
Achilleas K.AEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A25/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
Division A
AEL
#5
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A08/12
Division A
76.2Avg total
33.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.041.174.1-8.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.138.373.4-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)30.943.974.8-13.120%-
Last 10 (10)33.742.576.2-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.270.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.143.575.6-11.418%-
vs Similar (7)35.733.669.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (1)33.041.074.0-8.00%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
79.1Avg total
41.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.534.476.0+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.132.976.0+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)40.035.975.9+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.879.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.373.0+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.332.976.2+10.484%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.9
50.2%
51.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.0
28.7%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.710.4
66.2%
71.2%10.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.1
54.6%
51.0%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.8
35.2%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
71.2%15.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLWLLWLLLL
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#2
-14.7
Net rating
+14.5
93.6
Offensive rating
110.2
108.3
Defensive rating
95.7
46.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.7%
3-point %
35.2%
61.4%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 110.2Defence108.3 · 95.7Shooting46.6% · 54.1%3-point %28.7% · 35.2%Ball care17.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Achilleas K. wins
5
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.93-71
16/03/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.106-50
27/11/22Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca77-74
22/12/21AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.94-49
11/10/21Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca53-75
02/12/11Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca0-20
09/01/11AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.60-62
06/11/10Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca84-73
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23AAEL41-82
02/12/23HParalimni70-72
25/11/23AApop Paphou67-63
18/11/23HKeravnos70-78
10/11/23APAEEK82-92
05/11/23HApollon84-68
29/10/23AETHA Engomi76-91
20/10/23HAnorthosis63-80
14/10/23AAEK Larnaca71-93
08/10/23HApoel BC76-87
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
09/12/23AApop Paphou90-68
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
27/11/23APAEEK83-74
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game70.072.667.4
Allowed / game80.677.084.2
Point differential-10.6-4.4-16.8
Avg total150.6149.6151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game85.787.683.8
Allowed / game70.767.673.8
Point differential+15.0+20.0+10.0
Avg total156.4155.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca109190%85.770.7+15.0
2 Apoel BC109190%76.369.1+7.2
3 Keravnos119282%85.869.9+15.9
4 Anorthosis107370%84.371.1+13.2
5 AEL107370%81.871.6+10.2
6 Apollon115645%79.684.5-4.9
7 ETHA Engomi114736%78.182.5-4.5
8 Apop Paphou113827%74.884.0-9.2
9 Achilleas K.102820%70.080.6-10.6
10 PAEEK112918%77.286.8-9.6
11 Paralimni111109%68.287.7-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.1011151652
AEK Larnaca2417301283
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