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Achilleas K. vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-95
14-23 18-31 25-19 18-22
Position#9
Record2-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#1
Record22-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game69.9
CyprusDivision ARound 27· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca
07 Jan 2027
ACHI v ALA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ACHI90
ALA92
23 Apr 2025
ACHI75
ALA95
19 Oct 2024
ACHI69
ALA93
22 Dec 2023
ACHI52
ALA83
27 Nov 2022
ACHI77
ALA74
11 Oct 2021
ACHI53
ALA75
02 Dec 2011
ACHI0
ALA20
06 Nov 2010
ACHI84
ALA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 54
H26/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
52-70
52
70
-18
31avg 54
A01/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
68-100
68
100
-32
53avg 54
H06/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
84-113
84
113
-29
76avg 54
A28/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
58-87
58
87
-29
46avg 54
H07/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
52-92
52
92
-40
42avg 54
A11/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 54
H17/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
90avg 54
A23/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 54
H29/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 54
A02/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
22-12
19-18
22-21
15-23
14-15
8-24
15-8
15-17
16-27
18-29
19-27
18-27
14-32
26-28
26-26
19-16
10-25
20-24
9-22
14-29
15-15
8-23
15-25
25-19
16-21
17-20
17-27
15-17
17-26
22-24
26-13
23-20
18-31
29-16
13-19
20-17
15-18
18-18
17-31
161.3Avg total
72.5Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.489.7157.2-22.39%
Season at home (11)64.784.7149.5-20.09%
Season away (12)69.994.3164.2-24.48%
Last 10 (10)72.588.8161.3-16.320%
Last 5 (5)76.890.0166.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)66.289.6155.8-23.48%
vs Similar (3)75.074.7149.7+0.333%
vs Weaker (1)69.062.0131.0+7.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
94-54
94
54
+40
97avg 79
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 79
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 79
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
88avg 79
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
46avg 79
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 79
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 79
A22/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
89avg 79
H28/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 79
A01/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
99-59
99
59
+40
102avg 79
H16/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
23-16
18-11
25-13
20-20
22-25
23-19
21-18
27-30
19-13
23-13
19-26
21-20
28-19
19-20
17-23
14-16
19-18
13-20
11-22
20-24
17-24
23-19
29-16
26-17
30-16
15-16
20-20
15-19
34-19
23-23
17-10
24-21
18-28
22-9
21-18
20-23
22-11
33-8
24-17
159.7Avg total
86.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.069.9155.8+16.196%
Season at home (12)88.268.9157.1+19.2100%
Season away (11)83.570.9154.5+12.691%
Last 10 (10)86.373.4159.7+12.990%
Last 5 (5)90.671.6162.2+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (4)81.877.0158.8+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.369.2155.5+17.295%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
Achilleas K.AEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A01/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-59
32
59
-27
A28/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A11/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H29/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
Division A
76.1Avg total
33.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.244.577.8-11.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.743.077.7-8.329%-
Last 30 away (16)31.945.977.8-13.96%-
Last 10 (10)33.742.476.1-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.678.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.245.878.0-13.78%-
vs Similar (3)43.038.381.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker (1)32.030.062.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A22/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H28/03
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A01/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/04
Division A
84.0Avg total
44.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.881.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.280.8+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)43.238.381.5+4.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.384.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (4)42.239.281.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.437.080.3+6.465%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.618.9
44.4%
51.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.2
29.9%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.3
65.4%
70.5%12.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.4
57.0%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.2
35.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws14.411.2
77.8%
70.5%11.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLWLLLLLLW
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-20.2
Net rating
+17.4
89.8
Offensive rating
112.6
110.0
Defensive rating
95.2
44.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
22.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.9%
3-point %
35.4%
59.4%
Assist %
72.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 112.6Defence110.0 · 95.2Shooting44.5% · 55.2%3-point %29.9% · 35.4%Ball care22.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Achilleas K. wins
8
AEK Larnaca wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25AETHA Engomi70-84
29/03/25HApollon83-86
23/03/25AParalimni104-101 OT
17/03/25HApoel BC75-87
11/03/25AAnorthosis52-92
07/03/25HAEL58-87
28/02/25AKeravnos84-113
06/02/25HAnorthosis68-100
01/02/25AParalimni52-70
26/01/25HETHA Engomi79-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HETHA Engomi99-59
01/04/25AApollon85-76
28/03/25HParalimni89-71
22/03/25AApoel BC91-69
16/03/25HAnorthosis89-83
12/03/25AAEL57-76
07/03/25HKeravnos85-82
12/02/25AAnorthosis88-82
06/02/25HParalimni86-82
31/01/25AETHA Engomi94-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL9%
HomeWLLLL9%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %9%9%8%
Points / game67.464.769.9
Allowed / game89.784.794.3
Point differential-22.3-20.0-24.4
Avg total157.2149.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %96%100%91%
Points / game86.088.283.5
Allowed / game69.968.970.9
Point differential+16.1+19.2+12.6
Avg total155.8157.1154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%58%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2322196%86.069.9+16.1
2 Keravnos2420483%96.279.8+16.5
3 AEL2417771%86.374.2+12.1
4 Anorthosis24141058%87.081.4+5.6
5 Apoel BC24131154%82.580.3+2.2
6 Paralimni2491538%78.182.8-4.6
7 Apollon2471729%82.792.8-10.1
8 ETHA Engomi2432112%73.689.3-15.7
9 Achilleas K.232219%67.489.7-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.1418251875
AEK Larnaca2331192295
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