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AEL vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-41
18-4 20-17 24-12 20-8
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game76.0
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#10
Record2-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.4
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Achilleas K.
04 Jan 2027
AEL v ACHI
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
AEL76
ACHI65
10 Nov 2024
AEL88
ACHI59
08 Dec 2023
AEL82
ACHI41
02 Dec 2022
AEL94
ACHI64
13 Nov 2021
AEL90
ACHI65
28 Oct 2011
AEL20
ACHI0
23 Oct 2010
AEL58
ACHI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
65avg 77
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
73avg 77
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 77
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 77
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 77
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
82-53
82
53
+29
74avg 77
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 77
A24/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
17-14
12-19
25-20
22-22
11-21
12-24
23-25
13-12
21-21
23-21
19-22
14-24
18-20
20-20
26-27
15-16
23-17
22-14
21-16
21-22
19-23
25-19
29-26
24-25
24-14
19-19
25-13
19-22
19-22
27-14
15-16
17-13
19-10
25-11
21-19
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
159.4Avg total
82.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.976.0160.9+8.975%
Season at home (4)87.270.8158.0+16.575%
Season away (4)82.581.2163.8+1.275%
Last 10 (10)82.277.2159.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)85.271.6156.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.296.2181.4-11.011%
vs Similar (7)80.481.6162.0-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.775.5161.2+10.279%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 60
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 60
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 60
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 60
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
84-68
84
68
+16
50avg 60
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
77avg 60
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
57avg 60
H18/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
67-63
67
63
+4
58avg 60
A25/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
62avg 60
H02/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-25
11-27
20-17
22-25
22-23
15-14
17-25
20-26
13-29
17-18
21-20
16-21
18-22
12-19
17-18
12-33
15-22
34-11
15-25
16-21
23-12
17-20
28-15
21-24
16-24
20-24
25-20
25-25
12-14
16-19
17-20
19-16
13-9
17-21
18-17
11-19
22-22
18-21
19-10
154.4Avg total
73.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.280.4153.7-7.222%
Season at home (5)72.677.0149.6-4.420%
Season away (4)74.084.8158.8-10.825%
Last 10 (10)73.081.4154.4-8.420%
Last 5 (5)74.674.6149.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.284.9155.0-14.718%
vs Similar (7)74.173.4147.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (1)70.072.0142.0-2.00%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
AELAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
74.2Avg total
36.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.880.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.778.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.644.382.9-5.719%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.474.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.046.488.4-4.422%-
vs Similar (7)38.639.778.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.737.677.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A25/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
Division A
78.9Avg total
35.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.441.374.7-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.138.673.6-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)31.644.475.9-12.821%-
Last 10 (10)35.643.378.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.743.776.5-11.018%-
vs Similar (7)35.733.669.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (1)33.041.074.0-8.00%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
51.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.0
38.0%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.5%
71.2%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.1
50.9%
51.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.7
30.7%
32.6%29.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.1
65.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/9 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWWWWLLLW
Achilleas K.
LWLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
+13.8
Net rating
-10.2
109.2
Offensive rating
97.2
95.5
Defensive rating
107.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
30.7%
60.1%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 97.2Defence95.5 · 107.3Shooting53.5% · 48.5%3-point %38.0% · 30.7%Ball care15.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ AEL   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEL wins
3
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
13/11/21AEL v Achilleas K.90-65
17/12/11Achilleas K. v AEL0-20
28/10/11AEL v Achilleas K.20-0
25/02/11Achilleas K. v AEL64-78
23/10/10AEL v Achilleas K.58-64
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AParalimni78-70
17/11/23HApop Paphou82-53
12/11/23AKeravnos80-74
05/11/23HPAEEK92-71
27/10/23AApollon94-90
21/10/23HETHA Engomi81-63
15/10/23AAnorthosis78-91
09/10/23HAEK Larnaca94-96 OT
07/04/23AApollon68-92
04/04/23HApollon75-72
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HParalimni70-72
25/11/23AApop Paphou67-63
18/11/23HKeravnos70-78
10/11/23APAEEK82-92
05/11/23HApollon84-68
29/10/23AETHA Engomi76-91
20/10/23HAnorthosis63-80
14/10/23AAEK Larnaca71-93
08/10/23HApoel BC76-87
21/03/23HKeravnos71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.987.282.5
Allowed / game76.070.881.2
Point differential+8.9+16.5+1.2
Avg total160.9158.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL22%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game73.272.674.0
Allowed / game80.477.084.8
Point differential-7.2-4.4-10.8
Avg total153.7149.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca87188%81.971.0+10.9
2 Apoel BC87188%75.570.8+4.8
3 Keravnos86275%86.071.4+14.6
4 Anorthosis86275%84.671.1+13.5
5 AEL86275%84.976.0+8.9
6 Apop Paphou83538%75.481.0-5.6
7 Apollon93633%77.284.8-7.6
8 PAEEK82625%75.482.1-6.8
9 ETHA Engomi82625%76.984.2-7.4
10 Achilleas K.92722%73.280.4-7.2
11 Paralimni81712%68.985.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1820242082
Achilleas K.41712841
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