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Achilleas K. vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 55-71
17-22 19-23 5-17 14-9
Position#10
Record5-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game77.2
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.2
CyprusDivision ARound 20· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEL
27 Nov 2026
ACHI v AEL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ACHI72
AEL78
07 Mar 2025
ACHI58
AEL87
13 Jan 2025
ACHI47
AEL78
03 Mar 2024
ACHI55
AEL71
07 Feb 2023
ACHI88
AEL68
06 Feb 2022
ACHI91
AEL85
17 Dec 2011
ACHI0
AEL20
25 Feb 2011
ACHI64
AEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
62avg 56
H02/12
Division A
AEL
#5
L
41-82
41
82
-41
24avg 56
A08/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
52-83
52
83
-31
41avg 56
H22/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
50-75
50
75
-25
32avg 56
A05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
64-55
64
55
+9
51avg 56
H14/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
54avg 56
A21/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 56
H28/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
41avg 56
A03/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 56
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
69-62
69
62
+7
69avg 56
A16/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
22-22
18-21
19-10
4-18
17-20
12-24
8-20
10-24
11-17
15-30
16-12
10-22
7-20
18-19
15-14
22-14
17-17
14-18
11-6
13-21
18-13
12-17
21-20
27-23
23-19
18-15
9-25
10-23
12-26
12-19
24-17
18-18
30-21
19-16
17-16
15-13
17-17
20-16
17-16
136.7Avg total
62.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.777.2144.9-9.628%
Season at home (9)71.175.1146.2-4.033%
Season away (9)64.279.3143.6-15.122%
Last 10 (10)62.973.8136.7-10.930%
Last 5 (5)70.474.2144.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.482.8149.2-16.415%
vs Similar (8)76.977.8154.6-0.938%
vs Weaker (2)69.567.0136.5+2.550%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 74
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 74
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 74
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 74
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 74
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 74
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 74
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-42
86
42
+44
89avg 74
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 74
A28/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
27-12
32-12
10-8
17-10
23-11
21-17
17-18
12-18
148.0Avg total
79.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.872.2154.1+9.665%
Season at home (9)83.465.7149.1+17.867%
Season away (8)80.079.6159.6+0.462%
Last 10 (10)79.069.0148.0+10.060%
Last 5 (5)81.064.4145.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.086.9164.9-8.912%
vs Similar (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.872.1156.9+12.875%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Achilleas K.AEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
Division A
AEL
#5
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A08/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H22/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H11/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/02
Division A
70.1Avg total
31.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.440.774.2-7.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.639.577.1-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)29.341.971.2-12.720%-
Last 10 (10)31.438.770.1-7.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.142.773.8-11.615%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.176.5+2.262%-
vs Weaker (2)32.535.568.0-3.050%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A28/02
Division A
76.5Avg total
43.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.478.3+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.378.2+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.941.578.4-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)43.133.476.5+9.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.432.079.4+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.942.481.2-3.525%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.935.278.1+7.669%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 62.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.1
45.8%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.05.9
22.7%
32.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
71.2%10.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
32.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.610.6
63.9%
71.2%10.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
WWLLLWLLLL
AEL
WWLWWLLLWW
#10
League position
#5
-14.7
Net rating
+20.0
85.5
Offensive rating
107.8
100.2
Defensive rating
87.8
41.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
22.7%
3-point %
36.5%
58.7%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 107.8Defence100.2 · 87.8Shooting41.0% · 52.8%3-point %22.7% · 36.5%Ball care20.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Achilleas K. wins
6
AEL wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23AEL v Achilleas K.82-41
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
13/11/21AEL v Achilleas K.90-65
17/12/11Achilleas K. v AEL0-20
28/10/11AEL v Achilleas K.20-0
25/02/11Achilleas K. v AEL64-78
23/10/10AEL v Achilleas K.58-64
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24AParalimni69-62
11/02/24HApop Paphou84-71
03/02/24AKeravnos58-85
28/01/24HPAEEK77-82
21/01/24AApollon64-71
14/01/24HETHA Engomi64-55
05/01/24AAnorthosis50-75
22/12/23HAEK Larnaca52-83
08/12/23AAEL41-82
02/12/23HParalimni70-72
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AApop Paphou73-64
12/02/24HParalimni86-42
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
24/11/23AParalimni78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW28%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game67.771.164.2
Allowed / game77.275.179.3
Point differential-9.6-4.0-15.1
Avg total144.9146.2143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game81.883.480.0
Allowed / game72.265.779.6
Point differential+9.6+17.8+0.4
Avg total154.1149.1159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1715288%85.869.2+16.6
2 Anorthosis1714382%87.868.6+19.2
3 AEK Larnaca1714382%88.572.8+15.7
4 Apoel BC1813572%76.769.6+7.1
5 AEL1711665%81.872.2+9.6
6 Apollon1871139%76.885.3-8.6
7 ETHA Engomi1861233%76.582.7-6.2
8 PAEEK1961332%80.190.5-10.4
9 Achilleas K.1851328%67.777.2-9.6
10 Apop Paphou1741324%74.282.6-8.4
11 Paralimni1821611%65.987.5-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.171951455
AEL222317971
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