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Achilleas K. vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 58-87
19-16 10-25 20-24 9-22
Position#9
Record1-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game89.8
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game74.8
CyprusDivision ARound 20· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEL
27 Nov 2026
ACHI v AEL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ACHI72
AEL78
07 Mar 2025
ACHI58
AEL87
13 Jan 2025
ACHI47
AEL78
03 Mar 2024
ACHI55
AEL71
07 Feb 2023
ACHI88
AEL68
06 Feb 2022
ACHI91
AEL85
17 Dec 2011
ACHI0
AEL20
25 Feb 2011
ACHI64
AEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
44avg 50
A17/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
61-99
61
99
-38
43avg 50
A21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
50avg 50
H04/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
77-107
77
107
-30
62avg 50
A09/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
47-78
47
78
-31
33avg 50
H13/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
78-93
78
93
-15
63avg 50
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 50
H26/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
52-70
52
70
-18
31avg 50
A01/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
68-100
68
100
-32
53avg 50
H06/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
84-113
84
113
-29
76avg 50
A28/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-29
21-22
27-29
14-33
19-15
13-24
15-27
12-21
13-27
15-24
26-14
11-29
25-31
22-20
19-27
15-22
11-26
4-15
17-15
18-30
16-17
21-27
23-19
16-17
22-12
19-18
22-21
15-23
14-15
8-24
15-8
15-17
16-27
18-29
19-27
18-27
14-32
26-28
26-26
161.6Avg total
69.8Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)65.289.8155.1-24.66%
Season at home (8)62.084.0146.0-22.012%
Season away (9)68.195.0163.1-26.90%
Last 10 (10)69.891.8161.6-22.010%
Last 5 (5)72.288.8161.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)62.087.0149.0-25.08%
vs Similar (4)73.071.8144.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 78
A12/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
103-48
103
48
+55
104avg 78
H21/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 78
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
86avg 78
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
78-47
78
47
+31
78avg 78
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 78
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 78
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 78
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 78
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 78
H27/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
12-24
16-25
19-13
21-18
28-11
28-7
26-12
25-19
19-18
29-30
15-26
29-22
22-18
22-24
13-19
22-15
26-11
15-4
15-17
24-14
12-22
14-21
16-23
19-13
21-29
26-22
28-14
22-29
27-15
20-17
25-30
20-25
31-18
24-23
16-15
29-16
27-19
20-20
24-15
162.1Avg total
86.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.474.8163.2+13.571%
Season at home (9)93.372.2165.6+21.189%
Season away (8)82.877.8160.5+5.050%
Last 10 (10)86.975.2162.1+11.770%
Last 5 (5)89.080.0169.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.184.3154.4-14.211%
vs Similar (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.369.0159.3+21.389%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.4-9.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.4-9.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
Achilleas K.AEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A17/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H04/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A09/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H13/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A01/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-59
32
59
-27
A28/02
Division A
79.6Avg total
32.2Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.843.375.1-11.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.441.675.1-8.229%-
Last 30 away (16)30.344.875.1-14.512%-
Last 10 (10)32.247.479.6-15.210%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.476.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.345.475.7-15.18%-
vs Similar (4)40.235.075.2+5.275%-
vs Weaker (2)32.535.568.0-3.050%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H21/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/02
Division A
83.3Avg total
45.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.581.9+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.636.781.3+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.482.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.837.583.3+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.086.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.643.481.0-5.911%-
vs Similar (2)23.540.063.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.236.184.3+12.289%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.017.1
40.7%
51.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.510.7
61.1%
70.5%10.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.9
53.0%
51.5%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.1
30.5%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
70.5%14.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLLWLLLLLL
AEL
WWWWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#3
-28.7
Net rating
+14.7
87.9
Offensive rating
113.0
116.7
Defensive rating
98.3
43.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
22.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.1%
3-point %
30.5%
55.2%
Assist %
67.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 113.0Defence116.7 · 98.3Shooting43.5% · 50.3%3-point %32.1% · 30.5%Ball care22.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 34.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Achilleas K. wins
8
AEL wins
DateGameScore
13/01/25Achilleas K. v AEL47-78
10/11/24AEL v Achilleas K.88-59
03/03/24Achilleas K. v AEL55-71
08/12/23AEL v Achilleas K.82-41
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
13/11/21AEL v Achilleas K.90-65
17/12/11Achilleas K. v AEL0-20
28/10/11AEL v Achilleas K.20-0
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AKeravnos84-113
06/02/25HAnorthosis68-100
01/02/25AParalimni52-70
26/01/25HETHA Engomi79-68
19/01/25AApollon78-93
13/01/25HAEL47-78
09/01/25AKeravnos77-107
04/01/25HApoel BC66-86
21/12/24AAEK Larnaca61-99
17/12/24AAnorthosis86-104
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HETHA Engomi100-70
12/02/25AApollon91-81
31/01/25HKeravnos94-91
24/01/25AApoel BC94-78
18/01/25HAEK Larnaca66-80
13/01/25AAchilleas K.78-47
08/01/25HAnorthosis86-83
05/01/25AParalimni88-93
21/12/24HETHA Engomi103-48
12/12/24AKeravnos69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL6%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game65.262.068.1
Allowed / game89.884.095.0
Point differential-24.6-22.0-26.9
Avg total155.1146.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game88.493.382.8
Allowed / game74.872.277.8
Point differential+13.5+21.1+5.0
Avg total163.2165.6160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca17170100%86.369.0+17.3
2 Keravnos1814478%95.380.0+15.3
3 AEL1712571%88.474.8+13.5
4 Anorthosis1710759%88.582.4+6.2
5 Apoel BC179853%80.978.5+2.4
6 Paralimni1771041%77.482.8-5.4
7 Apollon1751229%83.893.4-9.6
8 ETHA Engomi1721512%72.188.1-16.0
9 Achilleas K.171166%65.289.8-24.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.191020958
AEL1625242287
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