Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 98-83

26-17 21-17 27-20 24-29

Position#1

Record17-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game75.7

Sydney W 🏆

Adelaide Lightning W

Position#8

Record3-20

FormLLLLW

Points / game64.0

Allowed / game78.0

NBL WRound 19

Women2016-17

Meetings · Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

89-72

+17

A29/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

93-69

+24

A30/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

73-76

-3

H08/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

77-74

A12/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

71-68

A13/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

90-78

+12

H21/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

77-75

A26/01

NBL W

Townsville W

76-75

A28/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

72-67

A05/02

NBL W

Dandenong W

81-77

H11/02

NBL W

27-15

19-20

20-15

23-22

31-20

23-15

18-24

21-10

15-29

24-13

17-16

17-18

20-15

21-33

20-14

16-12

24-14

16-18

18-19

13-17

23-21

19-22

24-23

24-12

16-20

17-16

21-13

23-26

19-21

16-20

20-17

21-17

19-14

14-19

16-17

23-17

20-24

25-27

15-15

21-11

153.0Avg total

79.9Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.9	75.7	155.5	+4.2	74%
Season at home (11)	79.8	77.4	157.2	+2.5	64%
Season away (12)	79.9	74.1	154.0	+5.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	73.1	153.0	+6.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	74.4	153.6	+4.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.3	89.7	169.0	-10.3	0%
vs Similar (14)	79.6	77.1	156.8	+2.5	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	77.8	74.2	152.1	+3.6	77%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

52-102

102

-50

A18/12

NBL W

Sydney W

72-89

-17

H29/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

71-67

A07/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

80-73

A08/01

NBL W

Sydney W

74-77

-3

H12/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

58-85

-27

H21/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

60-80

-20

H27/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

66-74

-8

H03/02

NBL W

Geelong United W

72-85

-13

H10/02

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

76-74

A16/02

NBL W

16-27

9-16

10-33

17-26

15-27

20-19

15-20

22-23

24-20

16-16

17-14

14-17

19-15

26-15

16-21

19-22

15-20

33-21

14-20

12-16

12-24

13-25

8-15

25-21

18-28

21-7

13-24

8-21

23-18

20-20

12-18

11-18

23-18

13-14

17-20

19-33

24-13

19-22

15-16

18-23

148.7Avg total

68.1Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	64.0	78.0	142.0	-14.0	13%
Season at home (12)	63.6	77.5	141.1	-13.9	0%
Season away (11)	64.5	78.5	143.0	-14.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	68.1	80.6	148.7	-12.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	66.4	79.6	146.0	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	65.5	77.8	143.3	-12.3	15%
vs Similar (2)	79.0	54.5	133.5	+24.5	100%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	82.0	167.0	+3.0	100%

This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sydney WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+1.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	41%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	19.0	44.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	9.0	35.0	+17.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	17.7	33.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	11.0	28.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-

Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide Lightning W

46-35

+11

A29/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

54-35

+19

A30/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

39-42

-3

H08/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

41-48

-7

A12/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

40-32

A13/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

42-43

-1

H21/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

33-36

-3

A26/01

NBL W

Townsville W

35-41

-6

A28/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

33-33

A05/02

NBL W

Dandenong W

45-51

-6

H11/02

NBL W

80.4Avg total

40.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.9	81.4	+1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	42.1	85.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	37.9	77.9	+2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.8	78.4	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.5	54%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

25-43

-18

A18/12

NBL W

Sydney W

35-46

-11

H29/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

40-36

A07/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

45-30

+15

A08/01

NBL W

Sydney W

48-41

H12/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

25-49

-24

H21/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

39-35

H27/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

43-38

H03/02

NBL W

Geelong United W

36-32

H10/02

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

43-35

A16/02

NBL W

76.4Avg total

37.9Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	37.0	71.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	37.9	71.8	-3.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	36.2	71.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	33.5	38.0	71.4	-4.5	44%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	30.0	72.5	+12.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	26.0	72.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	18.9	36.9	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	19.2	34.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.5	18.4	32.9	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.7	20.1	33.8	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	18.6	31.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.1	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	33.0	57.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.6	39.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	26.7	44.3	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	19.1	35.3	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.2	39.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.0	10.0	26.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	36.9	73.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	36.2	72.7	+0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	33.5	72.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.6	75.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	48.7	87.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.4	35.1	71.5	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	36.7	36.2	72.8	+0.5	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.5	38.8	71.3	-6.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.8	37.5	68.3	-6.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.2	42.1	72.3	-11.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	41.8	71.0	-12.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	32.0	39.3	71.2	-7.3	15%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	24.5	61.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	56.0	95.0	-17.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	74-77
29/12/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	72-89
04/12/15	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	67-94
13/11/15	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	84-79
17/10/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	71-88
06/02/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	72-60
28/11/14	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	66-54
15/11/14	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	59-78
01/11/14	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	91-94 OT
26/01/14	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	68-71

Sydney Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/17	H	Dandenong W	81-77
05/02/17	A	Geelong United W	72-67
28/01/17	A	Townsville W	76-75
26/01/17	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	77-75
21/01/17	H	Perth Lynx W	90-78
13/01/17	A	Bendigo W	71-68
12/01/17	A	Adelaide Lightning W	77-74
08/01/17	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	73-76
30/12/16	A	Perth Lynx W	93-69
29/12/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	89-72

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/17	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	76-74
10/02/17	H	Geelong United W	72-85
03/02/17	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	66-74
27/01/17	H	Perth Lynx W	60-80
21/01/17	H	Dandenong W	58-85
12/01/17	H	Sydney W	74-77
08/01/17	A	Dandenong W	80-73
07/01/17	A	Geelong United W	71-67
29/12/16	H	Sydney W	72-89
18/12/16	A	Perth Lynx W	52-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	LWLWW	64%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	74%	64%	83%
Points / game	79.9	79.8	79.9
Allowed / game	75.7	77.4	74.1
Point differential	+4.2	+2.5	+5.8
Avg total	155.5	157.2	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	27%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	50% (4)	86% (7)
Overtime %	9%	9%	8%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	13%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLWWW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	13%	0%	27%
Points / game	64.0	63.6	64.5
Allowed / game	78.0	77.5	78.5
Point differential	-14.0	-13.9	-14.1
Avg total	142.0	141.1	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney W	23	17	6	74%	79.9	75.7	+4.2
2	Perth Lynx W	23	15	8	65%	81.6	77.0	+4.6
3	Dandenong W	24	15	9	62%	77.3	72.6	+4.7
4	Townsville W	23	14	9	61%	78.6	72.4	+6.2
5	Canberra C. Acad. W	23	12	11	52%	71.6	71.7	-0.1
6	Bendigo W	22	11	11	50%	71.4	70.8	+0.6
7	Geelong United W	23	5	18	22%	70.0	76.4	-6.4
8	Adelaide Lightning W	23	3	20	13%	64.0	78.0	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney W	26	21	27	24	98
Adelaide Lightning W	17	17	20	29	83

← all games of the day

Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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