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Achilleas K. vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 69-93
14-22 19-28 15-26 21-17
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CyprusDivision ARound 2· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca
07 Jan 2027
ACHI v ALA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ACHI90
ALA92
23 Apr 2025
ACHI75
ALA95
19 Oct 2024
ACHI69
ALA93
22 Dec 2023
ACHI52
ALA83
27 Nov 2022
ACHI77
ALA74
11 Oct 2021
ACHI53
ALA75
02 Dec 2011
ACHI0
ALA20
06 Nov 2010
ACHI84
ALA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
52-83
52
83
-31
41avg 54
H22/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
50-75
50
75
-25
32avg 54
A05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
64-55
64
55
+9
51avg 54
H14/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
54avg 54
A21/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 54
H28/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
41avg 54
A03/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 54
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
69-62
69
62
+7
69avg 54
A16/02
Division A
AEL
#5
L
55-71
55
71
-16
41avg 54
H03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
58-110
58
110
-52
42avg 54
A19/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
11-17
15-30
16-12
10-22
7-20
18-19
15-14
22-14
17-17
14-18
11-6
13-21
18-13
12-17
21-20
27-23
23-19
18-15
9-25
10-23
12-26
12-19
24-17
18-18
30-21
19-16
17-16
15-13
17-17
20-16
17-16
17-22
19-23
5-17
14-9
10-24
12-30
22-32
14-24
139.6Avg total
63.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.176.5139.6-13.430%
Last 5 (5)64.879.8144.6-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.384.1148.4-19.810%
vs Similar (8)76.977.8154.6-0.938%
vs Weaker (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
88avg 81
H26/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
79avg 81
A30/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 81
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 81
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 81
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
78avg 81
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
58avg 81
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 81
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
59-89
59
89
-30
41avg 81
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 81
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
23-14
16-14
22-30
15-11
30-26
18-22
23-26
21-16
20-27
22-21
25-10
21-9
19-20
13-19
18-16
20-28
12-24
26-26
16-14
20-17
11-16
24-16
19-12
16-18
15-16
15-22
17-12
17-23
22-20
15-17
23-24
21-12
11-20
15-29
12-28
20-27
16-25
20-23
13-21
153.0Avg total
74.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.678.4153.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)68.479.6148.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.092.5156.5-28.50%
vs Similar (10)76.176.8152.9-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.769.9165.6+25.8100%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Achilleas K.AEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H22/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/02
Division A
AEL
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
22-54
22
54
-32
A19/03
Division A
72.5Avg total
31.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.142.175.2-9.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.340.878.1-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)28.943.572.4-14.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.840.772.5-8.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.043.475.4-11.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.644.875.4-14.110%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.176.5+2.262%-
vs Weaker (2)32.535.568.0-3.050%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H26/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.6Avg total
37.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.680.2+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.137.682.6+7.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.935.577.4+6.457%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.275.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.042.076.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.234.482.6+13.883%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.3
42.1%
51.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.3
26.1%
34.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.310.8
70.6%
70.5%10.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
51.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.6
25.2%
34.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
70.5%15.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLWWLLLWLL
AEK Larnaca
LLLLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-18.5
Net rating
-4.4
85.8
Offensive rating
102.5
104.3
Defensive rating
106.9
41.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.1%
3-point %
25.2%
60.2%
Assist %
63.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 102.5Defence104.3 · 106.9Shooting41.0% · 47.6%3-point %26.1% · 25.2%Ball care20.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Achilleas K. wins
6
AEK Larnaca wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24AApoel BC58-110
03/03/24HAEL55-71
16/02/24AParalimni69-62
11/02/24HApop Paphou84-71
03/02/24AKeravnos58-85
28/01/24HPAEEK77-82
21/01/24AApollon64-71
14/01/24HETHA Engomi64-55
05/01/24AAnorthosis50-75
22/12/23HAEK Larnaca52-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HTofas69-96
09/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig59-89
30/05/24HKeravnos77-84
27/05/24AKeravnos63-68
23/05/24HKeravnos74-61
19/05/24AKeravnos74-92
15/05/24HKeravnos71-64
08/05/24HApoel BC88-74
30/04/24AApoel BC86-85
26/04/24HApoel BC85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEL220100%94.568.0+26.5
2 Apoel BC110100%89.071.0+18.0
3 Keravnos220100%97.586.0+11.5
4 Paralimni2020%73.588.5-15.0
5 ETHA Engomi2020%76.595.5-19.0
6 Apollon1010%79.0105.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.1419152169
AEK Larnaca2228261793
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