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Adelaide Lightning W vs Dandenong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 51-82
7-8 17-17 10-30 17-27
Position#1
Record18-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#2
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game71.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 18
Women2011-12
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W
10 Nov 2018
ADEL99
DAND74
02 Nov 2017
ADEL81
DAND83
21 Jan 2017
ADEL58
DAND85
09 Dec 2016
ADEL64
DAND79
08 Jan 2016
ADEL63
DAND79
06 Dec 2015
ADEL72
DAND70
13 Feb 2015
ADEL89
DAND71
23 Oct 2014
ADEL68
DAND63
15 Feb 2014
ADEL88
DAND82
04 Jan 2014
ADEL84
DAND64
16 Nov 2012
ADEL79
DAND88
04 Mar 2012
ADEL78
DAND91
18 Feb 2012
ADEL51
DAND82
12 Nov 2011
ADEL78
DAND76
08 Oct 2010
ADEL80
DAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan W
#7
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H07/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
84-51
84
51
+33
A13/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H20/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A21/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A27/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A28/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H10/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-15
27-20
20-12
22-19
21-9
17-18
18-11
21-11
19-21
13-13
27-23
20-12
25-18
25-6
14-15
25-18
24-18
6-9
15-9
14-22
11-16
18-25
18-18
8-13
19-14
15-16
21-9
23-11
15-19
13-16
13-15
31-28
18-21
17-22
16-11
19-15
14-19
21-13
17-11
139.0Avg total
75.4Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.266.9145.0+11.386%
Season at home (10)81.566.2147.7+15.390%
Season away (11)75.267.5142.6+7.782%
Last 10 (10)75.463.6139.0+11.890%
Last 5 (5)71.267.8139.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.083.1151.1-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.476.1154.6+2.367%
vs Weaker (14)80.963.0143.9+17.993%
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#4
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H16/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A17/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A13/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H15/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H21/01
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
94-36
94
36
+58
A29/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A03/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H10/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-18
19-18
16-10
15-13
18-24
22-24
21-25
14-22
14-26
13-15
22-29
18-19
15-12
15-18
23-27
24-24
12-18
16-20
25-22
22-9
14-13
19-16
20-18
22-14
16-11
25-18
18-18
23-17
25-4
28-9
18-6
23-24
18-29
19-14
31-15
27-16
22-10
24-8
28-19
149.2Avg total
80.2Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.871.6152.3+9.262%
Season at home (11)80.769.0149.7+11.773%
Season away (10)80.874.4155.2+6.450%
Last 10 (10)80.269.0149.2+11.260%
Last 5 (5)88.457.6146.0+30.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.285.2160.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.077.3150.3-4.329%
vs Weaker (19)81.869.2151.1+12.674%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
Adelaide Lightning WDandenong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H07/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A27/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A28/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A04/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/02
NBL W
72.7Avg total
38.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.476.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.078.2+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)37.837.775.5+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.972.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.442.177.6-6.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.338.978.2+0.444%-
vs Weaker (14)41.434.075.4+7.471%-
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A17/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H15/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#1
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/01
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A29/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A03/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H10/02
NBL W
72.1Avg total
38.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.975.9+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.233.473.6+6.882%-
Last 30 away (13)39.839.178.8+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.172.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.429.471.8+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.278.0-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.337.973.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (19)42.534.076.5+8.584%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
4
Dandenong W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/12HGeelong United W71-58
04/02/12ABendigo W97-87 OT
28/01/12ATownsville W64-61
27/01/12ALogan W63-52
21/01/12ADandenong W61-81
20/01/12HBendigo W70-54
13/01/12APerth Lynx W84-51
07/01/12HTownsville W80-68
17/12/11APerth Lynx W78-57
10/12/11HLogan W86-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/12HPerth Lynx W101-53
03/02/12ASydney W91-82
29/01/12AAIS W94-36
21/01/12HAdelaide Lightning W81-61
15/01/12HPerth Lynx W75-56
13/01/12ABendigo W77-84
07/01/12ALogan W71-76
17/12/11ABendigo W63-92
16/12/11HGeelong United W76-86
10/12/11ATownsville W73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game78.281.575.2
Allowed / game66.966.267.5
Point differential+11.3+15.3+7.7
Avg total145.0147.7142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%70%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Dandenong W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game80.880.780.8
Allowed / game71.669.074.4
Point differential+9.2+11.7+6.4
Avg total152.3149.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W2118386%78.266.9+11.3
2 Geelong United W2115671%82.674.3+8.2
3 Dandenong W2113862%80.871.6+9.2
4 Sydney W2213959%75.771.9+3.9
5 Townsville W2112957%74.170.0+4.0
6 Bendigo W22121055%74.867.3+7.5
7 Logan W21111052%71.169.2+1.9
8 Canberra C. Acad. W2191243%73.772.4+1.3
9 Perth Lynx W222209%63.583.4-19.9
10 AIS W222209%57.583.2-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W717101751
Dandenong W817302782
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